Football Stats Hub

Giana Erminio crestGiana Erminio
v
Alcione crestAlcione

Serie C - Girone A | Sat 31 Oct, 16:30

Giana Erminio v Alcione Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Giana Erminio and Alcione face off in a Serie C Girone A clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities. Giana Erminio sits 15th with 11 points, while Alcione is 8th with 15 points, reflecting a mid-table battle with room for movement. Recent form data highlights Giana Erminio scoring 1.4 goals per game and Alcione 1.8, with both sides conceding over one goal per match. This fixture is poised for open play and goal-scoring chances from both sides, setting the stage for a contest where both teams are likely to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Giana Erminio has an 80% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • Alcione boasts a 100% BTTS rate, indicating consistent goal-scoring and conceding in matches.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting open games with multiple goals.
  • Recent form shows Giana Erminio scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 1.0 per match, while Alcione scores 1.8 and concedes 1.4.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.6 over the last five meetings, supporting a goal-filled encounter.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking tendencies and defensive lapses on both sides. Alcione's perfect BTTS record and Giana Erminio's high BTTS rate underpin this . The implied of 1.8 offer positive value against the 55.6% market chance, making this a statistically supported pick. Both teams' recent goal averages and the head-to-head goal frequency reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations affect this analysis, supporting a standard stake recommendation.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Alcione BTTS Rate100%
Strong positive
Giana Erminio BTTS Rate80%
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals Rate Both Teams60% each
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals2.6 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown a willingness to attack but also concede regularly, making both teams to score a logical choice. Alcione's perfect BTTS record and Giana Erminio's solid attacking form suggest goals at both ends. The data supports an open game where defensive frailties will be exploited, aligning well with the BTTS selection.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two sides with attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams to score a compelling pick supported by consistent BTTS rates and recent scoring trends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Giana Erminio has an 80% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent goals conceded and scored.

Alcione boasts a 100% BTTS rate, indicating consistent goal-scoring and conceding in matches.

Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, suggesting open games with multiple goals.

Recent form shows Giana Erminio scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 1.0 per match, while Alcione scores 1.8 and concedes 1.4.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, both teams have a 60% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, and their head-to-head average is 2.6 goals per game.
  • This trend indicates a tempo favoring open play and multiple scoring opportunities, supporting the expectation of a goal-rich encounter consistent with BTTS outcomes.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Giana Erminio1.4
Avg goals scored
Alcione1.8
Giana Erminio1
Avg goals conceded
Alcione1.4
Giana Erminio80%
BTTS rate
Alcione100%
Giana Erminio60%
Over 2.5 goals
Alcione60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have strong BTTS rates this season, with Alcione at 100% and Giana Erminio at 80%. Their goal averages (1.8 and 1.4 respectively) and conceding rates support an open game with goals at both ends. The head-to-head average of 2.6 goals over five matches further confirms a trend toward matches featuring multiple goals and BTTS outcomes.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Giana Erminio Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Giana Erminio to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Alcione Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Alcione to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
The 70.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Giana Erminio show a 80% BTTS rate and Alcione show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Giana Erminio

WWDDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
25 Oct 2026A Desenzano Calvina2-1
19 Oct 2026H Union Brescia2-1
11 Oct 2026A Renate2-2
04 Oct 2026A Treviso0-0
26 Sep 2026H PRO Vercelli1-1

Alcione

LWDDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 6D 2L
24 Oct 2026H Athletic Carpi1-2
18 Oct 2026H Desenzano Calvina4-1
11 Oct 2026A Lecco1-1
04 Oct 2026H Trento2-2
27 Sep 2026A Albinoleffe1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 74% · edge +7.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Giana Erminio Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Giana Erminio to WinBetfred guide price · model 55%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Alcione Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Alcione to WinBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Recent form shows Giana Erminio earning 9 points with 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per match, while Alcione has 6 points with 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Both teams' recent matches have featured goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS trend and indicating momentum toward open, goal-filled games.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Giana Erminio Over 2.5
60%Alcione Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, both teams have a 60% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, and their head-to-head average is 2.6 goals per game. This trend indicates a tempo favoring open play and multiple scoring opportunities, supporting the expectation of a goal-rich encounter consistent with BTTS outcomes.

Loading deeper match data…