Elche
AlavesLa Liga | Sun 04 Apr, 16:00
Elche v Alaves Stats
Data last updated: Sat 31 Oct 2026, 19:18 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Elche face Alaves in La Liga on Sun 04 Apr, 16:00. Alaves have conceded in 100% of their last 19 league matches, underlining the structural defensive issues they face on the road. Alaves, conversely, have a poor away record and have conceded in 19 consecutive matches.
One of three outcomes: an Elche win (1), a draw (X), or an Alaves win (2)
- At 11/10, One of three outcomes: an Elche win (1), a draw (X), or an Alaves win (2) implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
- Elche have turned Martinez Valero into a fortress, winning their last three home games.
- Elche have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 2 for Alaves.
- Elche have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the One of three outcomes: an Elche win (1), a draw (X), or an Alaves win (2) angle more than a.
- Elche sit 16 in the table, while Alaves sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 63% for One of three outcomes: an Elche win (1), a draw (X), or an Alaves win (2) sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Elche have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 2 for Alaves. Elche have turned Martinez Valero into a fortress, winning their last three home games.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Elche Win is the preferred angle because elche have turned Martinez Valero into a fortress, winning their last three home games. Elche have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 2 for Alaves. They can score against almost anyone, but they also concede with alarming regularity.
They can score against almost anyone, but they also concede with alarming regularity.
Key Data Signals
One of three outcomes: an Elche win (1), a draw (X), or an Alaves win (2) evidence
Elche have turned Martinez Valero into a fortress, winning their last three home games.
Elche have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 2 for Alaves.
Elche have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Elche Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Elche sit 16 in the table, while Alaves sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
One of three outcomes: an Elche win (1), a draw (X), or an Alaves win (2) notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Elche
Alaves
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Market odds
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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