Football Stats Hub

Galway United crestGalway United
v
Shamrock Rovers crestShamrock Rovers

Premier Division | Fri 16 Oct, 19:45

Galway United v Shamrock Rovers Stats

Data last updated: Fri 06 Nov 2026, 01:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Galway United face Shamrock Rovers in Premier Division on Fri 16 Oct, 19:45. Galway United vs Shamrock Rovers Preview: League Leaders Target Another Victory. Galway United's Asian Handicap +0.75 is supported by Shamrock Rovers' recent away winless run and defensive lapses, combined with Galway's consistent scoring.

BT4Y best bet

Galway United Asian Handicap +0

  • At 90, Galway United Asian Handicap +0 implies roughly 1%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 16%.
  • Shamrock Rovers have conceded nine goals across their previous six matches, keeping zero clean sheets in their last five.
  • Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Galway United.
  • Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Galway United Asian Handicap +0 angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Galway United sit 8 in the table, while Shamrock Rovers sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 16% for Galway United Asian Handicap +0 sits against roughly 1% implied by the current price. Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Galway United. Shamrock Rovers have conceded nine goals across their previous six matches, keeping zero clean sheets in their last five.

Model chance vs price16% model chance against roughly 1% implied
Strong positive
Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 10.Visible data support
Positive
Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Shamrock Rovers have conceded nine goals across their previous.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Galway United Win is the preferred angle because shamrock Rovers have conceded nine goals across their previous six matches, keeping zero clean sheets in their last five. Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Galway United. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Galway United Asian Handicap +0 evidence

Shamrock Rovers have conceded nine goals across their previous six matches, keeping zero clean sheets in their last.

Shamrock Rovers have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 5 for Galway United.

Shamrock Rovers have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Galway United Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Galway United sit 8 in the table, while Shamrock Rovers sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Galway United Asian Handicap +0 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Galway United1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Shamrock Rovers1.6
    Galway United1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Shamrock Rovers1.2
    Galway United80%
    BTTS rate
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    Galway United40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Shamrock Rovers60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 55%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickGalway United to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 24% · edge +2.6 pts
    4.1
    Check odds @ 4.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 74%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Galway United Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Galway United to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Galway United

    DLWLD
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 5D 2L
    25 Sep 2026H Shelbourne1-1
    18 Sep 2026A Derry City0-1
    14 Sep 2026A Sligo Rovers3-1
    11 Sep 2026H Bohemians2-3
    28 Aug 2026H Shelbourne1-1

    Shamrock Rovers

    WWWLD
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 3D 1L
    12 Oct 2026H Bohemians2-1
    08 Oct 2026H Drogheda United3-1
    18 Sep 2026H Waterford3-2
    11 Sep 2026A St Patrick's Athl.0-2
    04 Sep 2026H Shelbourne0-0
    Market aligned with main pickGalway United to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 27% vs implied 24% · edge +2.6 pts
    4.1
    Check odds @ 4.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Galway United Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Galway United Over 2.5
    60%Shamrock Rovers Over 2.5
    1.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Galway United sit at 40% and Shamrock Rovers sit at 60% with the H2H average at 1.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Loading deeper match data…