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FC Copenhagen crestFC Copenhagen
v
Viborg crestViborg

Friendlies Clubs | Thu 16 Jul, 13:00

FC Copenhagen v Viborg Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Copenhagen face Viborg in Friendlies Clubs on Thu 16 Jul, 13:00. FC Copenhagen come in with 10 recent points and 2.4 goals per match, while Viborg have 10 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Viborg to Win

  • At 3.8, Viborg Win implies roughly 26%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 45%.
  • Viborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Viborg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 45% for Viborg Win sits against roughly 26% implied by the current price. Viborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Viborg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Model chance vs price45% model chance against roughly 26% implied
Strong positive
Viborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +18.7 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Viborg Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Viborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Viborg Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Viborg Win evidence

Viborg have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Viborg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Viborg Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    FC Copenhagen2.4
    Avg goals scored
    Viborg2
    FC Copenhagen2.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Viborg1
    FC Copenhagen80%
    BTTS rate
    Viborg60%
    FC Copenhagen80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Viborg60%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 36% · edge +6.7 pts
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 79%
    1.13
    Check odds @ 1.13
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
    2.08
    Check odds @ 2.08
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for FC Copenhagen and 60% for Viborg, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickViborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 26% · edge +18.7 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Viborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Viborg to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    FC Copenhagen

    WDWLW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 1L
    11 Jul 2026H AC Horsens3-2
    07 Jul 2026A Plzen1-1
    27 Jun 2026H Mjallby AIF5-3
    01 Feb 2026A Aarhus0-4
    23 Jan 2026H B 933-2

    Viborg

    WLDWW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 2L
    11 Jul 2026H Notts County2-0
    03 Jul 2026A Aalborg1-3
    27 Jun 2026A Aarhus1-1
    30 Jan 2026H Kalmar FF3-1
    22 Jan 2026H Piast Gliwice3-0
    Market aligned with main pickViborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 26% · edge +18.7 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 74%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Viborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6FC Copenhagen wins
    2Draws
    2Viborg wins
    07 Mar 2026Viborg v FC Copenhagen1-2
    11 Feb 2026FC Copenhagen v Viborg2-1
    26 Oct 2025FC Copenhagen v Viborg0-0
    18 Jul 2025Viborg v FC Copenhagen2-3
    08 May 2025FC Copenhagen v Viborg1-0
    01 May 2025Viborg v FC Copenhagen0-1
    Market aligned with main pickViborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 26% · edge +18.7 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 61%
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Viborg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    FC Copenhagen8
    Played
    Viborg8
    FC Copenhagen2.4
    Avg goals for
    Viborg1.5
    FC Copenhagen2.3
    Avg goals against
    Viborg1.3
    FC Copenhagen0
    Clean sheets
    Viborg2
    Market aligned with main pickViborg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 26% · edge +18.7 pts
    3.8
    Check odds @ 3.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Viborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
    2.68
    Check odds @ 2.68
    Season data supports Viborg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%FC Copenhagen Over 2.5
    60%Viborg Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FC Copenhagen sit at 80% and Viborg sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

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