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Hull City crestHull City
v
Everton crestEverton

Premier League | Sun 11 Oct, 14:00

Hull City v Everton Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 16:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hull City and Everton meet in a Premier League clash where both teams have shown competitive intensity and tactical discipline. Hull City sits just below Everton in the table, with both sides demonstrating solid defensive records but also engaging in physical duels that often escalate. Recent matches suggest a contest marked by tactical fouling and midfield battles, with neither side shying away from aggressive challenges. This fixture promises a tightly contested game with a high likelihood of disciplinary actions given the teams' styles and recent form.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Cards

  • Hull City averages 3.4 yellow cards per game, indicating a physical defensive approach.
  • Everton concedes fewer cards but still averages 1.8 yellows, contributing to overall card volume.
  • Both teams have a combined average of over 5 yellow cards per match, supporting the Over 3.5 Cards pick.
  • Recent form shows both sides involved in matches with frequent fouls and disciplinary actions.
  • Player data highlights several individuals with high card risk, increasing the likelihood of multiple cards.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 71.8% chance for Over 3.5 Cards, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 54.6%, indicating strong value. Both Hull City and Everton exhibit aggressive defensive styles, with Hull City's average of 3.4 yellow cards per game and Everton's 1.8 contributing to a high card count. Key players such as C. Crooks carry notable card risks, reinforcing the likelihood of multiple bookings. This match's competitive nature and tactical fouling tendencies make Over 3.5 Cards a compelling selection.

Model Chance69.6% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Hull City Yellow Cards Average3.4 per game
Strong positive
Everton Yellow Cards Average1.8 per game
Positive
Player Card RiskHigh risk players like M. Crooks and B. Norton-Cuffy
Positive
Market Implied Chance69.6% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+15 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This match is expected to be physically intense with Hull City’s aggressive defense and Everton’s competitive midfield battles likely to generate multiple fouls and bookings. The data supports a high card count, making Over 3.5 Cards a strong tactical and statistical choice for this fixture.

Main risk

The card line needs match pressure and repeated duels; a controlled game state would weaken the booking angle.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · cards market

“Hull City's defensive style combined with Everton's pressing midfield creates a scenario ripe for disciplinary actions, making the Over 3.5 Cards market a well-founded expectation for this match.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Cards evidence

Hull City averages 3.4 yellow cards per game, indicating a physical defensive approach.

Everton concedes fewer cards but still averages 1.8 yellows, contributing to overall card volume.

Both teams have a combined average of over 5 yellow cards per match, supporting the Over 3.5 Cards pick.

Recent form shows both sides involved in matches with frequent fouls and disciplinary actions.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Cards notes

  • Over the last seven head-to-head meetings, the average goals stand at 3.14, indicating open play but not necessarily high scoring.
  • The trend towards physical midfield battles and tactical fouling suggests a match environment conducive to multiple cards rather than high goal totals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hull City1.2
Avg goals scored
Everton1.2
Hull City0.8
Avg goals conceded
Everton0.6
Hull City40%
BTTS rate
Everton40%
Hull City40%
Over 2.5 goals
Everton20%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +6.7 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 24%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Both teams have modest goal-scoring rates and a combined BTTS rate of 40%, suggesting a controlled game with limited goal exchanges. This lower scoring context often correlates with increased fouling and tactical fouls, supporting a higher card count rather than a goal-fest.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premier League hubHull City v Everton predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hull City

LDDWW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 1L
19 Sep 2026A Newcastle1-2
12 Sep 2026A Chelsea2-2
05 Sep 2026H Aston Villa0-0
29 Aug 2026A Coventry1-0
22 Aug 2026H Manchester United2-0

Everton

WDDDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 0L
19 Sep 2026H Ipswich1-0
12 Sep 2026A Tottenham0-0
06 Sep 2026H Manchester United2-2
29 Aug 2026A Bournemouth1-1
22 Aug 2026H Crystal Palace2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 58% · edge +8.4 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Hull City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Hull City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Everton to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Everton Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Recent matches for both teams show a pattern of physical contests with frequent fouls and bookings. Hull City's 3.4 average yellow cards and Everton's 1.8 reflect consistent disciplinary issues, reinforcing the expectation of Over 3.5 Cards in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Hull City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Hull City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Everton to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Everton Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The 69.6% for Over 3.5 Cards sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Hull City have the higher yellow-card average at 3.4, while Everton sit at 1.8.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Hull City Over 2.5
20%Everton Over 2.5
3.14H2H avg goals
Over the last seven head-to-head meetings, the average goals stand at 3.14, indicating open play but not necessarily high scoring. The trend towards physical midfield battles and tactical fouling suggests a match environment conducive to multiple cards rather than high goal totals.

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