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Elchev
AlavesLa Liga | Sat 09 May, 13:00
Elche v Alaves Stats
BT4Y best bet
Over 2.5 Goals
- At 1.91, Over 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 52% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 71%, so the current line is showing a +19-point value edge.
- Elche are at 60% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Alaves are at 100%, and the H2H goal average is 2.33.
- The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: Elche have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: Alaves have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 100% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 1.91, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 52% · edge +19 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
60%Elche Over 2.5
100%Alaves Over 2.5
2.33H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Elche
LWWWL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 104W 1D 5L
03 May 2026A Celta Vigo1-3
26 Apr 2026A Oviedo2-1
22 Apr 2026H Atletico Madrid3-2
11 Apr 2026H Valencia1-0
03 Apr 2026A Rayo Vallecano0-1
Alaves
LWLDD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 102W 4D 4L
02 May 2026H Athletic Club2-4
25 Apr 2026H Mallorca2-1
21 Apr 2026A Real Madrid1-2
11 Apr 2026A Real Sociedad3-3
05 Apr 2026H Osasuna2-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 85% vs implied 78% · edge +6.8 pts
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Elche1.4
Avg goals scoredAlaves2
Elche1.4
Avg goals concededAlaves2.4
Elche60%
BTTS rateAlaves100%
Elche60%
Over 2.5 goalsAlaves100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 52% · edge +19 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
3Elche wins
0Draws
3Alaves wins
05 Oct 2025Alaves v Elche3-1
05 Feb 2022Elche v Alaves3-1
26 Oct 2021Alaves v Elche1-0
31 Jul 2021Alaves v Elche0-1
11 May 2021Elche v Alaves0-2
18 Oct 2020Alaves v Elche0-2
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 52% · edge +19 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Elche5
Avg corners forAlaves6.2
Elche11.2
Avg total cornersAlaves12.2
Elche1.6
Avg yellow cardsAlaves2.6
Elche10
Avg shotsAlaves14.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.4 pts
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
Rafa MirElche · Attacker
Goal threat82/100
Shots /903.07
SOT /901.79
André SilvaElche · Attacker
Goal threat76/100
Shots /902.05
SOT /901.44
Toni MartínezAlaves · Attacker
Goal threat72/100
Shots /902.63
SOT /901.2
Adam BoayarElche · Attacker
Goal threat53/100
Shots /903.4
SOT /901.7
Buba SangaréElche · Defender
Goal threat5/100
Shots /900.22
SOT /900
A. RebbachAlaves · Attacker
Goal threat37/100
Shots /901.66
SOT /900.75
Rodrigo MendozaElche · Attacker
Goal threat17/100
Shots /900.68
SOT /900.23
Season team stats
La Liga
Elche34
PlayedAlaves34
Elche1.3
Avg goals forAlaves1.2
Elche1.6
Avg goals againstAlaves1.6
Elche7
Clean sheetsAlaves3
Best odds for this sectionHome WinBetMGM guide price · Model 60% vs implied 46% · edge +14.8 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Elche | 38 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -8 |
| 18 | Alaves | 36 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | -13 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
