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Eintracht Frankfurt crestEintracht Frankfurt
v
VfB Stuttgart crestVfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga | Sat 16 May, 14:30

Eintracht Frankfurt v VfB Stuttgart Stats

Data last updated: Fri 05 Jun 2026, 08:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt face VfB Stuttgart in Bundesliga on Sat 16 May, 14:30. Eintracht Frankfurt come in with 4 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while VfB Stuttgart have 8 points and 2.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

VfB Stuttgart to Win

  • At 1.85, VfB Stuttgart Win implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 68%.
  • VfB Stuttgart have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Eintracht Frankfurt.
  • VfB Stuttgart have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the VfB Stuttgart Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8 in the table, while VfB Stuttgart sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 68% for VfB Stuttgart Win sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. VfB Stuttgart have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Model chance vs price68% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Positive
VfB Stuttgart have the stronger recent points return, taking 8.Visible data support
Positive
VfB Stuttgart have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: VfB Stuttgart Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers VfB Stuttgart have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Eintracht Frankfurt. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

VfB Stuttgart Win evidence

VfB Stuttgart have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 4 for Eintracht Frankfurt.

VfB Stuttgart have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.8 conceded per match, which helps the VfB Stuttgart Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8 in the table, while VfB Stuttgart sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

VfB Stuttgart Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Eintracht Frankfurt5.8
    Avg corners for
    VfB Stuttgart7.4
    Eintracht Frankfurt12.2
    Avg total corners
    VfB Stuttgart12.4
    Eintracht Frankfurt1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    VfB Stuttgart1
    Eintracht Frankfurt12.4
    Avg shots
    VfB Stuttgart17.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +14.9 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 49%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Eintracht Frankfurt1.4
    Avg goals scored
    VfB Stuttgart2.6
    Eintracht Frankfurt2
    Avg goals conceded
    VfB Stuttgart1.8
    Eintracht Frankfurt100%
    BTTS rate
    VfB Stuttgart80%
    Eintracht Frankfurt80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    VfB Stuttgart80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 75% · edge +0.8 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 74%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 100% for Eintracht Frankfurt and 80% for VfB Stuttgart, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickVfB Stuttgart to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 54% · edge +13.8 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 74%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    VfB Stuttgart to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Eintracht Frankfurt

    LLDLW
    Last 51W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 3D 4L
    08 May 2026A Borussia Dortmund2-3
    02 May 2026H Hamburger SV1-2
    25 Apr 2026A FC Augsburg1-1
    18 Apr 2026H RB Leipzig1-3
    11 Apr 2026A VfL Wolfsburg2-1

    VfB Stuttgart

    WDDLW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 3D 2L
    09 May 2026H Bayer Leverkusen3-1
    02 May 2026A 1899 Hoffenheim3-3
    26 Apr 2026H Werder Bremen1-1
    19 Apr 2026A Bayern München2-4
    12 Apr 2026H Hamburger SV4-0
    Market aligned with main pickVfB Stuttgart to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 54% · edge +13.8 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
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    VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    5Eintracht Frankfurt wins
    2Draws
    3VfB Stuttgart wins
    13 Jan 2026VfB Stuttgart v Eintracht Frankfurt3-2
    29 Mar 2025Eintracht Frankfurt v VfB Stuttgart1-0
    10 Nov 2024VfB Stuttgart v Eintracht Frankfurt2-3
    13 Apr 2024VfB Stuttgart v Eintracht Frankfurt3-0
    25 Nov 2023Eintracht Frankfurt v VfB Stuttgart1-2
    03 May 2023VfB Stuttgart v Eintracht Frankfurt2-3
    Market aligned with main pickVfB Stuttgart to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 54% · edge +13.8 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 74%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    The head-to-head sample gives context for VfB Stuttgart to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Bundesliga

    Eintracht Frankfurt34
    Played
    VfB Stuttgart34
    Eintracht Frankfurt1.8
    Avg goals for
    VfB Stuttgart2.1
    Eintracht Frankfurt1.9
    Avg goals against
    VfB Stuttgart1.4
    Eintracht Frankfurt7
    Clean sheets
    VfB Stuttgart11
    Market aligned with main pickVfB Stuttgart to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 54% · edge +13.8 pts
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Load more odds for this section
    VfB Stuttgart Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 76%
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    Season data supports VfB Stuttgart to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4VfB Stuttgart6234188822
    8Eintracht Frankfurt4434111112-4
    Eintracht Frankfurt sit in position 8, while VfB Stuttgart sit in position 4, so table pressure belongs in the VfB Stuttgart Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Eintracht Frankfurt Over 2.5
    80%VfB Stuttgart Over 2.5
    3.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Eintracht Frankfurt sit at 80% and VfB Stuttgart sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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