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Sunderland crestSunderland

Premier League | Sun 17 May, 15:00

Everton v Sunderland Stats

Data last updated: Wed 15 Jul 2026, 16:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Everton face Sunderland in Premier League on Sun 17 May, 15:00. Sunderland’s away defensive record is poor, yet they retain attacking threats like Brobbey, making a narrow 2-1 Everton win a statistically plausible outcome for this fixture. Sunderland are winless in four matches and have conceded 10 goals during that run.

BT4Y best bet

Everton to Win & Over 2

  • At 3/1, Everton Win implies roughly 25%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 40%.
  • With 10 goals conceded in their last four matches, Sunderland are struggling to maintain defensive concentration.
  • Sunderland have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Everton.
  • Sunderland have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Everton Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Everton sit 13 in the table, while Sunderland sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 40% for Everton Win sits against roughly 25% implied by the current price. Sunderland have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Everton. With that scoring level conceded in their last four matches, Sunderland are struggling to maintain defensive concentration.

Model chance vs price40% model chance against roughly 25% implied
Positive
Sunderland have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points.Visible data support
Positive
Sunderland have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
With 10 goals conceded in their last four matches.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Everton Win is the preferred angle because with that scoring level conceded in their last four matches, Sunderland are struggling to maintain defensive concentration. Sunderland have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Everton. That willingness to attack quickly and directly has made them more entertaining, but it has also created chaos at both ends of the pitch.

Main risk

That willingness to attack quickly and directly has made them more entertaining, but it has also created chaos at both ends of the pitch.

Key Data Signals

Everton Win evidence

With that scoring level conceded in their last four matches, Sunderland are struggling to maintain defensive concentration.

Sunderland have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 3 for Everton.

Sunderland have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Everton Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Everton sit 13 in the table, while Sunderland sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Everton Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Everton1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Sunderland1
    Everton2.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Sunderland2
    Everton100%
    BTTS rate
    Sunderland40%
    Everton100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sunderland40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 59% · edge +17.2 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 80%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 44%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 55% · edge -15 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Everton to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Everton7
    Avg corners for
    Sunderland4.67
    Everton11
    Avg total corners
    Sunderland10.33
    Everton3
    Avg yellow cards
    Sunderland2.33
    Everton12
    Avg shots
    Sunderland11.67
    Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 46% · edge +20.1 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 69%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Everton

    DDLLD
    Last 50W 3D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    10 May 2026A Crystal Palace2-2
    04 May 2026H Manchester City3-3
    25 Apr 2026A West Ham1-2
    19 Apr 2026H Liverpool1-2
    11 Apr 2026A Brentford2-2

    Sunderland

    DDLLW
    Last 51W 2D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    09 May 2026H Manchester United0-0
    02 May 2026A Wolves1-1
    24 Apr 2026H Nottingham Forest0-5
    19 Apr 2026A Aston Villa3-4
    12 Apr 2026H Tottenham1-0
    Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 55% · edge -15 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Everton wins
    3Draws
    2Sunderland wins
    10 Jan 2026Everton v Sunderland1-1
    03 Nov 2025Sunderland v Everton1-1
    20 Sep 2017Everton v Sunderland3-0
    25 Feb 2017Everton v Sunderland2-0
    12 Sep 2016Sunderland v Everton0-3
    11 May 2016Sunderland v Everton3-0
    Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 55% · edge -15 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Everton to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premier League

    Everton38
    Played
    Sunderland38
    Everton1.2
    Avg goals for
    Sunderland1.1
    Everton1.3
    Avg goals against
    Sunderland1.3
    Everton11
    Clean sheets
    Sunderland11
    Market aligned with main pickEverton to WinBet365 guide price · Model 40% vs implied 55% · edge -15 pts
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Load more odds for this section
    Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Season data supports Everton to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7Sunderland5438141212-6
    13Everton4938131015-3
    Everton sit in position 13, while Sunderland sit in position 7, so table pressure belongs in the Everton Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Everton Over 2.5
    40%Sunderland Over 2.5
    2.8H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Everton sit at 100% and Sunderland sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Everton v Sunderland prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

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