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Hellas Verona crestHellas Verona
v
Lecce crestLecce

Serie A | Sat 25 Apr, 19:45

Hellas Verona v Lecce Stats

Data last updated: Wed 22 Jul 2026, 13:35 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hellas Verona face Lecce in Serie A on Sat 25 Apr, 19:45. Hellas Verona come in with 0 recent points and 0.2 goals per match, while Lecce have 1 points and 0.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 1.83, Over 9.5 Corners implies roughly 55%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 69%.
  • Hellas Verona lead the corner sample at 6.25 per match, with Lecce lower at 5.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Hellas Verona average 16 and Lecce average 8.67.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 55% implied by the current price. Hellas Verona lead the corner sample at 6.25 per match, with Lecce lower at 5.

Model chance vs price69% model chance against roughly 55% implied
Positive
Hellas Verona lead the corner sample at 6.25 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 9.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Hellas Verona lead the corner sample at 6.25 per match, with Lecce lower at 5. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Hellas Verona lead the corner sample at 6.25 per match, with Lecce lower at 5.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Hellas Verona average 16 and Lecce average 8.67.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Hellas Verona6.25
Avg corners for
Lecce5
Hellas Verona8
Avg total corners
Lecce13.33
Hellas Verona3
Avg yellow cards
Lecce1.67
Hellas Verona16
Avg shots
Lecce8.67
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.2 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hellas Verona0.2
Avg goals scored
Lecce0.4
Hellas Verona1.4
Avg goals conceded
Lecce1.8
Hellas Verona20%
BTTS rate
Lecce40%
Hellas Verona20%
Over 2.5 goals
Lecce40%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 20%
21
Check odds @ 21
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 51%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
Lecce to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Lecce Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Hellas Verona to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Hellas Verona Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hellas Verona

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 8L
19 Apr 2026H AC Milan0-1
11 Apr 2026A Torino1-2
04 Apr 2026H Fiorentina0-1
22 Mar 2026A Atalanta0-1
15 Mar 2026H Genoa0-2

Lecce

DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
20 Apr 2026H Fiorentina1-1
12 Apr 2026A Bologna0-2
06 Apr 2026H Atalanta0-3
22 Mar 2026A AS Roma0-1
14 Mar 2026A Napoli1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 68% · edge +5.6 pts
1.47
Check odds @ 1.47
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Lecce to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Lecce Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Hellas Verona to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Hellas Verona Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Hellas Verona wins
3Draws
2Lecce wins
08 Nov 2025Lecce v Hellas Verona0-0
11 May 2025Hellas Verona v Lecce1-1
29 Oct 2024Lecce v Hellas Verona1-0
10 Mar 2024Lecce v Hellas Verona0-1
27 Nov 2023Hellas Verona v Lecce2-2
07 May 2023Lecce v Hellas Verona0-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 38% vs implied 23% · edge +15 pts
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
6
Check odds @ 6
Lecce to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Hellas Verona to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Serie A

Hellas Verona38
Played
Lecce38
Hellas Verona0.7
Avg goals for
Lecce0.7
Hellas Verona1.6
Avg goals against
Lecce1.3
Hellas Verona6
Clean sheets
Lecce10
Best odds for this sectionLecce to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 35% · edge +10.2 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
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Lecce Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Hellas Verona to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Hellas Verona Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season data supports Lecce to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
17Lecce383810820-22
19Hellas Verona213831223-36
Hellas Verona sit in position 19, while Lecce sit in position 17, so table pressure belongs in the Over 9.5 Corners assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Hellas Verona Over 2.5
40%Lecce Over 2.5
1.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Hellas Verona sit at 20% and Lecce sit at 40% with the H2H average at 1.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

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Competition and hubs

Serie A hubSerie A hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

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Betting context

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