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Galway United crestGalway United
v
Bohemians crestBohemians

Premier Division | Fri 11 Sep, 19:45

Galway United v Bohemians Stats

Data last updated: Thu 17 Sep 2026, 01:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bohemians return to Premier Division action at Dalymount Park aiming to close the gap on league leaders Shamrock Rovers. Their potent attack, having scored 40 goals in 25 matches, is in strong form, netting at least twice in three consecutive league games. Galway United arrive under pressure near the relegation zone, having conceded in all 12 away league fixtures but maintaining a reliable scoring threat in seven of their last eight away matches. This clash pits Bohemians' attacking quality and home momentum against Galway's resilience and need for points, setting up a high-stakes encounter with contrasting urgencies and tactical challenges.

BT4Y best bet

Bohemians to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Bohemians have scored in all of their last 5 matches, averaging over 2 goals per game recently.
  • Galway United have conceded in every away league match this season, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Both teams have scored in 60% of their recent matches, supporting a BTTS outcome.
  • Bohemians have won their last three league games, showing strong momentum at home.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Bohemians to win with both teams scoring at 39.1% chance, reflecting their league-leading attack and Galway's consistent away goals despite defensive frailties. Bohemians' recent scoring streak and Galway's conceded goals in all away matches create a plausible scenario for both sides to find the net. The price offers a small positive edge, indicating reasonable value given the tactical context and recent form. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Bohemians' attacking form40 goals in 25 matches, 3 consecutive games with 2+ goals
Strong positive
Galway's away defensive recordConceded in all 12 away league games
Strong positive
Both teams scoring rate60% BTTS rate for both sides recently
Positive
Recent momentumBohemians won last 3 league matches
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bohemians' attacking prowess and home form make them favorites to win, while Galway's ability to score away ensures both teams will likely find the net. The tactical setup suggests an open game where Bohemians' creativity and Galway's direct attacking routes will produce goals at both ends.

Main risk

Galway United carry the stronger scoring threat, but Bohemians must contribute for BTTS to land.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · attacking and defensive tactical interplay

“Bohemians' dynamic midfield and forward line, led by Colm Whelan, should exploit Galway's defensive vulnerabilities, but Galway's consistent away scoring means this match is unlikely to be a clean sheet for either side.”

Key Data Signals

Bohemians to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Bohemians have scored in all of their last 5 matches, averaging over 2 goals per game recently.

Galway United have conceded in every away league match this season, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities.

Both teams have scored in 60% of their recent matches, supporting a BTTS outcome.

Bohemians have won their last three league games, showing strong momentum at home.

What To Watch In The Data

Bohemians to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.4, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Bohemians' recent matches have a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting an open game with multiple scoring opportunities, while Galway's defensive vulnerabilities contribute to this trend.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Galway United3
Avg corners for
Bohemians8.67
Galway United10.25
Avg total corners
Bohemians11.67
Galway United2.75
Avg yellow cards
Bohemians1.33
Galway United9.75
Avg shots
Bohemians20.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Bohemians average 7 corners and 18 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Galway's lower averages reflect a more defensive posture, but their 2.2 yellow cards per game suggest physical challenges that could disrupt Bohemians' rhythm and create set-piece opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Galway United0.8
Avg goals scored
Bohemians2.4
Galway United0.6
Avg goals conceded
Bohemians1.4
Galway United60%
BTTS rate
Bohemians60%
Galway United20%
Over 2.5 goals
Bohemians60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have a 60% recent BTTS rate, supported by Bohemians' league-leading 40 goals and Galway's scoring in seven of their last eight away matches. Galway's consistent conceding in all away games further supports a match with goals at both ends, making BTTS a logical expectation.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +6.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The market price of 2.875 for Bohemians to win and both teams to score aligns closely with the model's 39.1% chance, offering a small positive . This reflects in Bohemians' scoring ability and Galway's defensive frailties, though the price is not deeply undervalued, suggesting a balanced risk-reward scenario.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Galway United

DWDDD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
28 Aug 2026H Shelbourne1-1
21 Aug 2026A Dundalk2-1
07 Aug 2026H Drogheda United0-0
02 Aug 2026A Bohemians1-1
25 Jul 2026H Waterford0-0

Bohemians

WWLDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
28 Aug 2026H Sligo Rovers3-0
21 Aug 2026H Derry City5-3
09 Aug 2026A Waterford1-3
02 Aug 2026H Galway United1-1
03 Jul 2026A Drogheda United2-0
Market aligned with main pickAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 84% vs implied 82% · edge +2 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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Bohemians to WinBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Bohemians have won 10 of their last 17 matches when scoring first and currently enjoy a three-game winning streak with multiple goals scored. Galway's recent away form is weaker, with six losses in seven matches, but they have maintained a scoring presence in most games, indicating resilience despite defensive lapses.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Galway United wins
3Draws
4Bohemians wins
02 Aug 2026Bohemians v Galway United1-1
22 May 2026Galway United v Bohemians2-4
13 Mar 2026Bohemians v Galway United1-0
17 Oct 2025Galway United v Bohemians2-0
11 Jul 2025Bohemians v Galway United3-0
05 May 2025Galway United v Bohemians1-2
Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +6.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Previous meetings show Bohemians' ability to score multiple goals against Galway, including a 4-2 win earlier this season. The head-to-head record supports Bohemians' attacking edge but also highlights Galway's capacity to score, reinforcing the BTTS aspect of the pick.
Season team stats

Premier Division

Galway United30
Played
Bohemians30
Galway United1.4
Avg goals for
Bohemians1.8
Galway United1.5
Avg goals against
Bohemians1.2
Galway United3
Clean sheets
Bohemians11
Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +6.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Bohemians lead the Premier Division in goals scored with 40 in 25 matches, showcasing a potent attack. Galway have conceded in every away league game, highlighting defensive instability. This contrast underpins the expectation of a Bohemians win with both teams scoring, reflecting season-long attacking and defensive trends.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Bohemians5330158717
6Galway United373091011-5
Bohemians sit third with 50 points, chasing the leaders and under pressure to maintain momentum for a title challenge. Galway are seventh with 34 points, fighting to avoid relegation danger. The standings underscore the differing stakes, with Bohemians pushing for top positions and Galway needing points to secure safety, influencing tactical approaches.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Galway United Over 2.5
60%Bohemians Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.4, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. Bohemians' recent matches have a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting an open game with multiple scoring opportunities, while Galway's defensive vulnerabilities contribute to this trend.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Galway United v Bohemians prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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