Gornik Zabrze

Ferencvarosi TC

UEFA Europa League | Thu 13 Aug, 18:00

Gornik Zabrze v Ferencvarosi TC Stats

Data last updated: Wed 12 Aug 2026, 08:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ferencvarosi TC enters this UEFA Europa League fixture in strong form, having accumulated 13 points recently with a solid defensive record conceding less than one goal per match. Gornik Zabrze, by contrast, has struggled to score and gain points, highlighting a clear momentum and quality gap. Ferencvarosi's tactical approach emphasizes control and efficient attack, leveraging key playmakers to exploit defensive weaknesses. This match presents a significant challenge for Gornik Zabrze, who must overcome both form and quality deficits to avoid defeat in this away tie.

BT4Y best bet

Ferencvarosi TC to Win

Ferencvarosi TC has won 13 points recently, showing strong form.
Gornik Zabrze has failed to score or earn points in recent matches.
Ferencvarosi TC concedes only 0.8 goals per game, indicating defensive solidity.
Ferencvarosi TC's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, suggesting attacking potency.
Gornik Zabrze has a 0% BTTS rate, reflecting offensive struggles.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Ferencvarosi TC to win with a 70% chance, supported by their recent unbeaten run and superior goal-scoring and defensive stats. Their high over 2.5 goals rate and ability to limit goals conceded underpin in their attacking and defensive balance. Gornik Zabrze's lack of recent goals and points further strengthens the away win case. No data limitations affect this view, and the offer positive value given the implied chance is significantly lower than the model's forecast.

Recent FormFerencvarosi TC unbeaten with 13 points vs Gornik Zabrze 0 points

Strong positive

Goal ScoringFerencvarosi TC averages 2 goals per game; Gornik Zabrze 0

Strong positive

Defensive RecordFerencvarosi TC concedes 0.8 goals per game

Positive

Market ValueOdds imply 29.4% chance vs model 70% chance

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Ferencvarosi TC's recent form and attacking efficiency make them the clear favorites to win this match. Their ability to control games and convert chances contrasts sharply with Gornik Zabrze's offensive struggles, suggesting a likely away victory in this UEFA Europa League encounter.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Ferencvarosi TC's consistent attacking threat and solid defensive shape provide a strong foundation for an away win, especially against a Gornik Zabrze side lacking recent scoring form.”

Key Data Signals

Ferencvarosi TC to Win evidence

Ferencvarosi TC has won 13 points recently, showing strong form.

Gornik Zabrze has failed to score or earn points in recent matches.

Ferencvarosi TC concedes only 0.8 goals per game, indicating defensive solidity.

Ferencvarosi TC's over 2.5 goals rate is 80%, suggesting attacking potency.

What To Watch In The Data

Ferencvarosi TC to Win notes

Recent matches involving Ferencvarosi TC show an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals, reflecting an attacking style that produces open, high-tempo games.
The single head-to-head meeting averaged only one goal, but current form and attacking trends suggest a more open and goal-rich fixture this time.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Gornik Zabrze0

Avg goals scored

Ferencvarosi TC2

Gornik Zabrze1

Avg goals conceded

Ferencvarosi TC0.8

Gornik Zabrze0%

BTTS rate

Ferencvarosi TC60%

Gornik Zabrze0%

Over 2.5 goals

Ferencvarosi TC80%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +14.7 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 51%

2.1

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Ferencvarosi TC's matches frequently feature over 2.5 goals and a 60% BTTS rate, indicating open games with attacking intent. Gornik Zabrze's recent matches show no goals scored or conceded, suggesting a defensive weakness that Ferencvarosi can exploit to produce a high-scoring encounter.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFerencvarosi TC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts

3.4

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Ferencvarosi TC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

The current for Ferencvarosi TC to win reflect a significant undervaluation compared to the model's 70% win probability. This positive suggests the market may be underestimating Ferencvarosi's form and quality advantage, making the away win a compelling price-sensitive opportunity.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Gornik Zabrze0

Avg corners for

Ferencvarosi TC0

Gornik Zabrze0

Avg total corners

Ferencvarosi TC0

Gornik Zabrze1

Avg yellow cards

Ferencvarosi TC1

Gornik Zabrze0

Avg shots

Ferencvarosi TC0

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

2.25

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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 29%

1.8

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

While corner and shot data is limited, Ferencvarosi TC's higher attacking output and possession control imply they will generate more shots and set-piece opportunities. Both teams average one yellow card per game, indicating a moderate fouling rate unlikely to disrupt flow significantly.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Gornik Zabrze

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

05 Aug 2026A Ferencvarosi TC0-1

Ferencvarosi TC

WDWWW

Last 54W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 104W 1D 0L

05 Aug 2026H Gornik Zabrze1-0

30 Jul 2026H Twente2-2

23 Jul 2026A Twente2-1

16 Jul 2026H Vojvodina3-0

09 Jul 2026A Vojvodina2-1

Market aligned with main pickFerencvarosi TC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts

3.4

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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 73%

1.73

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Ferencvarosi TC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Ferencvarosi TC's recent form is impressive, securing 13 points with a strong defensive record and consistent goal scoring. In contrast, Gornik Zabrze has failed to score or earn points recently, underscoring a clear momentum advantage for the away side heading into this fixture.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Gornik Zabrze wins

0Draws

1Ferencvarosi TC wins

05 Aug 2026Ferencvarosi TC v Gornik Zabrze1-0

Market aligned with main pickFerencvarosi TC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

The limited head-to-head history includes only one match with a low average of one goal, providing minimal direct evidence. Current form and attacking statistics offer a stronger guide for this fixture than past meetings, which should be treated as background context only.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Gornik Zabrze1

Played

Ferencvarosi TC5

Gornik Zabrze0

Avg goals for

Ferencvarosi TC2

Gornik Zabrze1

Avg goals against

Ferencvarosi TC0.8

Gornik Zabrze0

Clean sheets

Ferencvarosi TC2

Market aligned with main pickFerencvarosi TC to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

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Ferencvarosi TC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Ferencvarosi TC's season statistics reveal a potent attack averaging two goals per game and a solid defense conceding fewer than one goal per match. Gornik Zabrze's lack of goals and points highlights their struggles, reinforcing the expectation of an away win based on season-long performance.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Gornik Zabrze Over 2.5

80%Ferencvarosi TC Over 2.5

1H2H avg goals

Recent matches involving Ferencvarosi TC show an 80% rate of over 2.5 goals, reflecting an attacking style that produces open, high-tempo games. The single head-to-head meeting averaged only one goal, but current form and attacking trends suggest a more open and goal-rich fixture this time.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Gornik Zabrze v Ferencvarosi TC Stats

Match Report

Ferencvarosi TC to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Gornik Zabrze

Ferencvarosi TC

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Gornik Zabrze v Ferencvarosi TC Stats

Match Report

Ferencvarosi TC to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Gornik Zabrze

Ferencvarosi TC

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