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FC Juarez crestFC Juarez
v
Puebla crestPuebla

Liga MX | Sat 18 Jul, 04:00

FC Juarez v Puebla Stats

Data last updated: Fri 17 Jul 2026, 05:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Juarez face Puebla in Liga MX on Sat 18 Jul, 04:00. Erik Botheim arrives in clinical goalscoring form, fresh from hitting three goals in his previous league fixture. The market and pre-season form suggest defensive vulnerabilities on both sides, supporting an open, goal-filled game rather than a low-scoring affair.

BT4Y best bet

At 4/6 reflects the strong likelihood of both Juarez and Puebla scoring in this match

  • At 9/4, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • The Both Teams to Score (Yes) selection at 4/6 reflects the strong likelihood of both Juarez and Puebla scoring in this match.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 50% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. The Both Teams to Score (Yes) selection at 4/6 reflects the strong likelihood of both Juarez and Puebla scoring in this match.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Strong positive
The Both Teams to Score (Yes) selection at 4/6.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +19.2 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the Both Teams to Score (Yes) selection at 4/6 reflects the strong likelihood of both Juarez and Puebla scoring in this match. They can hurt opponents quickly, but they have also been giving opponents far too many invitations.

Main risk

They can hurt opponents quickly, but they have also been giving opponents far too many invitations.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

The Both Teams to Score (Yes) selection at 4/6 reflects the strong likelihood of both Juarez and Puebla.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Juarez-
Avg goals scored
Puebla-
FC Juarez-
Avg goals conceded
Puebla-
FC Juarez-
BTTS rate
Puebla-
FC Juarez-
Over 2.5 goals
Puebla-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 59% · edge -8.8 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 40%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 59% · edge -8.8 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Puebla Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Puebla to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4
Check odds @ 4
FC Juarez Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
FC Juarez to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Juarez

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for FC Juarez yet.

Puebla

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Puebla yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 47% · edge +24.5 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
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Puebla Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Puebla to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
5
Check odds @ 5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4
Check odds @ 4
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
FC Juarez Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
FC Juarez to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3FC Juarez wins
4Draws
3Puebla wins
04 Apr 2026Puebla v FC Juarez1-1
25 Oct 2025FC Juarez v Puebla4-4
29 Mar 2025FC Juarez v Puebla2-0
28 Sep 2024Puebla v FC Juarez2-3
24 Mar 2024FC Juarez v Puebla4-3
26 Aug 2023Puebla v FC Juarez1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 50% vs implied 59% · edge -8.8 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Puebla to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
5
Check odds @ 5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetfred guide price · model 30%
4
Check odds @ 4
FC Juarez to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Liga MX

FC Juarez0
Played
Puebla0
FC Juarez0
Avg goals for
Puebla0
FC Juarez0
Avg goals against
Puebla0
FC Juarez0
Clean sheets
Puebla0
Best odds for this sectionPuebla Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 32% · edge +19.2 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Load more odds for this section
Puebla to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
5
Check odds @ 5
FC Juarez Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.35
Check odds @ 1.35
FC Juarez to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Season data supports Puebla Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Puebla000000
16FC Juarez000000
FC Juarez sit in position 16, while Puebla sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-FC Juarez Over 2.5
-Puebla Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The Both Teams to Score (Yes) selection at 4/6 reflects the strong likelihood of both Juarez and Puebla scoring in this match.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

FC Juarez v Puebla prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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