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FC Juarez crestFC Juarez
v
Club Queretaro crestClub Queretaro

Liga MX | Sat 31 Oct, 01:00

FC Juarez v Club Queretaro Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Liga MX fixture features FC Juarez hosting Club Queretaro, with Queretaro currently in a stronger league position and better recent form. Juarez has struggled offensively, averaging just 0.6 goals per game recently, while conceding twice per match. Queretaro, ranked 9th, has shown more attacking threat and defensive resilience, scoring 1.2 goals per game and maintaining a solid points tally. The match presents a tactical challenge for Juarez, who must improve their finishing and defensive organization to contain Queretaro's balanced attack and midfield creativity.

BT4Y best bet

Club Queretaro to Win

  • Club Queretaro holds a significant model edge with a 62.3% win probability versus 44.4% implied chance.
  • Juarez's recent form shows only 2 points and 0.6 goals per game, contrasting with Queretaro's 6 points and 1.2 goals per game.
  • Queretaro ranks 9th with 20 points, well above Juarez's 18th place and 5 points, indicating stronger overall performance.
  • Juarez averages more corners (6.8) but also concedes more goals (2 per game), suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Key Queretaro players like M. Homenchenko provide goal threat and midfield stability, enhancing their winning chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Club Queretaro to win due to their superior recent form, higher league standing, and more effective attacking output. Queretaro's 62.3% win probability reflects consistent goal scoring and defensive solidity compared to Juarez's struggles to score and defend. Player-level data highlights Queretaro's midfielders and attackers as significant goal threats, reinforcing the tactical advantage. The price offers positive value with a 17.9% edge, making this a confident selection based on comprehensive data and football context.

Model Win Probability62.3%
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsQueretaro 6 vs Juarez 2
Strong positive
Goals per GameQueretaro 1.2 vs Juarez 0.6
Positive
League PositionQueretaro 9th vs Juarez 18th
Strong positive
Value Edge59.4% model chance vs 44.4% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Club Queretaro's superior form and league position underpin this confident away win pick. Their midfield and attacking players have demonstrated consistent goal threat, while Juarez's offensive struggles and defensive lapses make them vulnerable. Queretaro's balanced approach and tactical discipline should secure the win in this Liga MX clash.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and player quality advantage

“Queretaro's midfield creativity and goal-scoring efficiency give them a clear tactical edge over Juarez, whose defensive frailties and lack of offensive firepower make them susceptible in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Club Queretaro to Win evidence

Club Queretaro holds a significant model edge with a 62.3% win probability versus 44.4% implied chance.

Juarez's recent form shows only 2 points and 0.6 goals per game, contrasting with Queretaro's 6 points and 1.2 goals per game.

Queretaro ranks 9th with 20 points, well above Juarez's 18th place and 5 points, indicating stronger overall performance.

Juarez averages more corners (6.8) but also concedes more goals (2 per game), suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

Club Queretaro to Win notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.4, indicating a moderately open game.
  • Juarez's 40% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Queretaro's 60%, suggesting Queretaro's matches tend to have more goals, supporting the potential for a dynamic and attacking encounter in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickClub Queretaro to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Club Queretaro Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The 59.4% for Club Queretaro to Win sits against roughly 44.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Club Queretaro have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 2 for FC Juarez.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC Juarez0.6
Avg goals scored
Club Queretaro1.2
FC Juarez2
Avg goals conceded
Club Queretaro2
FC Juarez60%
BTTS rate
Club Queretaro40%
FC Juarez40%
Over 2.5 goals
Club Queretaro60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 33%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent trends show Juarez averaging 0.6 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate, while Queretaro scores 1.2 goals per game but has a lower BTTS rate of 40%. This suggests a moderate chance of goals with some defensive solidity from Queretaro, indicating a game with selective scoring opportunities rather than open goal-fests.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC Juarez

DLLDL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
24 Oct 2026A Necaxa1-1
21 Oct 2026H Atlante FC0-1
18 Oct 2026A Cruz Azul0-5
11 Oct 2026H Club Tijuana1-1
28 Sep 2026A Leon1-2

Club Queretaro

LLLWW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
26 Oct 2026H Cruz Azul1-3
21 Oct 2026A Atletico San Luis1-2
18 Oct 2026A Santos Laguna0-5
11 Oct 2026H Atlante FC2-0
27 Sep 2026A Guadalajara Chivas2-0
Market aligned with main pickClub Queretaro to WinBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Club Queretaro Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Queretaro's recent form is markedly better, securing 6 points in their last matches with a stronger goal-scoring rate of 1.2 per game. Juarez has struggled, earning only 2 points and scoring 0.6 goals per game, indicating offensive inefficiency and defensive vulnerabilities that Queretaro can exploit.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%FC Juarez Over 2.5
60%Club Queretaro Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.4, indicating a moderately open game. Juarez's 40% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Queretaro's 60%, suggesting Queretaro's matches tend to have more goals, supporting the potential for a dynamic and attacking encounter in this fixture.

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