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GKS Katowice crestGKS Katowice
v
Arka Gdynia crestArka Gdynia

Friendlies Clubs | Sun 28 Jun, 13:00

GKS Katowice v Arka Gdynia Stats

Data last updated: Sat 27 Jun 2026, 03:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

GKS Katowice face Arka Gdynia in Friendlies Clubs on Sun 28 Jun, 13:00. GKS Katowice come in with 9 recent points and 2.4 goals per match, while Arka Gdynia have 10 points and 2.75 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Arka Gdynia to Win

  • At 4, Arka Gdynia Win implies roughly 25%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 53%.
  • Arka Gdynia have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for GKS Katowice.
  • Arka Gdynia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Arka Gdynia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 53% for Arka Gdynia Win sits against roughly 25% implied by the current price. Arka Gdynia have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for GKS Katowice.

Model chance vs price53% model chance against roughly 25% implied
Strong positive
Arka Gdynia have the stronger recent points return, taking 10.Visible data support
Positive
Arka Gdynia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Arka Gdynia Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Arka Gdynia have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for GKS Katowice. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Arka Gdynia Win evidence

Arka Gdynia have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 9 for GKS Katowice.

Arka Gdynia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Arka Gdynia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Arka Gdynia Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    GKS Katowice2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Arka Gdynia2.75
    GKS Katowice1.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Arka Gdynia0.5
    GKS Katowice40%
    BTTS rate
    Arka Gdynia50%
    GKS Katowice80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Arka Gdynia50%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 86% vs implied 83% · edge +2.2 pts
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 37%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 1.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for GKS Katowice and 50% for Arka Gdynia, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickArka Gdynia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 25% · edge +28.4 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    Arka Gdynia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.85
    Check odds @ 2.85
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Arka Gdynia to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    GKS Katowice

    WLWWL
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 0D 2L
    25 Jun 2026H Świt Skolwin7-0
    14 Feb 2026H Podbeskidzie1-4
    20 Jan 2026H TSC Backa Topola2-1
    17 Jan 2026H Atert Bissen2-0
    14 Jan 2026A FK Jablonec0-3

    Arka Gdynia

    WWWD
    Last 53W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 0L
    20 Jan 2026H Radnicki NIS2-0
    20 Jan 2026H FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV4-1
    15 Jan 2026H Gangwon FC4-0
    10 Jan 2026H Csikszereda1-1
    Market aligned with main pickArka Gdynia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 25% · edge +28.4 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
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    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Arka Gdynia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.85
    Check odds @ 2.85
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2GKS Katowice wins
    3Draws
    3Arka Gdynia wins
    22 Feb 2026Arka Gdynia v GKS Katowice2-1
    16 Aug 2025GKS Katowice v Arka Gdynia4-1
    26 May 2024Arka Gdynia v GKS Katowice0-1
    02 Dec 2023GKS Katowice v Arka Gdynia1-1
    01 Apr 2023Arka Gdynia v GKS Katowice2-2
    28 Aug 2022GKS Katowice v Arka Gdynia0-1
    Market aligned with main pickArka Gdynia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 25% · edge +28.4 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Arka Gdynia to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    GKS Katowice7
    Played
    Arka Gdynia5
    GKS Katowice2.4
    Avg goals for
    Arka Gdynia2.2
    GKS Katowice1.1
    Avg goals against
    Arka Gdynia0.8
    GKS Katowice4
    Clean sheets
    Arka Gdynia2
    Market aligned with main pickArka Gdynia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 25% · edge +28.4 pts
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Load more odds for this section
    Arka Gdynia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.85
    Check odds @ 2.85
    Season data supports Arka Gdynia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%GKS Katowice Over 2.5
    50%Arka Gdynia Over 2.5
    3.25H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: GKS Katowice sit at 80% and Arka Gdynia sit at 50% with the H2H average at 3.25 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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