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FC Cincinnati crestFC Cincinnati
v
San Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose Earthquakes

Major League Soccer | Sun 02 Aug, 00:30

FC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 12:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Cincinnati face San Jose Earthquakes in Major League Soccer on Sun 02 Aug, 00:30. Cincinnati have scored 41 goals and conceded 42 in 17 league matches, meaning their MLS fixtures have produced 83 goals at an average of 4.88 per game.

BT4Y best bet

FC Cincinnati to win and both teams to score

  • At 1.91, FC Cincinnati to win and both teams to score implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 66%.
  • Their attack, led by Kevin Denkey and Evander, is prolific, but defensive frailty means both teams are likely to score, with San Jose’s own.
  • FC Cincinnati have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for San Jose Earthquakes.
  • FC Cincinnati sit 9 in the table, while San Jose Earthquakes sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 66% for FC Cincinnati to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. FC Cincinnati have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for San Jose Earthquakes. Their attack, led by Kevin Denkey and Evander, is prolific, but defensive frailty means both teams are likely to score, with San Jose’s own.

Model chance vs price66% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Positive
FC Cincinnati have the stronger recent points return, taking 7.Visible data support
Positive
FC Cincinnati sit 9 in the table, while San Jose.Visible data support
Positive
Their attack, led by Kevin Denkey and Evander, is.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: FC Cincinnati Win is the preferred angle because their attack, led by Kevin Denkey and Evander, is prolific, but defensive frailty means both teams are likely to score, with San Jose’s own offensive threats adding to the expectation. FC Cincinnati have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for San Jose Earthquakes. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

FC Cincinnati to win and both teams to score evidence

Their attack, led by Kevin Denkey and Evander, is prolific, but defensive frailty means both teams are likely.

FC Cincinnati have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for San Jose Earthquakes.

San Jose Earthquakes have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.4 conceded per match, which helps the FC Cincinnati Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

FC Cincinnati sit 9 in the table, while San Jose Earthquakes sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

FC Cincinnati to win and both teams to score notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    FC Cincinnati3.4
    Avg goals scored
    San Jose Earthquakes1.6
    FC Cincinnati3
    Avg goals conceded
    San Jose Earthquakes2.4
    FC Cincinnati100%
    BTTS rate
    San Jose Earthquakes80%
    FC Cincinnati100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    San Jose Earthquakes80%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 77% · edge +1.1 pts
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for FC Cincinnati and 80% for San Jose Earthquakes, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

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    Major League Soccer hubrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 52% · edge +13.8 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    FC Cincinnati to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    FC Cincinnati3
    Avg corners for
    San Jose Earthquakes6.6
    FC Cincinnati9.2
    Avg total corners
    San Jose Earthquakes11.6
    FC Cincinnati1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    San Jose Earthquakes3.2
    FC Cincinnati12.4
    Avg shots
    San Jose Earthquakes13
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    FC Cincinnati

    LWWDL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 4D 2L
    26 Jul 2026A Columbus Crew1-2
    23 Jul 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps4-3
    24 May 2026H Orlando City SC6-2
    17 May 2026A San Diego3-3
    14 May 2026H Inter Miami3-5

    San Jose Earthquakes

    DLWLL
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    26 Jul 2026H Los Angeles Galaxy1-1
    23 Jul 2026H Orlando City SC0-4
    24 May 2026A Portland Timbers3-1
    17 May 2026H FC Dallas2-3
    14 May 2026A Seattle Sounders2-3
    Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 52% · edge +13.8 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2FC Cincinnati wins
    0Draws
    1San Jose Earthquakes wins
    16 Jun 2024San Jose Earthquakes v FC Cincinnati2-4
    11 Sep 2022FC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes6-0
    05 May 2019San Jose Earthquakes v FC Cincinnati1-0
    Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 52% · edge +13.8 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    The head-to-head sample gives context for FC Cincinnati to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Major League Soccer

    FC Cincinnati24
    Played
    San Jose Earthquakes25
    FC Cincinnati2.2
    Avg goals for
    San Jose Earthquakes1.8
    FC Cincinnati2.5
    Avg goals against
    San Jose Earthquakes1.4
    FC Cincinnati2
    Clean sheets
    San Jose Earthquakes7
    Market aligned with main pickFC Cincinnati to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 52% · edge +13.8 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    FC Cincinnati Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Season data supports FC Cincinnati to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4San Jose Earthquakes412512588
    9FC Cincinnati3224888-7
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%FC Cincinnati Over 2.5
    80%San Jose Earthquakes Over 2.5
    4.33H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FC Cincinnati sit at 100% and San Jose Earthquakes sit at 80% with the H2H average at 4.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    FC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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