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Degerfors IF crestDegerfors IF
v
Malmo FF crestMalmo FF

Allsvenskan | Sat 04 Jul, 14:00

Degerfors IF v Malmo FF Stats

Data last updated: Tue 28 Jul 2026, 15:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Degerfors IF face Malmo FF in Allsvenskan on Sat 04 Jul, 14:00. Degerfors IF come in with 3 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Malmo FF have 3 points and 2.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 1.85, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 69%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Degerfors IF and 100% for Malmo FF, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Malmo FF are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with Degerfors IF at 1.2.
  • BTTS rates of 100% for Degerfors IF and 100% for Malmo FF show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 69% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Degerfors IF and 100% for Malmo FF, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price69% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Strong positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Degerfors IF.Visible data support
Positive
Malmo FF are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Degerfors IF and 100% for Malmo FF, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Degerfors IF and 100% for Malmo FF, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Malmo FF are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.4 goals per match, with Degerfors IF at 1.2.

BTTS rates of 100% for Degerfors IF and 100% for Malmo FF show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Degerfors IF1.2
Avg goals scored
Malmo FF2.4
Degerfors IF2
Avg goals conceded
Malmo FF3
Degerfors IF100%
BTTS rate
Malmo FF100%
Degerfors IF60%
Over 2.5 goals
Malmo FF100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Degerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Degerfors IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Malmo FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Malmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Degerfors IF4
Avg corners for
Malmo FF3.8
Degerfors IF9.4
Avg total corners
Malmo FF8.6
Degerfors IF1.2
Avg yellow cards
Malmo FF1.4
Degerfors IF13.8
Avg shots
Malmo FF15.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Degerfors IF

DLDLD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
31 May 2026H IF Brommapojkarna2-2
23 May 2026A Kalmar FF1-2
16 May 2026A Gais1-1
09 May 2026H Mjallby AIF1-4
02 May 2026H BK Hacken1-1

Malmo FF

WLLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
30 May 2026H Halmstad5-2
24 May 2026H Vasteras SK FK2-3
17 May 2026A Hammarby FF1-4
10 May 2026A BK Hacken2-3
03 May 2026H Mjallby AIF2-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 60% · edge +7.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Degerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Degerfors IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Malmo FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Malmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Degerfors IF wins
2Draws
7Malmo FF wins
31 Aug 2025Malmo FF v Degerfors IF1-1
11 May 2025Degerfors IF v Malmo FF1-4
23 Sep 2023Degerfors IF v Malmo FF1-2
05 Jun 2023Malmo FF v Degerfors IF5-0
05 Mar 2023Malmo FF v Degerfors IF2-1
06 Nov 2022Malmo FF v Degerfors IF2-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Degerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Malmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Degerfors IF14
Played
Malmo FF14
Degerfors IF0.9
Avg goals for
Malmo FF2
Degerfors IF1.7
Avg goals against
Malmo FF1.7
Degerfors IF1
Clean sheets
Malmo FF4
Best odds for this sectionDegerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 30% · edge +8.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Degerfors IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Malmo FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Malmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Season data supports Degerfors IF to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Malmo FF20146264
14Degerfors IF1014248-12
Degerfors IF sit in position 14, while Malmo FF sit in position 8, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Degerfors IF Over 2.5
100%Malmo FF Over 2.5
3.56H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Degerfors IF sit at 60% and Malmo FF sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.56 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Betting context

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