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Getafe crestGetafe
v
Barcelona crestBarcelona

La Liga | Sat 25 Apr, 15:15

Getafe v Barcelona Stats

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 3.75, Under 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 27% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 60%, so the current line is showing a +33.7-point value edge.
  • Getafe are at 20% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Barcelona are at 60%, and the H2H goal average is 2.1.
  • The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Getafe have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Under 2.5 Goals angle: Barcelona have taken 5 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3.75, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 29% · edge +31.4 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.35
Bet HERE @ 1.35
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 19%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

20%Getafe Over 2.5
60%Barcelona Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Getafe

WLWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 0D 3L
22 Apr 2026A Real Sociedad1-0
13 Apr 2026A Levante0-1
05 Apr 2026H Athletic Club2-0
21 Mar 2026A Espanyol2-1
14 Mar 2026A Atletico Madrid0-1

Barcelona

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 0D 1L
22 Apr 2026H Celta Vigo1-0
11 Apr 2026H Espanyol4-1
04 Apr 2026A Atletico Madrid2-1
22 Mar 2026H Rayo Vallecano1-0
15 Mar 2026H Sevilla5-2
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 61% · edge +9.4 pts
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.35
Bet HERE @ 1.35
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
DrawBetfred guide price · model 19%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Getafe1
Avg goals scored
Barcelona2.6
Getafe0.6
Avg goals conceded
Barcelona0.8
Getafe20%
BTTS rate
Barcelona60%
Getafe20%
Over 2.5 goals
Barcelona60%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 27% · edge +33.7 pts
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 60%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
13
Bet HERE @ 13
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Getafe wins
4Draws
6Barcelona wins
21 Sep 2025Barcelona v Getafe3-0
18 Jan 2025Getafe v Barcelona1-1
25 Sep 2024Barcelona v Getafe1-0
24 Feb 2024Barcelona v Getafe4-0
13 Aug 2023Getafe v Barcelona0-0
16 Apr 2023Getafe v Barcelona0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 60% vs implied 29% · edge +31.4 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
DrawBetfred guide price · model 19%
3.75
Bet HERE @ 3.75
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Getafe4.2
Avg corners for
Barcelona6
Getafe12
Avg total corners
Barcelona10.4
Getafe4.8
Avg yellow cards
Barcelona1.8
Getafe7.4
Avg shots
Barcelona16
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 46% · edge +22.5 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 68%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleLamine Yamal Anytime GoalscorerLamine Yamal · 16 goals · 1.47 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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Ferran Torres 1+ Shot On TargetFerran Torres · 1.7 shots on target/90
81/100
Bet HERE
Lamine Yamal 2+ ShotsLamine Yamal · 3.37 shots/90
81/100
Bet HERE
Lamine Yamal To Assist / Key Pass AngleLamine Yamal · 11 assists · 2.86 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Lamine Yamal To Be FouledLamine Yamal · 2.06 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Mario Martín Card RiskMario Martín · 11 yellows · 2.97 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Lamine Yamal
Lamine YamalBarcelona · Midfielder
Goal threat98/100
Shots /903.37
SOT /901.47
Ferran Torres
Ferran TorresBarcelona · Attacker
Goal threat96/100
Shots /902.65
SOT /901.7
R. Lewandowski
R. LewandowskiBarcelona · Attacker
Goal threat95/100
Shots /902.79
SOT /901.7
R. Bardghji
R. BardghjiBarcelona · Midfielder
Goal threat55/100
Shots /902.56
SOT /901.7
Raphinha
RaphinhaBarcelona · Midfielder
Goal threat93/100
Shots /902.99
SOT /901.36
Mario Martín
Mario MartínGetafe · Midfielder
Goal threat24/100
Shots /900.69
SOT /900.27
A. Abqar
A. AbqarGetafe · Defender
Goal threat14/100
Shots /900.41
SOT /900.07
A. Nyom
A. NyomGetafe · Defender
Goal threat11/100
Shots /900.5
SOT /900.25
Season team stats

La Liga

Getafe36
Played
Barcelona36
Getafe0.9
Avg goals for
Barcelona2.5
Getafe1
Avg goals against
Barcelona0.9
Getafe11
Clean sheets
Barcelona15
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 61% · edge +9.4 pts
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.35
Bet HERE @ 1.35
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
3.1
Bet HERE @ 3.1
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Barcelona9136301559
7Getafe483614616-6

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.