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Fredrikstad crestFredrikstad
v
Start crestStart

Eliteserien | Fri 29 May, 18:00

Fredrikstad v Start Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 03:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fredrikstad face Start in Eliteserien on Fri 29 May, 18:00. Start have leaked twenty-six goals in eleven league fixtures, yet found the net in nine of their previous ten matches, making a home win combined with goals at both ends highly logical.

BT4Y best bet

Fredrikstad Win

  • At 9/4, Fredrikstad Win implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Fredrikstad have conceded in every game this season.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for Fredrikstad Win sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Fredrikstad have conceded in every game this season.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Positive
Fredrikstad have conceded in every game this season.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +12.2 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Fredrikstad Win is the preferred angle because fredrikstad have conceded in every game this season. The result itself was not spectacular, but the performance late in the match suggested a side beginning to absorb new ideas.

Main risk

The result itself was not spectacular, but the performance late in the match suggested a side beginning to absorb new ideas.

Key Data Signals

Fredrikstad Win evidence

Fredrikstad have conceded in every game this season.

What To Watch In The Data

Fredrikstad Win notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 57% · edge -14.1 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Fredrikstad to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Fredrikstad-
    Avg goals scored
    Start-
    Fredrikstad-
    Avg goals conceded
    Start-
    Fredrikstad-
    BTTS rate
    Start-
    Fredrikstad-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Start-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 47% · edge +7.5 pts
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Fredrikstad

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Fredrikstad yet.

    Start

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Start yet.

    Market aligned with main pickFredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 57% · edge -14.1 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Fredrikstad wins
    0Draws
    0Start wins
    Market aligned with main pickFredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 57% · edge -14.1 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 50%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Fredrikstad to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Eliteserien

    Fredrikstad12
    Played
    Start0
    Fredrikstad1.3
    Avg goals for
    Start-
    Fredrikstad1.8
    Avg goals against
    Start-
    Fredrikstad0
    Clean sheets
    Start-
    Market aligned with main pickFredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 57% · edge -14.1 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Season data supports Fredrikstad to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Fredrikstad Over 2.5
    -Start Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    Fredrikstad have conceded in every game this season.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Fredrikstad v Start prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Competition and hubs

    full betting preview for Fredrikstad v Startbest bets hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centre

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre