Football Stats Hub

FC Porto crestFC Porto
v
Estoril crestEstoril

Primeira Liga | Sat 31 Oct, 20:30

FC Porto v Estoril Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 15:29 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Porto hosts Estoril in a Primeira Liga clash where Porto leads the table with strong recent form, having secured 15 points in their last five matches, while Estoril struggles near the bottom with just 1 point. Porto's attacking prowess is evident, averaging 2.4 goals per game, contrasted with Estoril's lower 0.6 goals. Despite the disparity, Estoril's defensive vulnerabilities and Porto's offensive depth suggest a lively encounter with both sides likely to find the net. The match carries high stakes for Estoril to escape relegation pressure, adding urgency to their attacking intent.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • FC Porto averages 2.4 goals per game with an 80% BTTS rate this season.
  • Estoril has scored in 60% of matches despite defensive struggles.
  • Recent form shows Porto with 15 points and Estoril with just 1 in last five games.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.9 over the last 10 meetings.
  • Porto's attackers like Borja Sainz and O. Pietuszewski have strong goal and shot profiles.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, driven by Porto's potent attack and Estoril's tendency to concede and occasionally score. Porto's high BTTS rate (80%) and Estoril's 60% BTTS rate reflect a pattern of open games. The attacking roles of players like Borja Sainz and O. Pietuszewski, combined with Estoril's defensive fragility, support this. The price offers positive value with a 39.6% edge, making this a compelling pick without significant price caution.

Porto BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Estoril BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Model Probability51.4% model chance vs 36.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance51.4% model chance vs 36.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge51.4% model chance vs 36.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams scoring is a logical expectation given Porto's attacking control and Estoril's defensive lapses. Porto's consistent goal threat combined with Estoril's need to push forward to avoid relegation creates conditions for goals at both ends. The data supports a lively match with scoring from both sides.

Main risk

For Porto, the risk is more subtle.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Porto's offensive firepower and Estoril's defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for goals at both ends, making the BTTS market a strong tactical and statistical choice.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

FC Porto averages 2.4 goals per game with an 80% BTTS rate this season.

Estoril has scored in 60% of matches despite defensive struggles.

Recent form shows Porto with 15 points and Estoril with just 1 in last five games.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.9 over the last 10 meetings.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals total is 2.9, with a strong trend toward matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • This suggests a high-tempo game with attacking opportunities for both sides, aligning with the BTTS pick and indicating a lively match environment.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Porto2.4
Avg goals scored
Estoril0.6
FC Porto0.8
Avg goals conceded
Estoril1.6
FC Porto80%
BTTS rate
Estoril60%
FC Porto80%
Over 2.5 goals
Estoril60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Porto's 2.4 goals per game and 80% BTTS rate combined with Estoril's 0.6 goals and 60% BTTS rate suggest an open game with goals at both ends. The average 2.9 goals in their last 10 meetings further supports a match where both teams are likely to score.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Primeira Liga fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Estoril Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Estoril to WinBetfred guide price · model 22%
15
Check odds @ 15
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
FC Porto to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
FC Porto Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
The 51.4% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 36.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). FC Porto show a 80% BTTS rate and Estoril show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Estoril are high-scoring at home, netting 50 goals this season, and average 12 shots per game.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Porto

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 109W 0D 0L
24 Oct 2026A GIL Vicente1-0
10 Oct 2026A Maritimo2-1
20 Sep 2026H Benfica3-1
12 Sep 2026A Casa Pia4-1
04 Sep 2026H Moreirense2-1

Estoril

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 7L
25 Oct 2026H Moreirense1-3
10 Oct 2026A Academico Viseu1-2
20 Sep 2026H Casa Pia1-2
14 Sep 2026A SC Braga0-1
07 Sep 2026H Arouca0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 37% vs implied 22% · edge +15 pts
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Load more odds for this section
Estoril Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
7
Check odds @ 7
Estoril to WinBetfred guide price · model 22%
15
Check odds @ 15
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.03
Check odds @ 1.03
FC Porto to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
FC Porto Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Porto's recent form is dominant with 15 points from the last five matches and a high goals-for average, while Estoril has struggled, earning only 1 point and scoring less. Despite this, Estoril's occasional goals and Porto's consistent scoring suggest both teams will find the net in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%FC Porto Over 2.5
60%Estoril Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals total is 2.9, with a strong trend toward matches exceeding 2.5 goals. This suggests a high-tempo game with attacking opportunities for both sides, aligning with the BTTS pick and indicating a lively match environment.

Loading deeper match data…