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Ekstraklasa | Sat 31 Oct, 19:15

GKS Katowice v Widzew Łódź Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

GKS Katowice hosts Widzew Łódź in this Ekstraklasa clash with both sides aiming to improve their mid-table standings. Katowice has shown stronger recent form, collecting 9 points in their last matches compared to Widzew Łódź's 4, and boasts a more potent attack averaging 1.8 goals per game. Widzew Łódź, while resilient, has struggled to convert chances and ranks lower in the table, increasing the pressure on them. The tactical battle will likely see Katowice leverage home advantage and attacking depth to control the game tempo and press for a win.

BT4Y best bet

GKS Katowice to Win

  • GKS Katowice has a 70% to win, with suggesting good value at 2.05.
  • Katowice averages 15.4 shots per game with 4.2 on target, indicating strong offensive pressure.
  • Widzew Łódź concedes 1.2 goals per game and has a weaker recent points tally (4) than Katowice (9).
  • Katowice ranks 8th with 18 points, comfortably above Widzew Łódź's 14th place and 11 points.
  • Head-to-head matches average 2.5 goals, supporting an open game but Katowice's form favors a home win.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors GKS Katowice to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, stronger attacking output, and higher league standing. Katowice's average of 15.4 shots per game and 60% over 2.5 goals rate underline their offensive threat. Widzew Łódź's lower points tally and defensive vulnerabilities further support this pick. The at 2.05 offer positive value with a 21.2% edge, making the home win a compelling selection. No data limitations affect in this analysis.

Recent FormKatowice 9 points vs Widzew 4 points
Strong positive
Attacking OutputKatowice 1.8 goals/game vs Widzew 1.0
Strong positive
League PositionKatowice 8th vs Widzew 14th
Positive
Shots & PressureKatowice 15.4 shots/game, 4.2 SOT
Positive
Odds Value Edge63.8% model chance vs 48.8% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

GKS Katowice's superior recent form and offensive firepower make them the logical choice to secure victory. Their ability to create and convert chances, combined with Widzew Łódź's defensive struggles and lower league position, suggests Katowice will control the match and earn the three points.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and attacking advantage

“Katowice's attacking consistency and home advantage position them well to capitalize on Widzew Łódź's defensive lapses. Expect a disciplined performance that leverages their shooting volume and key playmakers to break down the visitors.”

Key Data Signals

GKS Katowice to Win evidence

GKS Katowice has a 70% to win, with suggesting good value at 2.05.

Katowice averages 15.4 shots per game with 4.2 on target, indicating strong offensive pressure.

Widzew Łódź concedes 1.2 goals per game and has a weaker recent points tally (4) than Katowice (9).

Katowice ranks 8th with 18 points, comfortably above Widzew Łódź's 14th place and 11 points.

What To Watch In The Data

GKS Katowice to Win notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 2.5 goals, indicating a moderately open fixture with scoring opportunities.
  • Katowice's 60% over 2.5 goals rate compared to Widzew's 40% suggests a higher likelihood of a goal-rich game influenced by Katowice's attacking intent and home advantage.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickGKS Katowice to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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GKS Katowice Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 63.8% for GKS Katowice to Win sits against roughly 48.8% implied by the current price (+15 pts). GKS Katowice have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 4 for Widzew Łódź.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

GKS Katowice1.8
Avg goals scored
Widzew Łódź1
GKS Katowice1.2
Avg goals conceded
Widzew Łódź1.2
GKS Katowice60%
BTTS rate
Widzew Łódź80%
GKS Katowice60%
Over 2.5 goals
Widzew Łódź40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 65% · edge +10.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have shown moderate goal-scoring ability, with Katowice averaging 1.8 goals and Widzew Łódź 1.0. Katowice's 60% BTTS rate versus Widzew's 80% indicates both sides can score, but Katowice's stronger attack suggests a likely open game with goals from both teams possible.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

GKS Katowice

LLWWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 5L
24 Oct 2026A Korona Kielce0-1
17 Oct 2026H Pogon Szczecin0-1
12 Oct 2026H Wieczysta Kraków2-1
09 Oct 2026A Raków Częstochowa4-1
19 Sep 2026H Cracovia Krakow3-2

Widzew Łódź

DDLDD
Last 50W 4D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 6D 3L
23 Oct 2026H Gornik Zabrze1-1
16 Oct 2026H Wisla Krakow0-0
11 Oct 2026A Piast Gliwice1-2
18 Sep 2026H Wieczysta Kraków2-2
13 Sep 2026A Legia Warszawa1-1
Market aligned with main pickGKS Katowice to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
GKS Katowice Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
GKS Katowice's recent form is markedly stronger, having secured 9 points compared to Widzew Łódź's 4 in recent matches. Katowice's ability to score 1.8 goals per game while maintaining a reasonable defensive record of 1.2 goals conceded supports their and momentum heading into this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%GKS Katowice Over 2.5
40%Widzew Łódź Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches between these teams have averaged 2.5 goals, indicating a moderately open fixture with scoring opportunities. Katowice's 60% over 2.5 goals rate compared to Widzew's 40% suggests a higher likelihood of a goal-rich game influenced by Katowice's attacking intent and home advantage.

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