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Hamburger SV crestHamburger SV
v
SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg

Bundesliga | Sun 10 May, 14:30

Hamburger SV v SC Freiburg Stats

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 1.92, Over 9.5 Corners is priced at roughly 52% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 69%, so the current line is showing a +16.9-point value edge.
  • The detailed sample shows average total corners of 11.4 for Hamburger SV games and 9 for SC Freiburg games.
  • The corner data supports the Over 9.5 Corners angle: Hamburger SV have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded.
  • The corner data supports the Over 9.5 Corners angle: SC Freiburg have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.92, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.78
Bet HERE @ 1.78
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%Hamburger SV Over 2.5
60%SC Freiburg Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Hamburger SV

WLLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
02 May 2026A Eintracht Frankfurt2-1
25 Apr 2026H 1899 Hoffenheim1-2
18 Apr 2026A Werder Bremen1-3
12 Apr 2026A VfB Stuttgart0-4
04 Apr 2026H FC Augsburg1-1

SC Freiburg

DLWWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
03 May 2026H VfL Wolfsburg1-1
26 Apr 2026A Borussia Dortmund0-4
19 Apr 2026H 1. FC Heidenheim2-1
12 Apr 2026A FSV Mainz 051-0
04 Apr 2026H Bayern München2-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 82% vs implied 74% · edge +8.6 pts
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.78
Bet HERE @ 1.78
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Hamburger SV1
Avg goals scored
SC Freiburg1.2
Hamburger SV2.2
Avg goals conceded
SC Freiburg1.8
Hamburger SV80%
BTTS rate
SC Freiburg60%
Hamburger SV80%
Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 82%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

1Hamburger SV wins
4Draws
5SC Freiburg wins
10 Jan 2026SC Freiburg v Hamburger SV2-1
30 Oct 2024SC Freiburg v Hamburger SV2-1
13 Jan 2023SC Freiburg v Hamburger SV6-2
19 Apr 2022Hamburger SV v SC Freiburg1-3
21 Apr 2018Hamburger SV v SC Freiburg1-0
01 Dec 2017SC Freiburg v Hamburger SV0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Bet HERE @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Hamburger SV4.4
Avg corners for
SC Freiburg3
Hamburger SV11.4
Avg total corners
SC Freiburg9
Hamburger SV1.8
Avg yellow cards
SC Freiburg1.6
Hamburger SV11.8
Avg shots
SC Freiburg11.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 52% · edge +16.9 pts
1.92
Bet HERE @ 1.92
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleI. Matanović Anytime GoalscorerI. Matanović · 8 goals · 1.03 SOT/90
76/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
Guilherme Ramos 1+ Shot On TargetGuilherme Ramos · 1.15 shots on target/90
74/100
Bet HERE
Otto Emerson Stange 2+ ShotsOtto Emerson Stange · 2.47 shots/90
74/100
Bet HERE
J. Dompé To Assist / Key Pass AngleJ. Dompé · 0 assists · 2.61 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
J. Manzambi To Be FouledJ. Manzambi · 3.35 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Cyriaque Kalou Irié Card RiskCyriaque Kalou Irié · 3 yellows · 2.89 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
I. Matanović
I. MatanovićSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat65/100
Shots /902.2
SOT /901.03
R. Philippe
R. PhilippeHamburger SV · Attacker
Goal threat57/100
Shots /902.02
SOT /901.05
R. Glatzel
R. GlatzelHamburger SV · Attacker
Goal threat53/100
Shots /902.11
SOT /900.98
Guilherme Ramos
Guilherme RamosHamburger SV · Defender
Goal threat17/100
Shots /901.15
SOT /901.15
A. Grønbæk
A. GrønbækHamburger SV · Midfielder
Goal threat36/100
Shots /901.14
SOT /901.14
Otto Emerson Stange
Otto Emerson StangeHamburger SV · Attacker
Goal threat17/100
Shots /902.47
SOT /900.62
Cyriaque Kalou Irié
Cyriaque Kalou IriéSC Freiburg · Attacker
Goal threat18/100
Shots /901.57
SOT /900.52
Y. Poulsen
Y. PoulsenHamburger SV · Attacker
Goal threat31/100
Shots /901.41
SOT /900.85
Season team stats

Bundesliga

Hamburger SV32
Played
SC Freiburg32
Hamburger SV1.1
Avg goals for
SC Freiburg1.4
Hamburger SV1.6
Avg goals against
SC Freiburg1.7
Hamburger SV6
Clean sheets
SC Freiburg6
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 41% · edge +16.3 pts
2.45
Bet HERE @ 2.45
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.78
Bet HERE @ 1.78
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.7
Bet HERE @ 2.7
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7SC Freiburg443212812-8
12Hamburger SV343281014-15

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.