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Getafe crestGetafe
v
Osasuna crestOsasuna

La Liga | Sat 23 May, 20:00

Getafe v Osasuna Stats

Data last updated: Tue 09 Jun 2026, 03:26 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Getafe face Osasuna in La Liga on Sat 23 May, 20:00. Osasuna travel in terrible form, having suffered four straight league defeats and securing only one point from their last five away fixtures. Getafe’s defensive style under Bordalas targets controlled, narrow wins, illustrated by their recent clean sheet trends. Midfield discipline may decide everything

BT4Y best bet

Getafe to Win Getafe enter this final-day collision with immense motivation backing their performance

  • At 6/4, Getafe Win implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 45%.
  • Getafe have won three of their last five home matches and carry significant motivation to capture a European spot.
  • Getafe have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Osasuna.
  • Getafe have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Getafe Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Getafe sit 7 in the table, while Osasuna sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 45% for Getafe Win sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Getafe have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Osasuna. Getafe have won three of their last five home matches and carry significant motivation to capture a European spot.

Model chance vs price45% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Neutral
Getafe have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Getafe have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Getafe have won three of their last five home.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Getafe Win is the preferred angle because getafe have won three of their last five home matches and carry significant motivation to capture a European spot. Getafe have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Osasuna. It is a straightforward, direct option but provides no safety margin if the contest ends level.

Main risk

It is a straightforward, direct option but provides no safety margin if the contest ends level.

Key Data Signals

Getafe Win evidence

Getafe have won three of their last five home matches and carry significant motivation to capture a European.

Getafe have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Osasuna.

Getafe have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Getafe Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Getafe sit 7 in the table, while Osasuna sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Getafe Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Getafe4.4
    Avg corners for
    Osasuna5
    Getafe6.8
    Avg total corners
    Osasuna11.4
    Getafe2.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Osasuna2.2
    Getafe9.8
    Avg shots
    Osasuna15.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 44% · edge +23.5 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 62%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Getafe0.6
    Avg goals scored
    Osasuna1.4
    Getafe1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Osasuna2
    Getafe20%
    BTTS rate
    Osasuna100%
    Getafe20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Osasuna100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 44% · edge +25.6 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
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    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
    6
    Check odds @ 6
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 34%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickGetafe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 37% · edge +8.2 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 68%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 62%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Getafe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Getafe to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Getafe

    LWDLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 5L
    17 May 2026A Elche0-1
    13 May 2026H Mallorca3-1
    10 May 2026A Oviedo0-0
    03 May 2026H Rayo Vallecano0-2
    25 Apr 2026H Barcelona0-2

    Osasuna

    LLLLW
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 6L
    17 May 2026H Espanyol1-2
    12 May 2026H Atletico Madrid1-2
    08 May 2026A Levante2-3
    02 May 2026H Barcelona1-2
    26 Apr 2026H Sevilla2-1
    Market aligned with main pickGetafe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 37% · edge +8.2 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
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    Getafe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 75%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Getafe wins
    3Draws
    2Osasuna wins
    03 Oct 2025Osasuna v Getafe2-1
    16 Mar 2025Osasuna v Getafe1-2
    05 Oct 2024Getafe v Osasuna1-1
    21 Jan 2024Osasuna v Getafe3-2
    17 Sep 2023Getafe v Osasuna3-2
    28 May 2023Getafe v Osasuna2-1
    Market aligned with main pickGetafe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 37% · edge +8.2 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 70%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Getafe to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    La Liga

    Getafe38
    Played
    Osasuna38
    Getafe0.8
    Avg goals for
    Osasuna1.2
    Getafe1
    Avg goals against
    Osasuna1.3
    Getafe12
    Clean sheets
    Osasuna7
    Market aligned with main pickGetafe to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 37% · edge +8.2 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Getafe Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 55%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Season data supports Getafe to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7Getafe513815617-6
    17Osasuna423811918-6
    Getafe sit in position 7, while Osasuna sit in position 17, so table pressure belongs in the Getafe Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Getafe Over 2.5
    100%Osasuna Over 2.5
    2.6H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Getafe sit at 20% and Osasuna sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.