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Fiorentina crestFiorentina
v
Como crestComo

Serie A | Sun 18 Oct, 14:00

Fiorentina v Como Stats

Data last updated: Tue 10 Nov 2026, 07:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fiorentina face Como in Serie A on Sun 18 Oct, 14:00. 6 without a win in 7: Fiorentina have failed to win six of their previous seven home league fixtures.

BT4Y best bet

Como Asian Handicap -0

  • At 2.05, Como Asian Handicap -0 implies roughly 49%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • Como’s strong away record and Fiorentina’s home defensive struggles underpin this Asian Handicap pick.
  • Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fiorentina.
  • Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Como Asian Handicap -0 angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Fiorentina sit 15 in the table, while Como sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for Como Asian Handicap -0 sits against roughly 49% implied by the current price. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fiorentina. Como’s strong away record and Fiorentina’s home defensive struggles underpin this Asian Handicap pick.

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 49% implied
Strong positive
Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Como’s strong away record and Fiorentina’s home defensive struggles.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Como Win is the preferred angle because como’s strong away record and Fiorentina’s home defensive struggles underpin this Asian Handicap pick. Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fiorentina. However, Como have recently lost some momentum.

Main risk

However, Como have recently lost some momentum.

Key Data Signals

Como Asian Handicap -0 evidence

Como’s strong away record and Fiorentina’s home defensive struggles underpin this Asian Handicap pick.

Como have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 4 for Fiorentina.

Como have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Como Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Fiorentina sit 15 in the table, while Como sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Como Asian Handicap -0 notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Fiorentina1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Como1.6
    Fiorentina2
    Avg goals conceded
    Como1
    Fiorentina80%
    BTTS rate
    Como60%
    Fiorentina80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Como60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Serie A hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickComo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Como Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 65%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 59%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Como to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Fiorentina

    LDWLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 4L
    10 Oct 2026A Genoa1-2
    20 Sep 2026H Napoli1-1
    11 Sep 2026A Venezia4-2
    05 Sep 2026H Torino1-2
    29 Aug 2026H Frosinone0-3

    Como

    DLWWW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 1L
    11 Oct 2026H AS Roma0-0
    20 Sep 2026A Frosinone0-2
    14 Sep 2026H Parma2-1
    04 Sep 2026A Genoa4-1
    30 Aug 2026A Napoli2-1
    Market aligned with main pickComo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Como Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Fiorentina Over 2.5
    60%Como Over 2.5
    2.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Fiorentina sit at 80% and Como sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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