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FC Porto crestFC Porto
v
Santa Clara crestSanta Clara

Primeira Liga | Sat 16 May, 15:30

FC Porto v Santa Clara Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2.05, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 49% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 63%, so the current line is showing a +14.5-point value edge.
  • FC Porto have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Santa Clara have scored in 60%, with BTTS rates of 60% and 40%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: FC Porto have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Santa Clara have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 2.05, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 19% · edge +23 pts
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 63%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
9
Bet HERE @ 9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.16
Bet HERE @ 1.16
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%FC Porto Over 2.5
40%Santa Clara Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

FC Porto

LWWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
10 May 2026A AVS1-3
02 May 2026H Alverca1-0
26 Apr 2026A Estrela2-1
19 Apr 2026H Tondela2-0
12 Apr 2026A Estoril3-1

Santa Clara

WDWDL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
11 May 2026H Nacional2-0
02 May 2026A Arouca2-2
26 Apr 2026H SC Braga2-1
18 Apr 2026A Casa Pia0-0
11 Apr 2026H Rio Ave0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 19% · edge +23 pts
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.06
Bet HERE @ 1.06
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
9
Bet HERE @ 9
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.16
Bet HERE @ 1.16
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

FC Porto1.8
Avg goals scored
Santa Clara1.2
FC Porto1
Avg goals conceded
Santa Clara1
FC Porto60%
BTTS rate
Santa Clara40%
FC Porto60%
Over 2.5 goals
Santa Clara40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 49% · edge +14.5 pts
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 74%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.7
Bet HERE @ 1.7
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

7FC Porto wins
2Draws
1Santa Clara wins
04 Jan 2026Santa Clara v FC Porto0-1
26 Jan 2025FC Porto v Santa Clara1-1
16 Aug 2024Santa Clara v FC Porto0-2
29 Feb 2024Santa Clara v FC Porto1-2
15 Apr 2023FC Porto v Santa Clara2-1
29 Oct 2022Santa Clara v FC Porto1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 49% · edge +14.5 pts
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
9
Bet HERE @ 9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
4.75
Bet HERE @ 4.75
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

FC Porto6.8
Avg corners for
Santa Clara4.6
FC Porto9
Avg total corners
Santa Clara8.4
FC Porto2.2
Avg yellow cards
Santa Clara2.4
FC Porto17
Avg shots
Santa Clara11.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 54% · edge +5.4 pts
1.85
Bet HERE @ 1.85
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleSamu Anytime GoalscorerSamu · 12 goals · 2.04 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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Samu 1+ Shot On TargetSamu · 2.04 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Elias Manoel 2+ ShotsElias Manoel · 2.98 shots/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Rodrigo Mora To Assist / Key Pass AngleRodrigo Mora · 1 assists · 2.7 key passes/90
71/100
Bet HERE
O. Pietuszewski To Be FouledO. Pietuszewski · 3.1 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
William Card RiskWilliam · 5 yellows · 2.5 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Samu
SamuFC Porto · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /902.74
SOT /902.04
William
WilliamFC Porto · Attacker
Goal threat79/100
Shots /902.34
SOT /901.34
Elias Manoel
Elias ManoelSanta Clara · Attacker
Goal threat74/100
Shots /902.98
SOT /901.65
José Luís Rocha Tavares
José Luís Rocha TavaresSanta Clara · Midfielder
Goal threat18/100
Shots /900.65
SOT /900.37
T. Moffi
T. MoffiFC Porto · Attacker
Goal threat37/100
Shots /901.44
SOT /901.08
Season team stats

Primeira Liga

FC Porto33
Played
Santa Clara33
FC Porto2
Avg goals for
Santa Clara1
FC Porto0.5
Avg goals against
Santa Clara1.2
FC Porto20
Clean sheets
Santa Clara10
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 19% · edge +23 pts
5.25
Bet HERE @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
9
Bet HERE @ 9
Home Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.16
Bet HERE @ 1.16
Home WinBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1FC Porto8533274247
12Santa Clara36339915-8

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.