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Falkirkv
HibernianPremiership | Sat 09 May, 15:00
Falkirk v Hibernian Stats
BT4Y best bet
Over 4.5 Cards
- At 1.91, Over 4.5 Cards is priced at roughly 52% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 68%, so the current line is showing a +15.6-point value edge.
- The disciplinary read shows average yellow-card figures of 2.8 for Falkirk and 3 for Hibernian in detailed recent samples.
- The card data supports the Over 4.5 Cards angle: Falkirk have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded.
- The card data supports the Over 4.5 Cards angle: Hibernian have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 1.91, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 50% · edge +10.6 pts
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
80%Falkirk Over 2.5
60%Hibernian Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Falkirk
WLLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 recordLast 104W 1D 5L
02 May 2026H Motherwell1-0
25 Apr 2026A Celtic1-3
12 Apr 2026H Rangers3-6
04 Apr 2026A Motherwell3-2
21 Mar 2026H ST Mirren1-2
Hibernian
LLLWD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 recordLast 103W 3D 4L
03 May 2026H Celtic1-2
26 Apr 2026H Heart Of Midlothian1-2
11 Apr 2026A Aberdeen0-2
04 Apr 2026H Kilmarnock3-0
21 Mar 2026A Motherwell0-0
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 50% · edge +10.6 pts
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Falkirk1.8
Avg goals scoredHibernian1
Falkirk2.6
Avg goals concededHibernian1.2
Falkirk80%
BTTS rateHibernian40%
Falkirk80%
Over 2.5 goalsHibernian60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.3 pts
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
2Falkirk wins
4Draws
4Hibernian wins
24 Jan 2026Falkirk v Hibernian4-1
06 Dec 2025Hibernian v Falkirk3-0
23 Sep 2025Falkirk v Hibernian2-2
12 Jul 2022Falkirk v Hibernian1-0
25 Mar 2017Hibernian v Falkirk2-1
31 Dec 2016Falkirk v Hibernian1-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.3 pts
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Falkirk4
Avg corners forHibernian2
Falkirk9
Avg total cornersHibernian9.6
Falkirk2.8
Avg yellow cardsHibernian3
Falkirk11.8
Avg shotsHibernian4.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 52% · edge +15.6 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
B. StewartFalkirk · Attacker
Goal threat71/100
Shots /902.3
SOT /901.08
A. ŠutoHibernian · Attacker
Goal threat70/100
Shots /902.66
SOT /901.45
K. BowieHibernian · Attacker
Goal threat69/100
Shots /902.18
SOT /901.23
Rudi Allan MolotnikovHibernian · Midfielder
Goal threat44/100
Shots /903.1
SOT /903.1
B. GrahamFalkirk · Attacker
Goal threat37/100
Shots /903.91
SOT /901.96
J. HoilettHibernian · Attacker
Goal threat68/100
Shots /903.43
SOT /901.82
A. MannehHibernian · Midfielder
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
S. HartFalkirk · Defender
Goal threat6/100
Shots /900.4
SOT /900
Season team stats
Premiership
Falkirk35
PlayedHibernian35
Falkirk1.3
Avg goals forHibernian1.5
Falkirk1.5
Avg goals againstHibernian1.2
Falkirk9
Clean sheetsHibernian11
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 50% · edge +10.6 pts
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hibernian | 51 | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 46 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | -3 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 51 | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 49 | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | -4 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
