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Fredrikstad crestFredrikstad
v
Sandefjord crestSandefjord

Eliteserien | Sat 01 Aug, 15:00

Fredrikstad v Sandefjord Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 05:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fredrikstad face Sandefjord in Eliteserien on Sat 01 Aug, 15:00. Both teams have conceded frequently this season, with Fredrikstad allowing 1.93 goals per match and Sandefjord conceding 20 league goals. Sandefjord have scored in three of their last four games despite recent away defeats, and their last meeting ended 1-1, supporting a BTTS outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 15/2, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 12%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Sandefjord are winless in six Eliteserien games and have lost their last four away matches.
  • Fredrikstad have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 2 for Sandefjord.
  • Fredrikstad sit 8 in the table, while Sandefjord sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 12% implied by the current price. Fredrikstad have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 2 for Sandefjord. Sandefjord are winless in six Eliteserien games and have lost their last four away matches.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 12% implied
Strong positive
Fredrikstad have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Fredrikstad sit 8 in the table, while Sandefjord sit 11.Visible data support
Positive
Sandefjord are winless in six Eliteserien games and have.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Fredrikstad Win is the preferred angle because sandefjord are winless in six Eliteserien games and have lost their last four away matches. Fredrikstad have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 2 for Sandefjord. Sandefjord carry the stronger scoring threat, but Fredrikstad must contribute for BTTS to land.

Main risk

Sandefjord carry the stronger scoring threat, but Fredrikstad must contribute for BTTS to land.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Sandefjord are winless in six Eliteserien games and have lost their last four away matches.

Fredrikstad have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 2 for Sandefjord.

Fredrikstad have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the Fredrikstad Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Fredrikstad sit 8 in the table, while Sandefjord sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Fredrikstad0.6
    Avg goals scored
    Sandefjord1
    Fredrikstad1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Sandefjord2
    Fredrikstad40%
    BTTS rate
    Sandefjord80%
    Fredrikstad40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sandefjord80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.22
    Check odds @ 1.22
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2

    Continue the research

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFredrikstad to WinBetUK guide price · Model 49% vs implied 44% · edge +5.9 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 73%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Fredrikstad to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Fredrikstad

    LLLWD
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 7L
    27 Jul 2026A Rosenborg0-4
    17 Jul 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-1
    11 Jul 2026H Lillestrom0-2
    29 May 2026H Start2-1
    25 May 2026A Sandefjord1-1

    Sandefjord

    LLDLD
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    26 Jul 2026H Bodo/Glimt0-3
    18 Jul 2026A Viking1-2
    12 Jul 2026H Ham-Kam2-2
    30 May 2026A Molde1-2
    25 May 2026H Fredrikstad1-1
    Market aligned with main pickFredrikstad to WinBetUK guide price · Model 49% vs implied 44% · edge +5.9 pts
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Fredrikstad Over 2.5
    80%Sandefjord Over 2.5
    2.22H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fredrikstad sit at 40% and Sandefjord sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.22 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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