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Salford City crestSalford City

League Two | Sun 10 May, 15:00

Grimsby v Salford City Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 00:32 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Grimsby face Salford City in League Two on Sun 10 May, 15:00. Salford will be without Josh Austerfield and Ollie Turton due to injury, reducing Karl Robinson’s options ahead of such a demanding fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Grimsby Win

  • At 11/10, Grimsby Win implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
  • Salford City have conceded just three goals in their last six matches.
  • Grimsby have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Salford City.
  • Salford City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Grimsby Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Grimsby sit 7 in the table, while Salford City sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for Grimsby Win sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Grimsby have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Salford City. Salford City have conceded just three goals in their last six matches.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Positive
Grimsby have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Salford City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Salford City have conceded just three goals in their.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Grimsby Win is the preferred angle because salford City have conceded just three goals in their last six matches. Grimsby have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Salford City. spreads quickly when things are going well, but anxiety can creep in just as fast if momentum swings.

Main risk

spreads quickly when things are going well, but anxiety can creep in just as fast if momentum swings.

Key Data Signals

Grimsby Win evidence

Salford City have conceded just three goals in their last six matches.

Grimsby have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 8 for Salford City.

Salford City have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.4 conceded per match, which helps the Grimsby Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Grimsby sit 7 in the table, while Salford City sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Grimsby Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Grimsby2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Salford City0.8
    Grimsby1
    Avg goals conceded
    Salford City0.4
    Grimsby80%
    BTTS rate
    Salford City20%
    Grimsby80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Salford City20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 56% · edge +4.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 44%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 80% for Grimsby and 20% for Salford City, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickGrimsby to WinBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 49% · edge +11.7 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Grimsby Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Grimsby to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    League Two fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Grimsby v Salford Citycorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Grimsby5
    Avg corners for
    Salford City5.4
    Grimsby10.6
    Avg total corners
    Salford City10
    Grimsby1.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Salford City1.2
    Grimsby12.2
    Avg shots
    Salford City13.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 56% · edge +4.5 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Grimsby

    DWWWL
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 1D 2L
    02 May 2026A Tranmere1-1
    25 Apr 2026H Swindon Town4-0
    21 Apr 2026A Cambridge United2-1
    18 Apr 2026A Gillingham4-1
    14 Apr 2026A Chesterfield1-2

    Salford City

    DWWDL
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 2D 2L
    02 May 2026A Crawley Town0-0
    23 Apr 2026H Bromley2-0
    18 Apr 2026A Oldham2-1
    11 Apr 2026H Gillingham0-0
    06 Apr 2026A Crewe0-1
    Market aligned with main pickGrimsby to WinBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 49% · edge +11.7 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 85%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Grimsby Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Grimsby wins
    2Draws
    3Salford City wins
    03 Mar 2026Grimsby v Salford City3-1
    04 Oct 2025Salford City v Grimsby0-2
    15 Mar 2025Grimsby v Salford City0-1
    12 Oct 2024Salford City v Grimsby1-2
    29 Dec 2023Salford City v Grimsby0-3
    15 Aug 2023Grimsby v Salford City2-0
    Market aligned with main pickGrimsby to WinBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 49% · edge +11.7 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Grimsby to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    League Two

    Grimsby48
    Played
    Salford City49
    Grimsby1.6
    Avg goals for
    Salford City1.3
    Grimsby1.1
    Avg goals against
    Salford City1.2
    Grimsby17
    Clean sheets
    Salford City15
    Market aligned with main pickGrimsby to WinBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 49% · edge +11.7 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Grimsby Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Season data supports Grimsby to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4Salford City81462561510
    7Grimsby784622121224
    Grimsby sit in position 7, while Salford City sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Grimsby Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Grimsby Over 2.5
    20%Salford City Over 2.5
    2.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Grimsby sit at 80% and Salford City sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Grimsby v Salford City prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    League Two hubLeague Two fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Grimsby v Salford Citycorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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