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Hamburger SV crestHamburger SV
v
Everton crestEverton

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 01 Aug, 16:00

Hamburger SV v Everton Stats

Data last updated: Fri 31 Jul 2026, 04:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hamburger SV face Everton in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 01 Aug, 16:00. Polzin can approach the fixture with some optimism after the Heidenheim victory on July 25. Everton aim to turn defensive solidity into an attacking breakthrough against Hamburger, who have conceded in 16 consecutive matches.

BT4Y best bet

Everton to Win

  • Everton to Win is rated around 39% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Everton need to prove that defensive organisation can be turned into meaningful pressure at the other end.
  • Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hamburger SV.
  • Everton have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per match, which helps the Everton to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Everton to Win around 39% on the latest available numbers. Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hamburger SV. Everton need to prove that defensive organisation can be turned into meaningful pressure at the other end.

Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Everton have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Everton need to prove that defensive organisation can be.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Hamburger SV Win is the preferred angle because everton need to prove that defensive organisation can be turned into meaningful pressure at the other end. Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hamburger SV. Hamburger SV carry the stronger scoring threat, but Everton must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Hamburger SV carry the stronger scoring threat, but Everton must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Everton to Win evidence

Everton need to prove that defensive organisation can be turned into meaningful pressure at the other end.

Everton have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hamburger SV.

Everton have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.33 conceded per match, which helps the Hamburger SV Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Everton to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Hamburger SV2.5
    Avg goals scored
    Everton1.33
    Hamburger SV2
    Avg goals conceded
    Everton0.33
    Hamburger SV100%
    BTTS rate
    Everton0%
    Hamburger SV100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Everton33%

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Hamburger SV

    WL
    Last 51W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 1L
    25 Jul 2026A 1. FC Heidenheim3-1
    18 Jul 2026A Rapid Vienna2-3

    Everton

    LDW
    Last 51W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 1L
    28 Jul 2026A Stoke City0-1
    25 Jul 2026A Bolton0-0
    18 Jul 2026A Dundee4-0

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    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Hamburger SV wins
    0Draws
    0Everton wins

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    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Hamburger SV3
    Played
    Everton4
    Hamburger SV2
    Avg goals for
    Everton1.5
    Hamburger SV2
    Avg goals against
    Everton0.5
    Hamburger SV0
    Clean sheets
    Everton2

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Hamburger SV Over 2.5
    33%Everton Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Hamburger SV sit at 100% and Everton sit at 33%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.