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Fiorentinav
SassuoloSerie A | Sun 26 Apr, 11:30
Fiorentina v Sassuolo Stats
BT4Y best bet
Both Teams to Score
- At 3.25, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 31% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +45.2-point value edge.
- Fiorentina have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Sassuolo have scored in 80%, with BTTS rates of 60% and 80%.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Fiorentina have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Sassuolo have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 80% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 3.25, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 31% · edge +45.2 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
20%Fiorentina Over 2.5
60%Sassuolo Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Fiorentina
DWWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 recordLast 105W 4D 1L
20 Apr 2026A Lecce1-1
13 Apr 2026H Lazio1-0
04 Apr 2026A Hellas Verona1-0
22 Mar 2026H Inter1-1
16 Mar 2026A Cremonese4-1
Sassuolo
WLWDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 105W 1D 4L
17 Apr 2026H Como2-1
12 Apr 2026A Genoa1-2
04 Apr 2026H Cagliari2-1
21 Mar 2026A Juventus1-1
15 Mar 2026H Bologna0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 49% · edge +25.1 pts
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Fiorentina1.6
Avg goals scoredSassuolo1.2
Fiorentina0.6
Avg goals concededSassuolo1.2
Fiorentina60%
BTTS rateSassuolo80%
Fiorentina20%
Over 2.5 goalsSassuolo60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 31% · edge +45.2 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
3Fiorentina wins
2Draws
5Sassuolo wins
06 Dec 2025Sassuolo v Fiorentina3-1
28 Apr 2024Fiorentina v Sassuolo5-1
06 Jan 2024Sassuolo v Fiorentina1-0
02 Jun 2023Sassuolo v Fiorentina1-3
07 Jan 2023Fiorentina v Sassuolo2-1
26 Feb 2022Sassuolo v Fiorentina2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 31% · edge +45.2 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Fiorentina3.4
Avg corners forSassuolo4.2
Fiorentina9.2
Avg total cornersSassuolo9.8
Fiorentina2.2
Avg yellow cardsSassuolo2
Fiorentina9.4
Avg shotsSassuolo10.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.7 pts
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
M. KeanFiorentina · Attacker
Goal threat72/100
Shots /903.3
SOT /901.19
D. BerardiSassuolo · Attacker
Goal threat60/100
Shots /901.59
SOT /900.95
A. PinamontiSassuolo · Attacker
Goal threat56/100
Shots /901.98
SOT /900.99
N. PieriniSassuolo · Attacker
Goal threat21/100
Shots /901.88
SOT /901.25
L. MoroSassuolo · Attacker
Goal threat19/100
Shots /902.34
SOT /900.39
A. FaderaSassuolo · Attacker
Goal threat27/100
Shots /900.73
SOT /900.37
E. IannoniSassuolo · Midfielder
Goal threat23/100
Shots /901
SOT /900.33
M. VitiFiorentina · Defender
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats
Serie A
Fiorentina36
PlayedSassuolo36
Fiorentina1.1
Avg goals forSassuolo1.2
Fiorentina1.4
Avg goals againstSassuolo1.3
Fiorentina9
Clean sheetsSassuolo8
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 49% · edge +25.1 pts
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sassuolo | 49 | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | -2 |
| 15 | Fiorentina | 38 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | -11 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
