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Hull City crestHull City
v
Everton crestEverton

Premier League | Sun 11 Oct, 14:00

Hull City v Everton Stats

Data last updated: Sun 01 Nov 2026, 22:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hull City face Everton in Premier League on Sun 11 Oct, 14:00. Hull City vs Everton Preview: Unbeaten Toffees Face Resilient Tigers at MKM Stadium. Everton's unbeaten start and three clean sheets underpin their strength for an away win. Everton create more chances, leaving Hull City under pressure to match their attacking tempo.

BT4Y best bet

Match Result: Everton

  • At 3.7, Match Result: Everton implies roughly 27%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 38%.
  • Home advantage could prove important against an Everton side that has developed a reputation for defensive resilience.
  • Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 8 for Hull City.
  • Everton have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Match Result: Everton angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Hull City sit 10 in the table, while Everton sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 38% for Match Result: Everton sits against roughly 27% implied by the current price. Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 8 for Hull City. Home advantage could prove important against an Everton side that has developed a reputation for defensive resilience.

Model chance vs price38% model chance against roughly 27% implied
Positive
Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Everton have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Home advantage could prove important against an Everton side.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Hull City Win is the preferred angle because home advantage could prove important against an Everton side that has developed a reputation for defensive resilience. Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 8 for Hull City. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Match Result: Everton evidence

Home advantage could prove important against an Everton side that has developed a reputation for defensive resilience.

Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 8 for Hull City.

Everton have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Hull City Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Hull City sit 10 in the table, while Everton sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Match Result: Everton notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Hull City1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Everton1.2
    Hull City0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Everton0.6
    Hull City40%
    BTTS rate
    Everton40%
    Hull City40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Everton20%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +6.7 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
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    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 51%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 24%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for Hull City and 20% for Everton, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

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    Useful next reads

    Premier League hubHull City v Everton predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Hull City

    LDDWW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 1L
    19 Sep 2026A Newcastle1-2
    12 Sep 2026A Chelsea2-2
    05 Sep 2026H Aston Villa0-0
    29 Aug 2026A Coventry1-0
    22 Aug 2026H Manchester United2-0

    Everton

    WDDDW
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 0L
    19 Sep 2026H Ipswich1-0
    12 Sep 2026A Tottenham0-0
    06 Sep 2026H Manchester United2-2
    29 Aug 2026A Bournemouth1-1
    22 Aug 2026H Crystal Palace2-0
    Market aligned with main pickHull City to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 27% · edge +10.8 pts
    3.7
    Check odds @ 3.7
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 66%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Hull City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickHull City to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 27% · edge +10.8 pts
    3.7
    Check odds @ 3.7
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    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Hull City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Hull City to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Hull City Over 2.5
    20%Everton Over 2.5
    3.14H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Hull City sit at 40% and Everton sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3.14 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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