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Hong Kong crestHong Kong
v
Mongolia crestMongolia

Friendlies | Fri 05 Jun, 13:00

Hong Kong v Mongolia Stats

Data last updated: Thu 04 Jun 2026, 03:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hong Kong face Mongolia in Friendlies on Fri 05 Jun, 13:00. Hong Kong come in with 0 recent points and - goals per match, while Mongolia have 0 points and 0 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Mongolia to Win

  • At 29, Mongolia Win implies roughly 3%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 23%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 23% for Mongolia Win sits against roughly 3% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price23% model chance against roughly 3% implied
Strong positive
Price sensitivityEdge +19.6 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Mongolia Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

What To Watch In The Data

Mongolia Win notes

    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Hong Kong

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Hong Kong yet.

    Mongolia

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    31 May 2026A Singapore0-4
    Market aligned with main pickMongolia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 23% vs implied 3% · edge +19.6 pts
    29
    Check odds @ 29
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 47%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Hong Kong-
    Avg goals scored
    Mongolia0
    Hong Kong-
    Avg goals conceded
    Mongolia4
    Hong Kong-
    BTTS rate
    Mongolia0%
    Hong Kong-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Mongolia100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 65% · edge +2.6 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.06
    Check odds @ 1.06
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
    4.2
    Check odds @ 4.2
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; the clean-sheet route needs defensive and away-attacking data to support it.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMongolia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 23% vs implied 3% · edge +19.6 pts
    29
    Check odds @ 29
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Mongolia to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Hong Kong wins
    0Draws
    0Mongolia wins
    08 Dec 2024Mongolia v Hong Kong0-3
    16 Nov 2018Mongolia v Hong Kong1-5
    Market aligned with main pickMongolia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 23% vs implied 3% · edge +19.6 pts
    29
    Check odds @ 29
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Mongolia to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies

    Hong Kong2
    Played
    Mongolia2
    Hong Kong1
    Avg goals for
    Mongolia0
    Hong Kong1
    Avg goals against
    Mongolia3
    Hong Kong1
    Clean sheets
    Mongolia0
    Market aligned with main pickMongolia to WinBet365 guide price · Model 23% vs implied 3% · edge +19.6 pts
    29
    Check odds @ 29
    Season data supports Mongolia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Hong Kong Over 2.5
    100%Mongolia Over 2.5
    4.5H2H avg goals

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.