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Guadalajara Chivas crestGuadalajara Chivas
v
Toluca crestToluca

Liga MX | Sun 19 Jul, 02:07

Guadalajara Chivas v Toluca Stats

Data last updated: Sat 18 Jul 2026, 05:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Guadalajara Chivas face Toluca in Liga MX on Sun 19 Jul, 02:07.

BT4Y best bet

BTTS No

  • At 2.2, BTTS No implies roughly 46%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for BTTS No sits against roughly 46% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 46% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +8.5 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: BTTS No is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

What To Watch In The Data

BTTS No notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting BTTS No.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Guadalajara Chivas wins
4Draws
4Toluca wins
28 Feb 2026Toluca v Guadalajara Chivas2-0
21 Sep 2025Guadalajara Chivas v Toluca0-3
16 Feb 2025Toluca v Guadalajara Chivas2-1
07 Jul 2024Guadalajara Chivas v Toluca0-0
12 May 2024Toluca v Guadalajara Chivas0-0
09 May 2024Guadalajara Chivas v Toluca1-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 62% · edge -11.7 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Guadalajara Chivas

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Guadalajara Chivas yet.

Toluca

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Toluca yet.

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

Continue the research

Useful next reads

player stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Guadalajara Chivas-
Avg goals scored
Toluca-
Guadalajara Chivas-
Avg goals conceded
Toluca-
Guadalajara Chivas-
BTTS rate
Toluca-
Guadalajara Chivas-
Over 2.5 goals
Toluca-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 46% · edge +8.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 62% · edge -11.7 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Liga MX

Guadalajara Chivas0
Played
Toluca0
Guadalajara Chivas0
Avg goals for
Toluca0
Guadalajara Chivas0
Avg goals against
Toluca0
Guadalajara Chivas0
Clean sheets
Toluca0

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

Check odds

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Guadalajara Chivas000000
10Toluca000000
Guadalajara Chivas sit in position 8, while Toluca sit in position 10, so table pressure belongs in the BTTS No assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Guadalajara Chivas Over 2.5
-Toluca Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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