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Grimsby crestGrimsby
v
Salford City crestSalford City

League Two | Mon 29 Mar, 15:00

Grimsby v Salford City Stats

Data last updated: Sat 07 Nov 2026, 01:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Grimsby face Salford City in League Two on Mon 29 Mar, 15:00. Salford will be without Josh Austerfield and Ollie Turton due to injury, reducing Karl Robinson’s options ahead of such a demanding fixture.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Grimsby Win

  • At 11/10, Grimsby Win implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Salford City have conceded just three goals in their last six matches.
  • Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 7 for Grimsby.
  • Salford City have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Grimsby Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Grimsby sit 6 in the table, while Salford City sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Grimsby Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 48% while the model sits nearer 27% (-20.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 27% for Grimsby Win sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 7 for Grimsby. Salford City have conceded just three goals in their last six matches.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Negative
Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15.Visible data support
Positive
Salford City have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Salford City have conceded just three goals in their.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Grimsby Win is the preferred angle because salford City have conceded just three goals in their last six matches. Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 7 for Grimsby. spreads quickly when things are going well, but anxiety can creep in just as fast if momentum swings.

Main risk

spreads quickly when things are going well, but anxiety can creep in just as fast if momentum swings.

Key Data Signals

Grimsby Win evidence

Salford City have conceded just three goals in their last six matches.

Salford City have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 7 for Grimsby.

Salford City have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Grimsby Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Grimsby sit 6 in the table, while Salford City sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Grimsby Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Grimsby2.2
    Avg goals scored
    Salford City2.4
    Grimsby1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Salford City1
    Grimsby60%
    BTTS rate
    Salford City80%
    Grimsby60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Salford City80%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Grimsby

    WWDLL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    31 Oct 2026H York5-2
    24 Oct 2026A Gillingham4-1
    20 Oct 2026A Rochdale2-2
    17 Oct 2026H Northampton0-2
    10 Oct 2026A Port Vale0-1

    Salford City

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 109W 1D 0L
    31 Oct 2026H Exeter City2-1
    26 Oct 2026A Walsall4-2
    20 Oct 2026A Bristol Rovers2-1
    17 Oct 2026H Crawley Town2-1
    10 Oct 2026A Cheltenham2-0

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Grimsby Over 2.5
    80%Salford City Over 2.5
    2.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Grimsby sit at 60% and Salford City sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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