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Fulham crestFulham
v
Aston Villa crestAston Villa

Premier League | Sat 23 Jan, 15:00

Fulham v Aston Villa Stats

Data last updated: Sun 18 Oct 2026, 01:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fulham face Aston Villa in Premier League on Sat 23 Jan, 15:00. Villa have scored at least twice in each of their recent wins, while Fulham are due an attacking reaction at home. Villa’s attacking midfield behind him — filled with energy, creativity, and direct running — only amplifies that threat.

BT4Y best bet

Ing one of three outcomes: a home win, a draw, or an away win

  • At 13/10, Ing one of three outcomes: a home win, a draw, or an away win implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • Villa have scored 16 goals in their last six, and their defensive record suggests goals at both ends.
  • Aston Villa have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Fulham.
  • Fulham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Ing one of three outcomes: a home win, a draw, or an away win angle more than a raw possession.
  • Fulham sit 16 in the table, while Aston Villa sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 57% for Ing one of three outcomes: a home win, a draw, or an away win sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. Aston Villa have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Fulham. Villa have scored 16 goals in their last six, and their defensive record suggests goals at both ends.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Positive
Aston Villa have the stronger recent points return, taking 8.Visible data support
Positive
Fulham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Villa have scored 16 goals in their last six.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Aston Villa Win is the preferred angle because villa have scored that scoring level in their last six, and their defensive record suggests goals at both ends. Aston Villa have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Fulham. Sixteen goals across their last six matches paints a vivid picture — this is a side not just winning games, but imposing themselves on them.

Main risk

Sixteen goals across their last six matches paints a vivid picture — this is a side not just winning games, but imposing themselves on them.

Key Data Signals

Ing one of three outcomes: a home win, a draw, or an away win evidence

Villa have scored 16 goals in their last six, and their defensive record suggests goals at both ends.

Aston Villa have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 5 for Fulham.

Fulham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Aston Villa Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Fulham sit 16 in the table, while Aston Villa sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Ing one of three outcomes: a home win, a draw, or an away win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Fulham1
    Avg goals scored
    Aston Villa1.4
    Fulham1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Aston Villa1.2
    Fulham60%
    BTTS rate
    Aston Villa60%
    Fulham40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Aston Villa60%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Fulham

    WLDDL
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 4L
    17 Oct 2026H Hull City1-0
    10 Oct 2026A Ipswich1-2
    20 Sep 2026H Manchester United1-1
    12 Sep 2026A Liverpool0-0
    05 Sep 2026H Crystal Palace2-3

    Aston Villa

    WDWLD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 3L
    17 Oct 2026A Newcastle1-0
    10 Oct 2026H Brentford2-2
    19 Sep 2026A Tottenham3-2
    12 Sep 2026H Nottingham Forest1-2
    05 Sep 2026A Hull City0-0

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Fulham Over 2.5
    60%Aston Villa Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fulham sit at 40% and Aston Villa sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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