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Everton crestEverton
v
Manchester United crestManchester United

Premier League | Sun 06 Sep, 14:00

Everton v Manchester United Stats

Data last updated: Thu 01 Oct 2026, 04:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Everton face Manchester United in Premier League on Sun 06 Sep, 14:00. Everton welcome Manchester United to the Hill Dickinson Stadium on Sunday with an unbeaten start intact but a reshaped attack facing the most obvious weakness in Michael Carrick’s side: United have already conceded four Premier League goals in.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 8/15, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 65%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Everton’s consistent scoring and United’s early defensive lapses support both teams scoring.
  • Everton show a 50% BTTS rate and Manchester United show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Everton average 1.5 goals scored and Manchester United average 2.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 65% implied by the current price. Everton show a 50% BTTS rate and Manchester United show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Everton’s consistent scoring and United’s early defensive lapses support both teams scoring.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 65% implied
Neutral
Everton show a 50% BTTS rate and Manchester United show.Visible data support
Positive
Everton average 1.5 goals scored and Manchester United average 2.Visible data support
Positive
Everton’s consistent scoring and United’s early defensive lapses support.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because everton’s consistent scoring and United’s early defensive lapses support both teams scoring. Everton show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Manchester United show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Everton’s consistent scoring and United’s early defensive lapses support both teams scoring.

Everton show a 50% BTTS rate and Manchester United show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Everton average 1.5 goals scored and Manchester United average 2.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Everton1.5
Avg goals scored
Manchester United2.5
Everton0.5
Avg goals conceded
Manchester United2
Everton50%
BTTS rate
Manchester United50%
Everton0%
Over 2.5 goals
Manchester United50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 64% · edge +3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 36%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 50% for Everton and 50% for Manchester United, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 64% · edge +3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Manchester United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Everton to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Manchester United to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premier League fixtures and predictionsEverton v Manchester United predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Everton

DW
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
29 Aug 2026A Bournemouth1-1
22 Aug 2026H Crystal Palace2-0

Manchester United

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
30 Aug 2026H Ipswich5-2
22 Aug 2026A Hull City0-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.8 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Manchester United Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Everton to WinBet365 guide price · model 32%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Manchester United to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Everton Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Everton Over 2.5
50%Manchester United Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Everton sit at 0% and Manchester United sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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