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Halmstad crestHalmstad
v
Hammarby FF crestHammarby FF

Allsvenskan | Sun 18 Oct, 15:30

Halmstad v Hammarby FF Stats

Data last updated: Mon 19 Oct 2026, 02:01 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Allsvenskan clash features Halmstad, struggling near the bottom of the table, hosting third-placed Hammarby FF. Halmstad's defensive vulnerabilities and Hammarby's more potent attack set the stage for a contest where Hammarby may press high and generate sustained pressure. Both teams have shown tendencies to concede and create chances, suggesting a dynamic match with territorial shifts and set-piece opportunities. The corner count is likely to be influenced by Hammarby's attacking intent and Halmstad's need to respond, making the corners market a key angle to watch.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Halmstad averages 5.6 corners per game, Hammarby FF 6.4, combining for over 12 per match on average.
  • Hammarby FF's attacking style generates more shots and pressure, increasing corner likelihood.
  • Recent form shows Halmstad and Hammarby FF matches often feature multiple corners due to open play and defensive pressure.
  • Both teams have moderate BTTS and goal rates, indicating open play that can lead to set-piece situations.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a favorable bet with a 62.2% chance, slightly above the implied market chance of 59.9%, yielding a positive . Both teams average over 5 corners per match, with Hammarby FF's aggressive attacking style contributing to sustained pressure and frequent set-piece opportunities. The combination of Halmstad's defensive struggles and Hammarby FF's shot volume supports a higher corner count. is solid at 64%, indicating a reliable statistical basis for this corners market selection.

Model Chance62.2% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+0.5 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance62.2% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+0.5 pts)
Neutral
Value Edge62.2% model chance vs 61.7% implied (+0.5 pts)
Positive
Halmstad Avg Corners5.6 per game
Positive
Hammarby FF Avg Corners6.4 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match where Hammarby FF's offensive pressure and Halmstad's defensive frailties combine to produce numerous corners. The statistical averages and recent form data suggest a lively contest with frequent set-piece situations, making Over 9.5 Corners a tactically and data-supported choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corners market

“The corner market stands out here due to Hammarby FF's high shot volume and Halmstad's defensive vulnerabilities, which typically translate into more corners through sustained pressure and forced clearances.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Halmstad averages 5.6 corners per game, Hammarby FF 6.4, combining for over 12 per match on average.

Hammarby FF's attacking style generates more shots and pressure, increasing corner likelihood.

Recent form shows Halmstad and Hammarby FF matches often feature multiple corners due to open play and defensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, indicating moderately open games.
  • Over the last five matches for both teams, attacking tempo and transitions have led to multiple goal-scoring chances and set-piece situations.
  • These trends suggest a match pace conducive to generating corners, especially with Hammarby FF's attacking pressure and Halmstad's defensive challenges.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Halmstad0.8
Avg goals scored
Hammarby FF1.4
Halmstad1.8
Avg goals conceded
Hammarby FF1.2
Halmstad40%
BTTS rate
Hammarby FF60%
Halmstad60%
Over 2.5 goals
Hammarby FF40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 44%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have moderate goal-scoring and BTTS rates, with Halmstad averaging 0.8 goals and Hammarby FF 1.4 per game. While not exceptionally high-scoring, the openness in play and defensive lapses contribute to opportunities that often lead to corners. The goal trends suggest a match with attacking intent but not necessarily a goal-fest, aligning with a corners-focused angle.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Halmstad Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Halmstad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%
10
Check odds @ 10
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
6
Check odds @ 6
Hammarby FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Hammarby FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The 62.2% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 61.7% implied by the current price (+0.5 pts). Hammarby FF lead the corner sample at 6.4 per match, with Halmstad lower at 5.6.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Halmstad

LWLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
12 Oct 2026A IF Elfsborg0-4
20 Sep 2026H AIK Stockholm2-1
12 Sep 2026A IFK Goteborg1-2
05 Sep 2026A Degerfors IF0-2
29 Aug 2026H Kalmar FF1-0

Hammarby FF

LWWDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
11 Oct 2026H Djurgardens IF0-1
20 Sep 2026A Degerfors IF1-0
13 Sep 2026H IF Brommapojkarna3-1
06 Sep 2026A Orgryte IS1-1
30 Aug 2026A AIK Stockholm2-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
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Halmstad Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 32%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Halmstad to WinBetMGM guide price · model 25%
10
Check odds @ 10
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
6
Check odds @ 6
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 79%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Hammarby FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Hammarby FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Recent form data shows Halmstad's matches have a 60% rate of Over 2.5 goals and 40% BTTS, while Hammarby FF's matches have a 40% Over 2.5 and 60% BTTS rate. Both teams' games regularly feature open play and attacking sequences, which typically generate multiple corners. This recent form supports the likelihood of a corner count exceeding 9.5 in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Halmstad Over 2.5
40%Hammarby FF Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.9, indicating moderately open games. Over the last five matches for both teams, attacking tempo and transitions have led to multiple goal-scoring chances and set-piece situations. These trends suggest a match pace conducive to generating corners, especially with Hammarby FF's attacking pressure and Halmstad's defensive challenges.

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