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Gais crestGais
v
Hammarby FF crestHammarby FF

Allsvenskan | Wed 20 May, 18:00

Gais v Hammarby FF Stats

Data last updated: Wed 10 Jun 2026, 04:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Gais face Hammarby FF in Allsvenskan on Wed 20 May, 18:00. Gais come in with 9 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while Hammarby FF have 11 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.95, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
  • Hammarby FF are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Gais at 1.6.
  • BTTS rates of 40% for Gais and 60% for Hammarby FF show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 59% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. Hammarby FF are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Gais at 1.6.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Positive
Hammarby FF are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 40% for Gais and 60% for Hammarby.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Hammarby FF are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Gais at 1.6. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Hammarby FF are carrying more of the scoring load at 2 goals per match, with Gais at 1.6.

BTTS rates of 40% for Gais and 60% for Hammarby FF show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Gais5.8
Avg corners for
Hammarby FF6.6
Gais8.2
Avg total corners
Hammarby FF8.2
Gais1.2
Avg yellow cards
Hammarby FF0.8
Gais16.8
Avg shots
Hammarby FF22
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Gais1.6
Avg goals scored
Hammarby FF2
Gais0.6
Avg goals conceded
Hammarby FF0.6
Gais40%
BTTS rate
Hammarby FF60%
Gais40%
Over 2.5 goals
Hammarby FF40%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 51% · edge +8 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 41%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 59% · edge +4.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Hammarby FF to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Hammarby FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Gais Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Gais to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Gais

DWWDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 3L
16 May 2026H Degerfors IF1-1
09 May 2026A Vasteras SK FK1-0
03 May 2026H Orgryte IS4-0
26 Apr 2026A IFK Goteborg2-2
23 Apr 2026H Mjallby AIF0-0

Hammarby FF

WWWDD
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 1L
17 May 2026H Malmo FF4-1
09 May 2026A IFK Goteborg1-0
03 May 2026H Vasteras SK FK3-0
26 Apr 2026A Djurgardens IF1-1
22 Apr 2026H Halmstad1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 82% · edge -3.1 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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Hammarby FF to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Hammarby FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
Gais Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Gais to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Gais wins
2Draws
0Hammarby FF wins
17 Aug 2025Hammarby FF v Gais1-2
13 Jul 2025Gais v Hammarby FF3-2
26 Aug 2024Hammarby FF v Gais0-0
07 Jul 2024Gais v Hammarby FF0-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 59% · edge +4.5 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Hammarby FF to WinBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Gais to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Gais11
Played
Hammarby FF11
Gais1.5
Avg goals for
Hammarby FF2.2
Gais1
Avg goals against
Hammarby FF1.2
Gais5
Clean sheets
Hammarby FF3
Best odds for this sectionHammarby FF to WinBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 49% · edge +3.6 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Hammarby FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Gais Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Gais to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Season data supports Hammarby FF to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Hammarby FF171152411
5Gais15114345
Gais sit in position 5, while Hammarby FF sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the Under 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Gais Over 2.5
40%Hammarby FF Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Gais sit at 40% and Hammarby FF sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.