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Djurgardens IF crestDjurgardens IF
v
Mjallby AIF crestMjallby AIF

Allsvenskan | Mon 31 Aug, 18:00

Djurgardens IF v Mjallby AIF Stats

Data last updated: Tue 01 Sep 2026, 01:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Djurgardens IF host Mjallby AIF in an Allsvenskan clash where both teams have shown a tendency towards controlled scoring. Djurgardens IF rank 5th with a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.8 goals per game, while Mjallby AIF sit 11th and have struggled to score consistently. Recent form data highlights a cautious approach from both sides, with Djurgardens averaging 2.2 goals for and Mjallby 1.2, but both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating occasional offensive bursts. The tactical setup suggests a measured game with limited high-scoring chances.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Djurgardens IF concede only 0.8 goals per game, showing defensive solidity
  • Mjallby AIF have a lower scoring average at 1.2 goals per game
  • Both teams have a 60% over 2.5 goals rate but recent matches lean towards fewer goals
  • Djurgardens IF average 15.67 shots per game, Mjallby 14.33, indicating moderate offensive pressure
  • Mjallby AIF’s higher yellow card average (3 per game) suggests potential disruptions but not necessarily more goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 48.1% chance, slightly above the market's implied 42.6%, reflecting a cautious scoring environment. Defensive strengths, especially from Djurgardens IF, and moderate shot volumes support a lower-scoring game. Despite both teams having a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, recent form and defensive metrics suggest goals will be limited. The model is moderate at 54%, indicating a balanced but data-backed lean towards fewer goals.

Defensive recordDjurgardens IF concede 0.8 goals per game
Strong positive
Scoring averageMjallby AIF score 1.2 goals per game
Positive
Shot volumeModerate shots per game by both teams
Neutral
Over 2.5 goals rateBoth teams at 60%, indicating some risk
Neutral
Model confidence54%, moderate certainty
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a logical pick given Djurgardens IF’s strong defensive record and Mjallby AIF’s limited scoring output. The data shows both teams tend to keep matches tight, and the moderate shot counts suggest fewer clear-cut chances. This bet aligns with the tactical expectation of a controlled, lower-scoring game.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity and scoring restraint

“Djurgardens IF’s disciplined defense combined with Mjallby AIF’s modest attack sets the stage for a match where goals will be at a premium. The statistics and recent form both point towards a cautious game with limited scoring opportunities.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Djurgardens IF concede only 0.8 goals per game, showing defensive solidity

Mjallby AIF have a lower scoring average at 1.2 goals per game

Djurgardens IF average 15.67 shots per game, Mjallby 14.33, indicating moderate offensive pressure

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.1, slightly above two but below three, indicating a trend towards moderate scoring.
  • This supports the Under 2.5 Goals pick, as the fixture historically produces controlled goal totals rather than high-scoring affairs.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Djurgardens IF6
Avg corners for
Mjallby AIF2
Djurgardens IF9
Avg total corners
Mjallby AIF7
Djurgardens IF1
Avg yellow cards
Mjallby AIF1
Djurgardens IF15
Avg shots
Mjallby AIF9
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 43%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Djurgardens IF average 5.67 corners and 15.67 shots per game, indicating steady attacking pressure, while Mjallby AIF’s 3 corners and 14.33 shots suggest fewer offensive incursions. The high yellow card average for Mjallby (3 per game) points to a physical style that may disrupt flow but not necessarily increase goal volume.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Djurgardens IF2.2
Avg goals scored
Mjallby AIF1.2
Djurgardens IF0.8
Avg goals conceded
Mjallby AIF1.6
Djurgardens IF20%
BTTS rate
Mjallby AIF60%
Djurgardens IF60%
Over 2.5 goals
Mjallby AIF60%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 42% · edge +6.4 pts
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Goal and BTTS data show a mixed picture: while both teams have a 60% over 2.5 goals rate, Djurgardens IF’s low BTTS rate of 20% contrasts with Mjallby AIF’s 60%. This suggests that matches often feature one team scoring without reply, supporting a controlled goals scenario rather than open, high-scoring games.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionDjurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 67% · edge +7.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Mjallby AIF to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced with a slight edge, reflecting a cautious scoring outlook. The model’s 48.1% chance exceeds the implied 42.6%, indicating mild value. The price is stable and aligns well with the defensive strengths and recent form, making it a sensible choice rather than a speculative one.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Djurgardens IF

WLLWW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
24 Aug 2026A Malmo FF3-0
16 Aug 2026H AIK Stockholm1-3
10 Aug 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-1
03 Aug 2026H Vasteras SK FK6-0
25 Jul 2026A Degerfors IF1-0

Mjallby AIF

WLLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
15 Aug 2026H Sirius4-3
08 Aug 2026H IF Elfsborg0-1
25 Jul 2026A Kalmar FF1-2
17 Jul 2026H Vasteras SK FK0-0
11 Jul 2026H AIK Stockholm1-2
Best odds for this sectionDjurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 67% · edge +7.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Mjallby AIF to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Djurgardens IF have collected 9 points recently with a goals-for average of 2.2 and goals-against of 0.8, showing balanced form. Mjallby AIF’s 4 points and 1.2 goals for versus 1.6 against reflect struggles in attack and defense. This recent form supports a lower-scoring match with defensive control prevailing.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Djurgardens IF wins
2Draws
4Mjallby AIF wins
17 Aug 2025Mjallby AIF v Djurgardens IF1-1
15 May 2025Djurgardens IF v Mjallby AIF1-3
02 Feb 2025Mjallby AIF v Djurgardens IF1-2
15 Sep 2024Djurgardens IF v Mjallby AIF1-1
25 May 2024Mjallby AIF v Djurgardens IF1-3
06 Feb 2024Djurgardens IF v Mjallby AIF0-1
Best odds for this sectionDjurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 67% · edge +7.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Mjallby AIF to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 56%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 20%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The 10 previous meetings between these teams average 2.1 goals per game, reflecting a pattern of moderate scoring. This historical trend aligns with the Under 2.5 Goals selection, suggesting that neither side typically produces high-scoring encounters against the other.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Djurgardens IF18
Played
Mjallby AIF16
Djurgardens IF2.3
Avg goals for
Mjallby AIF1.5
Djurgardens IF1.1
Avg goals against
Mjallby AIF1.4
Djurgardens IF8
Clean sheets
Mjallby AIF4
Best odds for this sectionDjurgardens IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 67% · edge +7.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Djurgardens IF Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Mjallby AIF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Mjallby AIF to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
6
Check odds @ 6
Season-long stats reveal Djurgardens IF’s strong defensive profile, conceding fewer than one goal per game, while Mjallby AIF’s higher goals against average (1.6) indicates vulnerability. Both teams’ scoring averages are modest, reinforcing the likelihood of a match with fewer than three goals.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Djurgardens IF3218102622
12Mjallby AIF2017557-3
Djurgardens IF’s 5th place and 29 points position them as a stable mid-table side with defensive discipline, while Mjallby AIF’s 11th place and 20 points reflect a team fighting to improve. The standings suggest a tactical approach from Djurgardens to maintain control and from Mjallby to avoid heavy defeat, favoring a cautious game.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Djurgardens IF Over 2.5
60%Mjallby AIF Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.1, slightly above two but below three, indicating a trend towards moderate scoring. This supports the Under 2.5 Goals pick, as the fixture historically produces controlled goal totals rather than high-scoring affairs.

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