Football Stats Hub

Flamengo crestFlamengo
v
Mirassol crestMirassol

Serie A | Wed 02 Sep, 23:30

Flamengo v Mirassol Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 23:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Flamengo face Mirassol in Serie A on Wed 02 Sep, 23:30. Flamengo welcome Mirassol to Estádio do Maracanã on Wednesday for a rescheduled Serie A fixture that brings together second place and 16th. Flamengo’s unbeaten home run and strong scoring form contrast with Mirassol’s defensive frailty, which has conceded in nearly every match.

BT4Y best bet

Flamengo to win and both teams to score

  • Flamengo to win and both teams to score is rated around 55% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Flamengo v Mirassol: Home Strength Meets a Persistent Defensive Problem.
  • Flamengo need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Flamengo on 10 and Mirassol on 5.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Flamengo and 100% for Mirassol.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Flamengo to win and both teams to score around 55% on the latest available numbers. Flamengo need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Flamengo on 10 and Mirassol on 5. Flamengo v Mirassol: Home Strength Meets a Persistent Defensive Problem.

Flamengo need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Flamengo v Mirassol: Home Strength Meets a Persistent Defensive.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Flamengo Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because flamengo v Mirassol: Home Strength Meets a Persistent Defensive Problem. Flamengo need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Flamengo on 10 and Mirassol on 5. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Flamengo to win and both teams to score evidence

Flamengo v Mirassol: Home Strength Meets a Persistent Defensive Problem.

Flamengo need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Flamengo on 10 and Mirassol on 5.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Flamengo and 100% for Mirassol.

Flamengo Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 2.4 for Flamengo and 1.2 for Mirassol are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Flamengo to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Flamengo4.4
Avg corners for
Mirassol3.2
Flamengo7
Avg total corners
Mirassol8
Flamengo1
Avg yellow cards
Mirassol2.4
Flamengo16
Avg shots
Mirassol10.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 52% · edge +7.7 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A fixtures and predictionsFlamengo v Mirassol predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Flamengo2.4
Avg goals scored
Mirassol1.2
Flamengo0.8
Avg goals conceded
Mirassol2.2
Flamengo60%
BTTS rate
Mirassol100%
Flamengo60%
Over 2.5 goals
Mirassol60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickFlamengo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 80% · edge -6 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Flamengo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Flamengo to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Flamengo

WLWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
30 Aug 2026H Botafogo3-0
23 Aug 2026A Cruzeiro1-2
16 Aug 2026A Mirassol5-1
09 Aug 2026H Vitoria2-0
29 Jul 2026A Internacional1-1

Mirassol

DDLLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
30 Aug 2026H Palmeiras1-1
23 Aug 2026A Santos1-1
16 Aug 2026H Flamengo1-5
09 Aug 2026A Cruzeiro1-3
29 Jul 2026H Remo2-1
Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 86% vs implied 95% · edge -9.2 pts
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Load more odds for this section
Flamengo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Flamengo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Flamengo wins
1Draws
0Mirassol wins
16 Aug 2026Mirassol v Flamengo1-5
06 Dec 2025Mirassol v Flamengo3-3
09 Aug 2025Flamengo v Mirassol2-1
Market aligned with main pickFlamengo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 80% · edge -6 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The head-to-head sample gives context for Flamengo to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Serie A

Flamengo28
Played
Mirassol28
Flamengo2
Avg goals for
Mirassol1.2
Flamengo0.8
Avg goals against
Mirassol1.5
Flamengo12
Clean sheets
Mirassol2
Market aligned with main pickFlamengo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 80% · edge -6 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Flamengo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 78%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Season data supports Flamengo to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Flamengo6028186432
15Mirassol32288812-9
Flamengo sit in position 1, while Mirassol sit in position 15, so table pressure belongs in the Flamengo to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Flamengo Over 2.5
60%Mirassol Over 2.5
5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Flamengo sit at 60% and Mirassol sit at 60% with the H2H average at 5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Flamengo v Mirassol prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Browse football stats pages

Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

Competition and hubs

Serie A hubSerie A fixtures and predictionsFlamengo v Mirassol predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football stats

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre