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Frosinone crestFrosinone
v
Venezia crestVenezia

Serie A | Sun 06 Sep, 14:00

Frosinone v Venezia Stats

Data last updated: Thu 01 Oct 2026, 01:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Frosinone face Venezia in Serie A on Sun 06 Sep, 14:00. Venezia have averaged 64.1% possession across their last 10 league matches, but they have scored no goals in their opening two Serie A fixtures, underlining the current gap between control and end product.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Frosinone to win and Both Teams to Score

  • At 7/2, Frosinone to win and Both Teams to Score implies roughly 22%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 15%.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
  • Frosinone need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Frosinone on 3 and Venezia on 0.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Frosinone and 0% for Venezia.
  • Frosinone to win and Both Teams to Score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.5 for Frosinone and 0 for Venezia are central to the read.
Price warning

Frosinone to win and Both Teams to Score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 22% while the model sits nearer 15% (-7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Under 2.5 Goals shows a +15 pts edge at 2.1.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 15% for Frosinone to win and Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 22% implied by the current price. Frosinone need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Frosinone on 3 and Venezia on 0. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Model chance vs price15% model chance against roughly 22% implied
Negative
Frosinone need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Frosinone Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. Frosinone need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Frosinone on 3 and Venezia on 0. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Frosinone to win and Both Teams to Score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Frosinone need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Frosinone on 3 and Venezia on 0.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 0% for Frosinone and 0% for Venezia.

Frosinone Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.5 for Frosinone and 0 for Venezia are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Frosinone to win and Both Teams to Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Frosinone1.5
Avg goals scored
Venezia0
Frosinone0.5
Avg goals conceded
Venezia2
Frosinone0%
BTTS rate
Venezia0%
Frosinone50%
Over 2.5 goals
Venezia0%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFrosinone to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 45% vs implied 37% · edge +7.8 pts
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
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Frosinone Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Frosinone to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Frosinone

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
29 Aug 2026A Fiorentina3-0
23 Aug 2026H Juventus0-1

Venezia

LL
Last 50W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 2L
28 Aug 2026A AC Milan0-2
23 Aug 2026H Lecce0-2
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +1.8 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Frosinone to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Frosinone Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 53%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Frosinone Over 2.5
0%Venezia Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Frosinone sit at 50% and Venezia sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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