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Espanyol crestEspanyol
v
Athletic Club crestAthletic Club

La Liga | Wed 13 May, 18:00

Espanyol v Athletic Club Stats

Data last updated: Sat 13 Jun 2026, 10:01 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Espanyol face Athletic Club in La Liga on Wed 13 May, 18:00. Espanyol come in with 1 recent points and 0.4 goals per match, while Athletic Club have 6 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Athletic Club to Win

  • At 2.7, Athletic Club Win implies roughly 37%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Athletic Club have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Espanyol.
  • Athletic Club have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Athletic Club Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Espanyol sit 11 in the table, while Athletic Club sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Athletic Club Win sits against roughly 37% implied by the current price. Athletic Club have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Espanyol.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 37% implied
Strong positive
Athletic Club have the stronger recent points return, taking 6.Visible data support
Positive
Athletic Club have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Athletic Club Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Athletic Club have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Espanyol. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Athletic Club Win evidence

Athletic Club have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 1 for Espanyol.

Athletic Club have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.6 conceded per match, which helps the Athletic Club Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Espanyol sit 11 in the table, while Athletic Club sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Athletic Club Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Espanyol5
    Avg corners for
    Athletic Club8.8
    Espanyol10.4
    Avg total corners
    Athletic Club12.6
    Espanyol4.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Athletic Club2
    Espanyol12.2
    Avg shots
    Athletic Club12
    Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15.4 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    more La Liga analysiscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAthletic Club to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 37% · edge +33 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Athletic Club Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Athletic Club to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Espanyol

    LLDLL
    Last 50W 1D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 4D 6L
    09 May 2026A Sevilla1-2
    03 May 2026H Real Madrid0-2
    27 Apr 2026H Levante0-0
    23 Apr 2026A Rayo Vallecano0-1
    11 Apr 2026A Barcelona1-4

    Athletic Club

    LWLWL
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 6L
    10 May 2026H Valencia0-1
    02 May 2026A Alaves4-2
    25 Apr 2026A Atletico Madrid2-3
    21 Apr 2026H Osasuna1-0
    12 Apr 2026H Villarreal1-2
    Market aligned with main pickAthletic Club to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 37% · edge +33 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Athletic Club Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 84%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Espanyol0.4
    Avg goals scored
    Athletic Club1.6
    Espanyol1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Athletic Club1.6
    Espanyol40%
    BTTS rate
    Athletic Club60%
    Espanyol40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Athletic Club60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 52% · edge +10.9 pts
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 70%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 41%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Espanyol wins
    3Draws
    5Athletic Club wins
    22 Dec 2025Athletic Club v Espanyol1-2
    16 Feb 2025Espanyol v Athletic Club1-1
    19 Oct 2024Athletic Club v Espanyol4-1
    08 Apr 2023Espanyol v Athletic Club1-2
    18 Jan 2023Athletic Club v Espanyol1-0
    04 Sep 2022Athletic Club v Espanyol0-1
    Market aligned with main pickAthletic Club to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 37% · edge +33 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Athletic Club to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    11Espanyol4638121016-12
    12Athletic Club453813619-15
    Espanyol sit in position 11, while Athletic Club sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the Athletic Club Win assessment.
    Season team stats

    La Liga

    Espanyol38
    Played
    Athletic Club38
    Espanyol1.1
    Avg goals for
    Athletic Club1.1
    Espanyol1.4
    Avg goals against
    Athletic Club1.5
    Espanyol10
    Clean sheets
    Athletic Club6
    Market aligned with main pickAthletic Club to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 37% · edge +33 pts
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Athletic Club Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Season data supports Athletic Club to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Espanyol Over 2.5
    60%Athletic Club Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Espanyol sit at 40% and Athletic Club sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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