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Drogheda United crestDrogheda United
v
Bohemians crestBohemians

Premier Division | Fri 03 Jul, 19:45

Drogheda United v Bohemians Stats

Data last updated: Thu 02 Jul 2026, 05:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bohemians arrive at Drogheda United on the back of strong recent form, having secured 9 points in their last three league matches compared to Drogheda's 3 points. Bohemians rank second in the Premier Division with 40 points, showing a more consistent attacking and defensive performance. Drogheda United, sitting eighth with 22 points, face a tough challenge to contain Bohemians' dynamic offense. The away side's ability to create chances and maintain defensive solidity will be key in this Friday evening clash, with Drogheda needing to improve their goal threat and defensive resilience to compete effectively.

BT4Y best bet

Bohemians to Win

  • Bohemians have won 70% to win this match
  • Bohemians average 14.33 shots and 4.33 shots on target per game, higher than Drogheda's 10.67 shots and 3 shots on target
  • Bohemians have a strong Over 2.5 goals rate at 80%, indicating attacking potency
  • Drogheda United have conceded more goals on average (2 per game) compared to Bohemians (1.4)
  • Bohemians rank 2nd in the league with 40 points, showing superior season-long form

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

Bohemians are favored to win due to their superior recent form, higher league standing, and more potent attacking statistics. They average significantly more shots and shots on target per match, reflecting greater offensive pressure. Their 80% Over 2.5 goals rate aligns with their ability to score and concede goals, suggesting open play that benefits the away side. Drogheda United's defensive vulnerabilities and lower points tally reinforce the model's in a Bohemians victory. The data quality is solid, supporting a confident prediction without major caveats.

Recent formBohemians 9 points vs Drogheda 3 points
Strong positive
Shots and attacking pressureBohemians 14.33 shots/game vs Drogheda 10.67
Strong positive
League standingBohemians 2nd vs Drogheda 8th
Strong positive
Goals concededDrogheda concedes 2 per game vs Bohemians 1.4
Positive
Over 2.5 goals rateBohemians 80% vs Drogheda 40%
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Bohemians' consistent attacking output and solid defensive record make them the logical choice to win this fixture. Their superior form and league position reflect a team capable of controlling the match and exploiting Drogheda United's defensive weaknesses.

Main risk

Drogheda United's home advantage and occasional goal threat could limit Bohemians' margin of victory, and any tactical adjustments or lineup changes may affect the outcome.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Bohemians to Win

“Bohemians combine effective chance creation with disciplined defense, positioning them well to secure victory against a struggling Drogheda side.”

Key Data Signals

Bohemians to Win evidence

Bohemians have won 70% to win this match

Bohemians average 14.33 shots and 4.33 shots on target per game, higher than Drogheda's 10.67 shots and 3 shots on target

Bohemians have a strong Over 2.5 goals rate at 80%, indicating attacking potency

Drogheda United have conceded more goals on average (2 per game) compared to Bohemians (1.4)

What To Watch In The Data

Bohemians to Win notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.9 per match, with Bohemians' high Over 2.5 goals rate suggesting an upward trend in goal-scoring tempo.
  • This supports expectations of an open game with multiple scoring chances and a likely goal-rich encounter.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Drogheda United3.67
Avg corners for
Bohemians7.67
Drogheda United10.67
Avg total corners
Bohemians11.67
Drogheda United3.33
Avg yellow cards
Bohemians2.33
Drogheda United10.67
Avg shots
Bohemians14.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 58% · edge +8.5 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Bohemians average more than twice the corners per game than Drogheda, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Drogheda's higher average yellow cards suggest a more aggressive defensive approach, which could lead to set-piece opportunities and influence match tempo.

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full betting preview for Drogheda United v Bohemianscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Drogheda United1.2
Avg goals scored
Bohemians2
Drogheda United2
Avg goals conceded
Bohemians1.4
Drogheda United60%
BTTS rate
Bohemians60%
Drogheda United40%
Over 2.5 goals
Bohemians80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 57% · edge +16.2 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 76%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 31%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, but Bohemians' 80% Over 2.5 goals rate suggests a more open game with multiple scoring opportunities. Drogheda's defensive record indicates susceptibility to conceding, supporting the likelihood of goals from both sides in this encounter.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The Bohemians to Win market reflects a strong model at 70%, supported by their higher league position and recent form. The are consistent with the statistical advantage Bohemians hold in shots, goals, and defensive solidity, making this a price-sensitive but justified selection.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Drogheda United

LDLDD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
26 Jun 2026A Derry City0-2
19 Jun 2026H Shelbourne2-2
12 Jun 2026A St Patrick's Athl.0-2
29 May 2026H Waterford3-3
22 May 2026H Dundalk1-1

Bohemians

WWLLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 1D 3L
26 Jun 2026H St Patrick's Athl.2-0
22 Jun 2026A Shelbourne3-0
19 Jun 2026H Dundalk1-2
12 Jun 2026A Derry City1-4
29 May 2026A Sligo Rovers3-1
Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Bohemians have collected 9 points in their last three matches, showcasing attacking efficiency and defensive resilience. Drogheda United's 3 points from the same period highlight struggles in both scoring and preventing goals, underpinning the away side's in securing a win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Drogheda United wins
3Draws
3Bohemians wins
15 May 2026Bohemians v Drogheda United2-1
03 Apr 2026Drogheda United v Bohemians0-0
09 Jan 2026Drogheda United v Bohemians1-1
01 Nov 2025Drogheda United v Bohemians1-4
01 Aug 2025Bohemians v Drogheda United0-1
23 May 2025Drogheda United v Bohemians1-0
Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The last ten matches between these teams have averaged 1.9 goals per game, indicating moderately low-scoring encounters historically. However, Bohemians' current attacking form suggests they may break this pattern, making past meetings a limited but useful background reference.
Season team stats

Premier Division

Drogheda United22
Played
Bohemians24
Drogheda United1.2
Avg goals for
Bohemians1.6
Drogheda United1.7
Avg goals against
Bohemians1.1
Drogheda United6
Clean sheets
Bohemians9
Market aligned with main pickBohemians to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Bohemians Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Bohemians' season stats reveal a potent attack averaging 2 goals per game and a relatively tight defense conceding 1.4 goals. Drogheda United's lower scoring rate and higher goals conceded per match reflect a less balanced team profile, favoring Bohemians in this matchup.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Bohemians4024117611
8Drogheda United22225710-11
Bohemians sit comfortably in 2nd place with 40 points, indicating consistent performance and title challenge potential. Drogheda United's 8th place and 22 points position them closer to relegation battles, adding pressure and reducing their margin for error in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Drogheda United Over 2.5
80%Bohemians Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.9 per match, with Bohemians' high Over 2.5 goals rate suggesting an upward trend in goal-scoring tempo. This supports expectations of an open game with multiple scoring chances and a likely goal-rich encounter.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Drogheda United v Bohemians prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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