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Ajax crestAjax

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 20 Aug, 19:15

FC Sion v Ajax Stats

Data last updated: Tue 25 Aug 2026, 19:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Europa Conference League clash features FC Sion hosting Ajax in a match poised for attacking intensity. Ajax arrives with a strong offensive record, averaging over three goals per game recently, while FC Sion also shows a willingness to engage offensively, reflected in their solid goal-scoring form. Both sides have demonstrated openness in defense, suggesting a high-tempo encounter with multiple goal-scoring opportunities. The stakes of European progression add urgency, likely encouraging both teams to push forward and seek goals from the outset.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Ajax averages 3.25 goals per game with a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently.
  • FC Sion has a 75% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating frequent high-scoring matches.
  • Ajax averages 24 shots and nearly 10 shots on target per game, showing offensive control.
  • FC Sion contributes with 18 shots and 6.75 shots on target per game, supporting goal chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 78% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, reflecting both teams' attacking potency and defensive vulnerabilities. Ajax's perfect recent Over 2.5 record and high shot volume underline their capacity to score multiple goals, while FC Sion's 75% rate and offensive output suggest they can contribute to the goal tally. The 15.5% and positive price context reinforce this as a strong selection without price caution. The data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting in these trends.

Model Chance78%
Strong positive
Ajax Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
FC Sion Over 2.5 Rate75% recent matches
Positive
Value Edge+15.5%
Strong positive
Price WarningNo warning needed
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Ajax's prolific offense meets FC Sion's willingness to push forward. Ajax's high shot volume and goal-scoring form combine with FC Sion's offensive efforts to create a strong likelihood of multiple goals in this European fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Offensive strength and match tempo

“Ajax's offensive firepower and FC Sion's attacking intent set the stage for a high-scoring encounter, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice based on recent performances and shot metrics.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Ajax averages 3.25 goals per game with a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently.

FC Sion has a 75% Over 2.5 Goals rate, indicating frequent high-scoring matches.

Ajax averages 24 shots and nearly 10 shots on target per game, showing offensive control.

FC Sion contributes with 18 shots and 6.75 shots on target per game, supporting goal chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last five matches, Ajax has maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while FC Sion holds a 75% rate.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking intent from both sides, with defensive gaps and transitions contributing to multiple goal opportunities in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

FC Sion6.75
Avg corners for
Ajax10.75
FC Sion8.25
Avg total corners
Ajax12.5
FC Sion1.25
Avg yellow cards
Ajax0.75
FC Sion18
Avg shots
Ajax24
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Ajax dominates in shots and corners, averaging 24 shots and 10.75 corners per game, indicating sustained pressure and attacking territory. FC Sion also contributes with 18 shots and 6.75 corners, supporting an open game. Card counts are moderate, suggesting disciplined play that won't disrupt attacking flow.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Sion2.25
Avg goals scored
Ajax3.25
FC Sion1
Avg goals conceded
Ajax1.25
FC Sion75%
BTTS rate
Ajax100%
FC Sion75%
Over 2.5 goals
Ajax100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have high Over 2.5 Goals rates recently—Ajax at 100% and FC Sion at 75%—and strong BTTS rates, suggesting both sides are likely to score. Ajax's average of 3.25 goals per game and FC Sion's 2.25 goals per game underline the attacking nature expected in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
FC Sion Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Ajax to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Ajax Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
FC Sion to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The Over 2.5 Goals market is attractively priced with a 15.5% , reflecting the strong model at 78%. The of 1.6 align well with the statistical likelihood, indicating a positive value bet without price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Sion

WDWD
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
13 Aug 2026H FC Noah2-1
06 Aug 2026A FC Noah2-2
30 Jul 2026H Bate Borisov4-0
23 Jul 2026A Bate Borisov1-1

Ajax

DWWW
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
13 Aug 2026A Shelbourne2-2
06 Aug 2026H Shelbourne3-1
30 Jul 2026H Vojvodina4-1
23 Jul 2026A Vojvodina4-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 85% · edge -3.5 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
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FC Sion Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Ajax to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Ajax Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
FC Sion to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
Recent form data shows Ajax with 10 points and FC Sion with 8 points from recent matches, both sides contributing to high-scoring games. Ajax's perfect Over 2.5 record and FC Sion's 75% rate reflect consistent goal production and openness in matches, reinforcing the expectation of multiple goals here.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0FC Sion wins
0Draws
0Ajax wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 64% · edge +14.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Ajax to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
FC Sion to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
No previous head-to-head meetings exist between FC Sion and Ajax, so historical data offers no direct insight. The focus remains on current form and attacking statistics to assess the likely goal output.
Season team stats

UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Sion5
Played
Ajax5
FC Sion2.2
Avg goals for
Ajax3.4
FC Sion1.6
Avg goals against
Ajax1.4
FC Sion1
Clean sheets
Ajax0
Best odds for this sectionFC Sion Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 36% · edge +8.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Ajax to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Ajax Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
FC Sion to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Season-long statistics confirm the attacking profiles, with Ajax averaging over 3 goals per game and FC Sion over 2. Both teams concede around 1 to 1.25 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that support the likelihood of a high-scoring contest.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%FC Sion Over 2.5
100%Ajax Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Ajax has maintained a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate, while FC Sion holds a 75% rate. This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking intent from both sides, with defensive gaps and transitions contributing to multiple goal opportunities in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.