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Gremio crestGremio
v
Flamengo crestFlamengo

Serie A | Sun 10 May, 23:30

Gremio v Flamengo Stats

BT4Y best bet

Flamengo to Win

  • At 1.95, Flamengo to Win is priced at roughly 51% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +18.7-point value edge.
  • Gremio have a recent record of 1W-3D-1L, while Flamengo come in at 4W-1D-0L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Flamengo to Win angle: Gremio have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2 goals scored and 0.4 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Flamengo to Win angle: Flamengo have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.95, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 53% · edge +22.8 pts
1.88
Bet HERE @ 1.88
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.92
Bet HERE @ 1.92
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

0%Gremio Over 2.5
80%Flamengo Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Gremio

DWLDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
03 May 2026A Atletico Paranaense0-0
26 Apr 2026H Coritiba1-0
19 Apr 2026A Cruzeiro0-2
12 Apr 2026A Internacional0-0
06 Apr 2026H Remo0-0

Flamengo

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
03 May 2026H Vasco DA Gama2-2
27 Apr 2026A Atletico-MG4-0
19 Apr 2026H Bahia2-0
12 Apr 2026A Fluminense2-1
05 Apr 2026H Santos3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 53% · edge +22.8 pts
1.88
Bet HERE @ 1.88
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.92
Bet HERE @ 1.92
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Gremio0.2
Avg goals scored
Flamengo2.6
Gremio0.4
Avg goals conceded
Flamengo0.8
Gremio0%
BTTS rate
Flamengo60%
Gremio0%
Over 2.5 goals
Flamengo80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 56% · edge +5.1 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

3Gremio wins
2Draws
5Flamengo wins
31 Aug 2025Flamengo v Gremio1-1
13 Apr 2025Gremio v Flamengo0-2
22 Sep 2024Gremio v Flamengo3-2
14 Jun 2024Flamengo v Gremio2-1
26 Oct 2023Gremio v Flamengo3-2
17 Aug 2023Flamengo v Gremio1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 51% · edge +18.7 pts
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Gremio3.8
Avg corners for
Flamengo3.2
Gremio8.6
Avg total corners
Flamengo9.2
Gremio2.6
Avg yellow cards
Flamengo2
Gremio12.4
Avg shots
Flamengo15.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 55% · edge +5.5 pts
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player anglePedro Anytime GoalscorerPedro · 8 goals · 1.14 SOT/90
79/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
Roger 1+ Shot On TargetRoger · 2.31 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
André Henrique 2+ ShotsAndré Henrique · 4.17 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Saúl To Assist / Key Pass AngleSaúl · 1 assists · 2.5 key passes/90
77/100
Bet HERE
Lucas Paquetá To Be FouledLucas Paquetá · 3.27 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Dodi Card RiskDodi · 2 yellows · 2.37 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Pedro
PedroFlamengo · Attacker
Goal threat72/100
Shots /901.63
SOT /901.14
G. Plata
G. PlataFlamengo · Midfielder
Goal threat71/100
Shots /902.8
SOT /901.98
Carlos Vinícius
Carlos ViníciusGremio · Attacker
Goal threat66/100
Shots /901.5
SOT /901.2
Roger
RogerGremio · Midfielder
Goal threat34/100
Shots /902.31
SOT /902.31
André Henrique
André HenriqueGremio · Attacker
Goal threat33/100
Shots /904.17
SOT /901.67
Tetê
TetêGremio · Midfielder
Goal threat42/100
Shots /902.39
SOT /900.95
Dodi
DodiGremio · Midfielder
Goal threat7/100
Shots /900.95
SOT /900
Riquelme Freitas
Riquelme FreitasGremio · Midfielder
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

Serie A

Gremio15
Played
Flamengo14
Gremio1
Avg goals for
Flamengo1.9
Gremio1.1
Avg goals against
Flamengo0.9
Gremio5
Clean sheets
Flamengo6
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 53% · edge +22.8 pts
1.88
Bet HERE @ 1.88
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.95
Bet HERE @ 1.95
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.92
Bet HERE @ 1.92
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Flamengo301493215
17Gremio1715456-2

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.