Football Stats Hub

FC Winterthur crestFC Winterthur
v
Union Berlin crestUnion Berlin

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 18:00

FC Winterthur v Union Berlin Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Winterthur face Union Berlin in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 18:00. FC Winterthur come in with 5 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Union Berlin have 7 points and 3.75 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 3.3, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 30%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 46%.
  • Union Berlin are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.75 goals per match, with FC Winterthur at 1.4.
  • BTTS rates of 80% for FC Winterthur and 75% for Union Berlin show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 46% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 30% implied by the current price. Union Berlin are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.75 goals per match, with FC Winterthur at 1.4.

Model chance vs price46% model chance against roughly 30% implied
Strong positive
Union Berlin are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 80% for FC Winterthur and 75%.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Union Berlin are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.75 goals per match, with FC Winterthur at 1.4. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Union Berlin are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.75 goals per match, with FC Winterthur at 1.4.

BTTS rates of 80% for FC Winterthur and 75% for Union Berlin show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Winterthur1.4
Avg goals scored
Union Berlin3.75
FC Winterthur1.6
Avg goals conceded
Union Berlin1.5
FC Winterthur80%
BTTS rate
Union Berlin75%
FC Winterthur60%
Over 2.5 goals
Union Berlin50%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 30% · edge +16 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionFC Winterthur Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 24% · edge +21.5 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Union Berlin to WinBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Union Berlin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
FC Winterthur to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
FC Winterthur Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Winterthur

DDLLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 4L
14 Jul 2026H Brühl1-1
11 Jul 2026A FC Basel 18932-2
04 Jul 2026A FC Luzern2-3
01 Jul 2026H FC ST. Gallen0-1
27 Mar 2026H Neuchatel Xamax FC2-1

Union Berlin

LDWW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
12 Jul 2026A FC Carl Zeiss Jena0-2
09 Jul 2026A Chemnitzer FC1-1
04 Jul 2026A Optik Rathenow12-2
05 Jan 2026A Erzgebirge Aue2-1
Best odds for this sectionFC Winterthur Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 24% · edge +21.5 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 49%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Union Berlin to WinBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Union Berlin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
FC Winterthur to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0FC Winterthur wins
0Draws
0Union Berlin wins
Best odds for this sectionUnion Berlin to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 71% · edge -3.7 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
FC Winterthur to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 22%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Union Berlin to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

FC Winterthur8
Played
Union Berlin6
FC Winterthur1.3
Avg goals for
Union Berlin2.8
FC Winterthur1.9
Avg goals against
Union Berlin1.5
FC Winterthur0
Clean sheets
Union Berlin0
Best odds for this sectionFC Winterthur Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 24% · edge +21.5 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Union Berlin to WinBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Union Berlin Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
FC Winterthur to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
5
Check odds @ 5
Season data supports FC Winterthur Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%FC Winterthur Over 2.5
50%Union Berlin Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FC Winterthur sit at 60% and Union Berlin sit at 50%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.