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Elche
AlavesLa Liga | Sat 09 May, 13:00
Elche v Alaves Stats
Data last updated: Sun 31 May 2026, 03:17 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Elche face Alaves in La Liga on Sat 09 May, 13:00. Alaves have conceded in 100% of their last 19 league matches, underlining the structural defensive issues they face on the road. Alaves, conversely, have a poor away record and have conceded in 19 consecutive matches.
One of three outcomes: an Elche win (1), a draw (X), or an Alaves win (2)
- At 11/10, Elche Win implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 60%.
- Elche have turned Martinez Valero into a fortress, winning their last three home games.
- Elche have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Alaves.
- Elche have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Elche Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Elche sit 15 in the table, while Alaves sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 60% for Elche Win sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Elche have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Alaves. Elche have turned Martinez Valero into a fortress, winning their last three home games.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Elche Win is the preferred angle because elche have turned Martinez Valero into a fortress, winning their last three home games. Elche have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Alaves. They can score against almost anyone, but they also concede with alarming regularity.
They can score against almost anyone, but they also concede with alarming regularity.
Key Data Signals
Elche Win evidence
Elche have turned Martinez Valero into a fortress, winning their last three home games.
Elche have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 5 for Alaves.
Elche have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Elche Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Elche sit 15 in the table, while Alaves sit 14, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Elche Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Elche
Alaves
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.
Season team stats
La Liga
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Alaves | 43 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | -12 |
| 15 | Elche | 43 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -8 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
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