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Fredrikstad crestFredrikstad
v
Start crestStart

Eliteserien | Fri 29 May, 18:00

Fredrikstad v Start Stats

Data last updated: Sat 29 Aug 2026, 08:39 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fredrikstad face Start in Eliteserien on Fri 29 May, 18:00. Start have leaked twenty-six goals in eleven league fixtures, yet found the net in nine of their previous ten matches, making a home win combined with goals at both ends highly logical.

BT4Y best bet

Fredrikstad Win

  • At 9/4, Fredrikstad Win implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 46%.
  • Fredrikstad have conceded in every game this season.
  • Fredrikstad have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Fredrikstad Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Fredrikstad sit 8 in the table, while Start sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 46% for Fredrikstad Win sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Fredrikstad have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Fredrikstad Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Fredrikstad have conceded in every game this season.

Model chance vs price46% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Strong positive
Fredrikstad have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Fredrikstad sit 8 in the table, while Start sit 16.Visible data support
Positive
Fredrikstad have conceded in every game this season.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Fredrikstad Win is the preferred angle because fredrikstad have conceded in every game this season. Fredrikstad have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Fredrikstad Win angle more than a raw possession edge. The result itself was not spectacular, but the performance late in the match suggested a side beginning to absorb new ideas.

Main risk

The result itself was not spectacular, but the performance late in the match suggested a side beginning to absorb new ideas.

Key Data Signals

Fredrikstad Win evidence

Fredrikstad have conceded in every game this season.

Fredrikstad have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Fredrikstad Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Fredrikstad sit 8 in the table, while Start sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Fredrikstad Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Fredrikstad1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Start1.4
    Fredrikstad1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Start3.2
    Fredrikstad100%
    BTTS rate
    Start60%
    Fredrikstad80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Start60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 87%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 35%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 57% · edge -8.6 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Fredrikstad to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Fredrikstad3.6
    Avg corners for
    Start3
    Fredrikstad10.2
    Avg total corners
    Start10.8
    Fredrikstad2.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Start2
    Fredrikstad10.8
    Avg shots
    Start11.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 56% · edge +10.2 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Fredrikstad

    DWLLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 5L
    25 May 2026A Sandefjord1-1
    16 May 2026H Ham-Kam2-1
    09 May 2026A Sarpsborg 08 FF1-2
    02 May 2026A Brann1-3
    25 Apr 2026H Viking1-2

    Start

    WLLDL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 4D 5L
    25 May 2026H Valerenga2-0
    20 May 2026H Bodo/Glimt1-4
    16 May 2026A Viking3-6
    03 May 2026H Tromso1-1
    30 Apr 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-5
    Market aligned with main pickFredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 57% · edge -8.6 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
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    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Fredrikstad wins
    3Draws
    1Start wins
    03 Sep 2023Start v Fredrikstad2-2
    11 Jun 2023Fredrikstad v Start3-1
    31 Jul 2022Start v Fredrikstad1-0
    18 Apr 2022Fredrikstad v Start1-0
    26 Sep 2021Start v Fredrikstad2-6
    18 Aug 2021Fredrikstad v Start2-2
    Market aligned with main pickFredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 57% · edge -8.6 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Fredrikstad to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Fredrikstad17
    Played
    Start17
    Fredrikstad1.1
    Avg goals for
    Start0.9
    Fredrikstad1.6
    Avg goals against
    Start2.2
    Fredrikstad3
    Clean sheets
    Start1
    Market aligned with main pickFredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · Model 49% vs implied 57% · edge -8.6 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Season data supports Fredrikstad to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    8Fredrikstad2317728-9
    16Start10172411-22
    Fredrikstad sit in position 8, while Start sit in position 16, so table pressure belongs in the Fredrikstad Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Fredrikstad Over 2.5
    60%Start Over 2.5
    3.63H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fredrikstad sit at 80% and Start sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.63 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Fredrikstad v Start prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

    full betting preview for Fredrikstad v Startcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre