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FC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg
v
Borussia Mönchengladbach crestBorussia Mönchengladbach

Bundesliga | Sat 09 May, 14:30

FC Augsburg v Borussia Mönchengladbach Stats

Data last updated: Sat 11 Jul 2026, 21:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC Augsburg face Borussia Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga on Sat 09 May, 14:30. Augsburg are currently enjoying a five-match unbeaten streak and face a Gladbach side that has failed to win any away league match in 2026.

BT4Y best bet

FC Augsburg Win

  • At 2, FC Augsburg Win implies roughly 50%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
  • Augsburg have lost only one of their last 10 home Bundesliga meetings against Gladbach.
  • FC Augsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
  • Borussia Mönchengladbach have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the FC Augsburg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • FC Augsburg sit 9 in the table, while Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for FC Augsburg Win sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price. FC Augsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Augsburg have lost only one of their last 10 home Bundesliga meetings against Gladbach.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 50% implied
Positive
FC Augsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
Borussia Mönchengladbach have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.Visible data support
Positive
Augsburg have lost only one of their last 10.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: FC Augsburg Win is the preferred angle because augsburg have lost only one of their last 10 home Bundesliga meetings against Gladbach. FC Augsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. exists, but there is also impatience.

Main risk

exists, but there is also impatience.

Key Data Signals

FC Augsburg Win evidence

Augsburg have lost only one of their last 10 home Bundesliga meetings against Gladbach.

FC Augsburg have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Borussia Mönchengladbach have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the FC Augsburg Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

FC Augsburg sit 9 in the table, while Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

FC Augsburg Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    FC Augsburg4.2
    Avg corners for
    Borussia Mönchengladbach2.4
    FC Augsburg12
    Avg total corners
    Borussia Mönchengladbach8.2
    FC Augsburg2.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Borussia Mönchengladbach3.2
    FC Augsburg15.4
    Avg shots
    Borussia Mönchengladbach12.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 56% · edge +16.9 pts
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
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    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    FC Augsburg1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Borussia Mönchengladbach0.8
    FC Augsburg1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Borussia Mönchengladbach0.8
    FC Augsburg100%
    BTTS rate
    Borussia Mönchengladbach40%
    FC Augsburg60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Borussia Mönchengladbach20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickFC Augsburg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 50% · edge +11.1 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 73%
    1.78
    Check odds @ 1.78
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    FC Augsburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    FC Augsburg to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    FC Augsburg

    WDWDD
    Last 52W 3D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    02 May 2026A Werder Bremen3-1
    25 Apr 2026H Eintracht Frankfurt1-1
    18 Apr 2026A Bayer Leverkusen2-1
    10 Apr 2026H 1899 Hoffenheim2-2
    04 Apr 2026A Hamburger SV1-1

    Borussia Mönchengladbach

    WDDLD
    Last 51W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 4D 3L
    03 May 2026H Borussia Dortmund1-0
    25 Apr 2026A VfL Wolfsburg0-0
    19 Apr 2026H FSV Mainz 051-1
    11 Apr 2026A RB Leipzig0-1
    04 Apr 2026H 1. FC Heidenheim2-2
    Market aligned with main pickFC Augsburg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 50% · edge +11.1 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    FC Augsburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6FC Augsburg wins
    1Draws
    3Borussia Mönchengladbach wins
    11 Jan 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach v FC Augsburg4-0
    22 Feb 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach v FC Augsburg0-3
    04 Oct 2024FC Augsburg v Borussia Mönchengladbach2-1
    21 Jan 2024Borussia Monchengladbach v FC Augsburg1-2
    19 Aug 2023FC Augsburg v Borussia Monchengladbach4-4
    27 May 2023Borussia Monchengladbach v FC Augsburg2-0
    Market aligned with main pickFC Augsburg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 50% · edge +11.1 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    The head-to-head sample gives context for FC Augsburg to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Bundesliga

    FC Augsburg34
    Played
    Borussia Mönchengladbach34
    FC Augsburg1.3
    Avg goals for
    Borussia Mönchengladbach1.2
    FC Augsburg1.8
    Avg goals against
    Borussia Mönchengladbach1.6
    FC Augsburg5
    Clean sheets
    Borussia Mönchengladbach13
    Market aligned with main pickFC Augsburg to WinBetfred guide price · Model 61% vs implied 50% · edge +11.1 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    FC Augsburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Season data supports FC Augsburg to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    9FC Augsburg433412715-16
    12Borussia Mönchengladbach383491114-11
    FC Augsburg sit in position 9, while Borussia Mönchengladbach sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the FC Augsburg Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%FC Augsburg Over 2.5
    20%Borussia Mönchengladbach Over 2.5
    3.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FC Augsburg sit at 60% and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit at 20% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    FC Augsburg v Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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