Fiorentina
SassuoloSerie A | Sun 24 Jan, 17:30
Fiorentina v Sassuolo Stats
Data last updated: Tue 10 Nov 2026, 06:09 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Fiorentina face Sassuolo in Serie A on Sun 24 Jan, 17:30. Sassuolo welcome Fiorentina to the MAPEI Stadium on Monday, 2 November, with both sides desperate to halt alarming runs of form in Serie A. Fiorentina arrive following three defeats and one draw in their last four matches under manager Paolo Vanoli.
Sassuolo to win
- Sassuolo to win is rated around 23% by the current BT4Y model.
- The 2-1 scoreline fits both teams' scoring and conceding patterns, reflecting Sassuolo's stronger attack and mutual defensive weaknesses.
- Fiorentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 0 for Sassuolo.
- Fiorentina have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sassuolo to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Fiorentina sit 15 in the table, while Sassuolo sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model rates Sassuolo to win around 23% on the latest available numbers. Fiorentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 0 for Sassuolo. The 2-1 scoreline fits both teams' scoring and conceding patterns, reflecting Sassuolo's stronger attack and mutual defensive weaknesses.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Sassuolo Win is the preferred angle because the 2-1 scoreline fits both teams' scoring and conceding patterns, reflecting Sassuolo's stronger attack and mutual defensive weaknesses. Fiorentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 0 for Sassuolo. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.
Key Data Signals
Sassuolo to win evidence
The 2-1 scoreline fits both teams' scoring and conceding patterns, reflecting Sassuolo's stronger attack and mutual defensive weaknesses.
Fiorentina have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 0 for Sassuolo.
Fiorentina have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sassuolo Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Fiorentina sit 15 in the table, while Sassuolo sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Sassuolo to win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
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Market odds
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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