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Ham-Kam crestHam-Kam
v
Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt

Eliteserien | Sat 17 Oct, 13:00

Ham-Kam v Bodo/Glimt Stats

Data last updated: Fri 16 Oct 2026, 09:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ham-Kam face Bodo/Glimt in a crucial Eliteserien clash where attacking intent is expected to dominate. Bodo/Glimt, sitting second in the league, have been prolific scorers averaging 2.6 goals per game, while Ham-Kam have struggled defensively, conceding 3.2 goals on average. Both teams have consistently featured high-scoring matches recently, with Ham-Kam and Bodo/Glimt each hitting over 2.5 goals in all their last fixtures. This game promises open play and goalmouth action, with both sides pushing for points in a season-defining encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.
  • Bodo/Glimt average 22.8 shots and 7.6 corners per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure.
  • Ham-Kam concede 3.2 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals, supporting a high-scoring outlook.
  • Top attackers like A. Hansen have strong goal and shot profiles, boosting scoring chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 3.5 Goals at 58% probability, slightly above the market's implied 57.8%, indicating a small positive . Both teams show strong attacking stats and poor defensive records, with Ham-Kam conceding heavily and Bodo/Glimt producing high shot volumes. The perfect recent over 2.5 goals rate for both sides and a high average goals per game in their head-to-head further support the likelihood of a goal-rich match. No data limitations affect in this prediction.

Model Probability58% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+0.2 pts)
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% for both teams
Strong positive
Defensive WeaknessHam-Kam concedes 3.2 goals per game
Positive
Attacking VolumeBodo/Glimt averages 22.8 shots per game
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals3.3 average goals in last 10 matches
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game given Bodo/Glimt's strong offensive output and Ham-Kam's defensive struggles. The data shows both teams consistently involved in high-scoring matches, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling choice. Tactical openness and recent form suggest multiple goal-scoring opportunities will arise, favoring a goal-heavy outcome.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“This fixture features two sides with contrasting defensive records but shared attacking ambition, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The volume of shots and goal threat from key players like Helmersen and Hansen underline the potential for multiple goals.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 100% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals this season.

Bodo/Glimt average 22.8 shots and 7.6 corners per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure.

Ham-Kam concede 3.2 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Recent head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals, supporting a high-scoring outlook.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • The last ten head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.3 goals, with a consistent trend of over 2.5 goals.
  • This recent history, combined with both teams' attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities, points to a fast-paced game with multiple goal-scoring opportunities and a strong likelihood of exceeding 2.5 goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ham-Kam1.8
Avg goals scored
Bodo/Glimt2.6
Ham-Kam3.2
Avg goals conceded
Bodo/Glimt1.6
Ham-Kam80%
BTTS rate
Bodo/Glimt100%
Ham-Kam100%
Over 2.5 goals
Bodo/Glimt100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 58% · edge +0.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have a perfect 100% over 2.5 goals rate this season, with Bodo/Glimt scoring 2.6 goals per game and Ham-Kam scoring 1.8. BTTS rates are also high, especially Bodo/Glimt's 100%, indicating both sides frequently find the net. This combination points to a match likely featuring multiple goals from both teams.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Ham-Kam Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 33%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Ham-Kam to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.15
Check odds @ 1.15
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+0.2 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Ham-Kam and 100% for Bodo/Glimt, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ham-Kam

WLLLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
11 Oct 2026A Start4-2
20 Sep 2026A Tromso2-3
13 Sep 2026H Molde1-5
05 Sep 2026A Rosenborg0-4
30 Aug 2026H Kristiansund BK2-2

Bodo/Glimt

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 0D 1L
10 Oct 2026H Kristiansund BK3-1
20 Sep 2026A Brann1-2
14 Sep 2026H Sandefjord3-2
04 Sep 2026A Fredrikstad2-1
30 Aug 2026H Rosenborg4-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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Ham-Kam Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 33%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Ham-Kam to WinBet365 guide price · model 26%
9.5
Check odds @ 9.5
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.15
Check odds @ 1.15
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 18%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Recent form data shows both teams consistently involved in high-scoring games, with Ham-Kam and Bodo/Glimt each having all recent matches exceed 2.5 goals. Bodo/Glimt's superior points haul and goal difference reflect their attacking efficiency, while Ham-Kam's defensive frailties contribute to the goal glut, reinforcing the Over 3.5 Goals outlook.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Ham-Kam Over 2.5
100%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
The last ten head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 3.3 goals, with a consistent trend of over 2.5 goals. This recent history, combined with both teams' attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities, points to a fast-paced game with multiple goal-scoring opportunities and a strong likelihood of exceeding 2.5 goals.

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