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Fredrikstad crestFredrikstad
v
Brann crestBrann

Eliteserien | Sun 08 Nov, 18:15

Fredrikstad v Brann Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 13:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fredrikstad and Brann meet in an Eliteserien clash where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities shape expectations. Fredrikstad, positioned 11th, have struggled defensively but show a willingness to engage offensively, while Brann, sitting 7th, maintain a more consistent scoring threat. Both teams have recent form suggesting open games with high goal involvement, creating a dynamic fixture likely to produce multiple scoring opportunities. Tactical openness and the need for points add to the potential for an entertaining, goal-rich encounter under the November evening lights.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Fredrikstad concede an average of 2.6 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Brann have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, highlighting their attacking potency.
  • Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate, suggesting goals at both ends are common.
  • Recent form shows Fredrikstad averaging 14.2 shots and Brann 17 shots per game, supporting offensive pressure.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 3.38 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring match.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 3.5 Goals at a 49.8% chance, higher than the implied 44.4% from , indicating a positive . Both teams demonstrate attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities, with Brann's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Fredrikstad's leaky defense underpinning the expectation of a high-scoring game. The strong shot volumes and BTTS rates further support the likelihood of multiple goals. No data limitations or price warnings reduce , making this a well-supported selection for goal-hungry bettors.

Model Chance49.8% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+5.4 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance49.8% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+5.4 pts)
Positive
Fredrikstad Defensive Record2.6 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Brann Over 2.5 Rate80%
Strong positive
BTTS Rate Both Teams80%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Fredrikstad and Brann have shown tendencies to concede and score freely. Brann's consistent offensive output combined with Fredrikstad's defensive struggles suggests a match likely to surpass 3.5 goals. The data supports a lively encounter with multiple scoring chances and a high tempo throughout.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and attacking dynamics

“Fredrikstad's defensive vulnerabilities paired with Brann's attacking efficiency set the stage for a goal-laden contest. The teams' recent offensive patterns and high shot volumes make Over 3.5 Goals a compelling angle for this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Fredrikstad concede an average of 2.6 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

Brann have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, highlighting their attacking potency.

Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate, suggesting goals at both ends are common.

Recent form shows Fredrikstad averaging 14.2 shots and Brann 17 shots per game, supporting offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • In the last eight head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.38, indicating a history of open games with multiple goals.
  • This trend, combined with recent form and attacking profiles, suggests the fixture is likely to continue producing a high tempo and goal-rich environment.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fredrikstad1
Avg goals scored
Brann1.6
Fredrikstad2.6
Avg goals conceded
Brann2.2
Fredrikstad80%
BTTS rate
Brann80%
Fredrikstad60%
Over 2.5 goals
Brann80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 44% · edge +5.4 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both Fredrikstad and Brann exhibit high BTTS rates at 80%, indicating frequent goals at both ends. Combined with Brann's 80% over 2.5 goals rate and Fredrikstad's defensive concessions, this match is poised for multiple goals and open play, supporting the Over 3.5 Goals expectation.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBrann Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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Brann to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
The 49.8% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 44.4% implied by the current price (+5.4 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Fredrikstad and 80% for Brann, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fredrikstad

LLLDD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
31 Oct 2026H Rosenborg0-3
25 Oct 2026A Molde1-5
17 Oct 2026A Viking2-3
11 Oct 2026H Tromso1-1
20 Sep 2026A Valerenga1-1

Brann

WLLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
01 Nov 2026H Molde3-2
25 Oct 2026A Lillestrom2-3
18 Oct 2026A Valerenga1-3
09 Oct 2026H Viking0-2
20 Sep 2026H Bodo/Glimt2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 67% · edge +15 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Brann Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Brann to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Fredrikstad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Fredrikstad to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Recent form data shows Fredrikstad averaging 1 goal per game but conceding 2.6, while Brann scores 1.6 and concedes 2.2 per match. Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates (Fredrikstad 60%, Brann 80%), indicating recent matches have been open and goal-rich, reinforcing the likelihood of exceeding 3.5 goals in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Fredrikstad Over 2.5
80%Brann Over 2.5
3.38H2H avg goals
In the last eight head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.38, indicating a history of open games with multiple goals. This trend, combined with recent form and attacking profiles, suggests the fixture is likely to continue producing a high tempo and goal-rich environment.

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