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Hellas Verona crestHellas Verona
v
AS Roma crestAS Roma

Serie A | Sun 24 May, 19:45

Hellas Verona v AS Roma Stats

Data last updated: Sun 26 Jul 2026, 10:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hellas Verona face AS Roma in Serie A on Sun 24 May, 19:45. Hellas Verona come in with 3 recent points and 0.4 goals per match, while AS Roma have 13 points and 2.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • At 1.73, Over 8.5 Corners implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • AS Roma lead the corner sample at 6.4 per match, with Hellas Verona lower at 3.6.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Hellas Verona average 10.2 and AS Roma average 14.2.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Over 8.5 Corners sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. AS Roma lead the corner sample at 6.4 per match, with Hellas Verona lower at 3.6.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Strong positive
AS Roma lead the corner sample at 6.4 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 8.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers AS Roma lead the corner sample at 6.4 per match, with Hellas Verona lower at 3.6. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

AS Roma lead the corner sample at 6.4 per match, with Hellas Verona lower at 3.6.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Hellas Verona average 10.2 and AS Roma average 14.2.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Hellas Verona3.6
Avg corners for
AS Roma6.4
Hellas Verona10.8
Avg total corners
AS Roma11.2
Hellas Verona2.2
Avg yellow cards
AS Roma1.6
Hellas Verona10.2
Avg shots
AS Roma14.2
Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hellas Verona0.4
Avg goals scored
AS Roma2.4
Hellas Verona0.8
Avg goals conceded
AS Roma0.6
Hellas Verona40%
BTTS rate
AS Roma40%
Hellas Verona0%
Over 2.5 goals
AS Roma40%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 50% · edge +11.9 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3
Check odds @ 3
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Hellas Verona Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Hellas Verona to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
10.5
Check odds @ 10.5
AS Roma to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
AS Roma Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 8.5 Corners is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hellas Verona

DLDDL
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
17 May 2026A Inter1-1
10 May 2026H Como0-1
03 May 2026A Juventus1-1
25 Apr 2026H Lecce0-0
19 Apr 2026H AC Milan0-1

AS Roma

WWWWD
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
17 May 2026H Lazio2-0
10 May 2026A Parma3-2
04 May 2026H Fiorentina4-0
25 Apr 2026A Bologna2-0
18 Apr 2026H Atalanta1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.61
Check odds @ 3.61
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Hellas Verona Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Hellas Verona to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
10.5
Check odds @ 10.5
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.04
Check odds @ 1.04
AS Roma to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
AS Roma Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Hellas Verona wins
1Draws
6AS Roma wins
28 Sep 2025AS Roma v Hellas Verona2-0
19 Apr 2025AS Roma v Hellas Verona1-0
03 Nov 2024Hellas Verona v AS Roma3-2
20 Jan 2024AS Roma v Hellas Verona2-1
26 Aug 2023Hellas Verona v AS Roma2-1
19 Feb 2023AS Roma v Hellas Verona1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 44% · edge +12.3 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Hellas Verona to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
10.5
Check odds @ 10.5
AS Roma to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Serie A

Hellas Verona38
Played
AS Roma38
Hellas Verona0.7
Avg goals for
AS Roma1.6
Hellas Verona1.6
Avg goals against
AS Roma0.8
Hellas Verona6
Clean sheets
AS Roma18
Best odds for this sectionHellas Verona Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 32% vs implied 17% · edge +15 pts
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
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Hellas Verona to WinBet365 guide price · model 25%
10.5
Check odds @ 10.5
AS Roma to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
AS Roma Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Season data supports Hellas Verona Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3AS Roma73382341128
19Hellas Verona213831223-36
Hellas Verona sit in position 19, while AS Roma sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the Over 8.5 Corners assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Hellas Verona Over 2.5
40%AS Roma Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Hellas Verona sit at 0% and AS Roma sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Competition and hubs

Serie A hubSerie A hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hub

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Betting context

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