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Gais crestGais
v
IF Elfsborg crestIF Elfsborg

Allsvenskan | Sun 12 Jul, 15:30

Gais v IF Elfsborg Stats

Data last updated: Mon 03 Aug 2026, 21:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gais face IF Elfsborg in Allsvenskan on Sun 12 Jul, 15:30. Gais come in with 8 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while IF Elfsborg have 4 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Gais to Win

  • At 1.9, Gais to Win implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Gais have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for IF Elfsborg.
  • Gais have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Gais to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Gais sit 9 in the table, while IF Elfsborg sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for Gais to Win sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. Gais have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for IF Elfsborg.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Positive
Gais have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Gais have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Gais Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Gais have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for IF Elfsborg. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Gais to Win evidence

Gais have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for IF Elfsborg.

Gais have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Gais Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Gais sit 9 in the table, while IF Elfsborg sit 8, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Gais to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Gais1.6
    Avg goals scored
    IF Elfsborg1.2
    Gais0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    IF Elfsborg1.4
    Gais60%
    BTTS rate
    IF Elfsborg100%
    Gais40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    IF Elfsborg40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Gais

    DWLWD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 4D 2L
    06 Jul 2026A IF Brommapojkarna1-1
    30 May 2026H Kalmar FF3-0
    24 May 2026A Sirius1-2
    20 May 2026H Hammarby FF2-0
    16 May 2026H Degerfors IF1-1

    IF Elfsborg

    LDDDD
    Last 50W 4D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 5D 2L
    05 Jul 2026H Hammarby FF1-2
    29 May 2026A Orgryte IS2-2
    25 May 2026H BK Hacken1-1
    21 May 2026H Mjallby AIF1-1
    16 May 2026A Halmstad1-1
    Market aligned with main pickGais to WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 53% · edge +13.2 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Gais Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 74%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    8IF Elfsborg21155642
    9Gais20155554
    Gais sit in position 9, while IF Elfsborg sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Gais to Win assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickGais to WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 53% · edge +13.2 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 71%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Gais Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 74%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Gais to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Gais5.6
    Avg corners for
    IF Elfsborg3.6
    Gais9.4
    Avg total corners
    IF Elfsborg8.2
    Gais2
    Avg yellow cards
    IF Elfsborg1.2
    Gais15.6
    Avg shots
    IF Elfsborg11.4
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 58% · edge -3 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Gais wins
    0Draws
    3IF Elfsborg wins
    14 Feb 2026Gais v IF Elfsborg2-0
    20 Sep 2025Gais v IF Elfsborg2-0
    05 May 2025IF Elfsborg v Gais2-0
    20 Mar 2025IF Elfsborg v Gais1-2
    11 Aug 2024IF Elfsborg v Gais2-1
    19 May 2024Gais v IF Elfsborg2-1
    Market aligned with main pickGais to WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 53% · edge +13.2 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 71%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Gais to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Allsvenskan

    Gais15
    Played
    IF Elfsborg15
    Gais1.3
    Avg goals for
    IF Elfsborg1.3
    Gais1
    Avg goals against
    IF Elfsborg1.2
    Gais6
    Clean sheets
    IF Elfsborg3
    Market aligned with main pickGais to WinBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 53% · edge +13.2 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Gais Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 74%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Season data supports Gais to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Gais Over 2.5
    40%IF Elfsborg Over 2.5
    2.43H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Gais sit at 40% and IF Elfsborg sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.43 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

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    Betting context

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