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Drogheda United crestDrogheda United
v
Bohemians crestBohemians

Premier Division | Fri 03 Jul, 19:45

Drogheda United v Bohemians Stats

Data last updated: Thu 23 Jul 2026, 20:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Drogheda United face Bohemians in Premier Division on Fri 03 Jul, 19:45. They have gone six league matches without a win, drawing three and losing three, with defeats against Derry City, St Patricks Dublin and Waterford United sitting alongside draws against Shelbourne, Waterford United and Dundalk.

BT4Y best bet

Work? The Correct Score selection requires predicting the precise final scoreline of the fixture at regular time

  • The Correct Score selection requires predicting the precise final scoreline of the fixture at regular time implies roughly 13%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • Bohemians' last seven away matches have exceeded two goals, indicating a highly productive trend when travelling.
  • Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Drogheda United.
  • Bohemians have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Work?
  • Drogheda United sit 8 in the table, while Bohemians sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The Correct Score selection requires predicting the precise final scoreline of the fixture at regular time sits against roughly 13% implied by the current price. Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Drogheda United. Bohemians' last seven away matches have exceeded two goals, indicating a highly productive trend when travelling.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 13% implied
Positive
Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
Bohemians have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Bohemians' last seven away matches have exceeded two goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Drogheda United Win is the preferred angle because bohemians' last seven away matches have exceeded two goals, indicating a highly productive trend when travelling. Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Drogheda United. That is not glamorous football, but glamour does not keep you clear of the relegation playoff.

Main risk

That is not glamorous football, but glamour does not keep you clear of the relegation playoff.

Key Data Signals

Work? The Correct Score selection requires predicting the precise final scoreline of the fixture at regular time evidence

Bohemians' last seven away matches have exceeded two goals, indicating a highly productive trend when travelling.

Bohemians have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Drogheda United.

Bohemians have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Drogheda United Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Drogheda United sit 8 in the table, while Bohemians sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Work? The Correct Score selection requires predicting the precise final scoreline of the fixture at regular time notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Drogheda United4
    Avg corners for
    Bohemians6.75
    Drogheda United11
    Avg total corners
    Bohemians11.25
    Drogheda United3.25
    Avg yellow cards
    Bohemians2.75
    Drogheda United10
    Avg shots
    Bohemians12.75
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 58% · edge +11.2 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Drogheda United1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Bohemians2
    Drogheda United2
    Avg goals conceded
    Bohemians1.4
    Drogheda United60%
    BTTS rate
    Bohemians60%
    Drogheda United40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Bohemians80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 76%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 40%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 31%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickDrogheda United to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 23% · edge +3.9 pts
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 72%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Drogheda United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Drogheda United to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Drogheda United

    LDLDD
    Last 50W 3D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    26 Jun 2026A Derry City0-2
    19 Jun 2026H Shelbourne2-2
    12 Jun 2026A St Patrick's Athl.0-2
    29 May 2026H Waterford3-3
    22 May 2026H Dundalk1-1

    Bohemians

    WWLLW
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 1D 3L
    26 Jun 2026H St Patrick's Athl.2-0
    22 Jun 2026A Shelbourne3-0
    19 Jun 2026H Dundalk1-2
    12 Jun 2026A Derry City1-4
    29 May 2026A Sligo Rovers3-1
    Market aligned with main pickDrogheda United to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 23% · edge +3.9 pts
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
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    Drogheda United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4Drogheda United wins
    3Draws
    3Bohemians wins
    15 May 2026Bohemians v Drogheda United2-1
    03 Apr 2026Drogheda United v Bohemians0-0
    09 Jan 2026Drogheda United v Bohemians1-1
    01 Nov 2025Drogheda United v Bohemians1-4
    01 Aug 2025Bohemians v Drogheda United0-1
    23 May 2025Drogheda United v Bohemians1-0
    Market aligned with main pickDrogheda United to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 23% · edge +3.9 pts
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 72%
    1.75
    Check odds @ 1.75
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Drogheda United to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premier Division

    Drogheda United24
    Played
    Bohemians25
    Drogheda United1.2
    Avg goals for
    Bohemians1.6
    Drogheda United1.7
    Avg goals against
    Bohemians1.1
    Drogheda United6
    Clean sheets
    Bohemians10
    Market aligned with main pickDrogheda United to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 23% · edge +3.9 pts
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
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    Drogheda United Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Season data supports Drogheda United to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Bohemians4325127613
    8Drogheda United25246711-12
    Drogheda United sit in position 8, while Bohemians sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Work? The Correct Score selection requires predicting the precise final scoreline of the fixture at regular time assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Drogheda United Over 2.5
    80%Bohemians Over 2.5
    1.9H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Drogheda United sit at 40% and Bohemians sit at 80% with the H2H average at 1.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.