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Degerfors IF crestDegerfors IF
v
Malmo FF crestMalmo FF

Allsvenskan | Sat 04 Jul, 14:00

Degerfors IF v Malmo FF Stats

Data last updated: Sun 05 Jul 2026, 00:57 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Allsvenskan fixture features Degerfors IF hosting Malmo FF in a match where goal-scoring potential is high. Malmo FF, positioned 9th, have been prolific offensively, averaging 2.4 goals per game and maintaining a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals recently. Degerfors IF, ranked 12th, have shown resilience with a 60% over 2.5 goals rate and a perfect BTTS record in recent outings. Both teams have offensive threats and defensive vulnerabilities, suggesting an open game with multiple scoring opportunities. The tactical setup and recent form hint at an entertaining, goal-rich encounter without clear defensive control.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Malmo FF has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, indicating strong scoring form.
  • Degerfors IF also shows a 60% over 2.5 goals rate and 100% BTTS, supporting goal potential.
  • Average shots per game are high: Malmo FF 15.2 and Degerfors IF 13.8, reflecting attacking intent.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.56 over 9 matches, reinforcing a trend for multiple goals.
  • Key players like S. Botheim contribute significant shot volume and goal threat for Malmo FF.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 74.2% chance for Over 2.5 Goals, driven by both teams' attacking profiles and recent scoring trends. Malmo FF's perfect recent over 2.5 record and high shot volumes, combined with Degerfors IF's willingness to engage offensively and concede goals, create a fertile environment for multiple goals. The head-to-head average of 3.56 goals per game further supports this expectation. No data limitations affect , and the price is considered standard, making this a solid football-driven selection.

Recent Over 2.5 Rate Malmo FF100%
Strong positive
Recent Over 2.5 Rate Degerfors IF60%
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.56
Strong positive
Average Shots per GameMalmo FF 15.2, Degerfors IF 13.8
Positive
Model Probability74.2%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Malmo FF's offensive firepower meets Degerfors IF's willingness to engage forward. The data shows both sides create and concede chances regularly, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical choice. The high shot volumes and recent scoring trends suggest multiple goals are likely in this Allsvenskan clash.

Main risk

The main risk is that defensive improvements or tactical caution could reduce goal volume, especially if either team prioritizes defensive solidity or if key attacking players are unavailable.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical openness

“Malmo FF's dynamic midfielders and forwards consistently generate high-quality chances, while Degerfors IF's attacking approach ensures the game remains open. This combination sets the stage for a lively contest with several goals.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Malmo FF has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, indicating strong scoring form.

Degerfors IF also shows a 60% over 2.5 goals rate and 100% BTTS, supporting goal potential.

Average shots per game are high: Malmo FF 15.2 and Degerfors IF 13.8, reflecting attacking intent.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.56 over 9 matches, reinforcing a trend for multiple goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last nine head-to-head meetings average 3.56 goals, a strong indicator of open games with multiple goals.
  • This trend, combined with recent team scoring rates over the last five matches, suggests a sustained tempo and attacking intent conducive to Over 2.5 Goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Degerfors IF1.2
Avg goals scored
Malmo FF2.4
Degerfors IF2
Avg goals conceded
Malmo FF3
Degerfors IF100%
BTTS rate
Malmo FF100%
Degerfors IF60%
Over 2.5 goals
Malmo FF100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 54% · edge +20.1 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Both teams have scored and conceded regularly, with Degerfors IF and Malmo FF each showing 100% BTTS rates recently. The head-to-head average of 3.56 goals per game underscores a pattern of open matches with goals at both ends, supporting a high-scoring outlook.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 54% · edge +20.1 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Degerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Degerfors IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Malmo FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Malmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The Over 2.5 Goals market reflects a realistic expectation given the strong attacking data from both sides. The are standard without warning flags, indicating a balanced price that aligns well with the model's 74.2% probability, suggesting a fair value bet rather than an undervalued opportunity.

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Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Degerfors IF4
Avg corners for
Malmo FF3.8
Degerfors IF9.4
Avg total corners
Malmo FF8.6
Degerfors IF1.2
Avg yellow cards
Malmo FF1.4
Degerfors IF13.8
Avg shots
Malmo FF15.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
High average shots per game (Degerfors IF 13.8, Malmo FF 15.2) and similar corner counts reflect sustained attacking pressure. Moderate yellow card averages suggest a competitive but not overly aggressive match, likely allowing offensive flow and shot opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Degerfors IF

DLDLD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
31 May 2026H IF Brommapojkarna2-2
23 May 2026A Kalmar FF1-2
16 May 2026A Gais1-1
09 May 2026H Mjallby AIF1-4
02 May 2026H BK Hacken1-1

Malmo FF

WLLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
30 May 2026H Halmstad5-2
24 May 2026H Vasteras SK FK2-3
17 May 2026A Hammarby FF1-4
10 May 2026A BK Hacken2-3
03 May 2026H Mjallby AIF2-3
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 60% · edge +7.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Degerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Degerfors IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Malmo FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Malmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Recent form data shows Malmo FF scoring 2.4 goals per game and Degerfors IF 1.2, with both sides frequently involved in matches exceeding 2.5 goals. This trend highlights their offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, reinforcing the likelihood of a high-scoring encounter.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Degerfors IF wins
2Draws
7Malmo FF wins
31 Aug 2025Malmo FF v Degerfors IF1-1
11 May 2025Degerfors IF v Malmo FF1-4
23 Sep 2023Degerfors IF v Malmo FF1-2
05 Jun 2023Malmo FF v Degerfors IF5-0
05 Mar 2023Malmo FF v Degerfors IF2-1
06 Nov 2022Malmo FF v Degerfors IF2-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 54% · edge +20.1 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Degerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Malmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The head-to-head sample of nine matches shows a consistent pattern of high-scoring games, averaging 3.56 goals per match. This historical data supports the expectation of multiple goals, reflecting tactical openness and attacking strengths from both sides in previous encounters.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Degerfors IF11
Played
Malmo FF11
Degerfors IF1.1
Avg goals for
Malmo FF1.9
Degerfors IF1.5
Avg goals against
Malmo FF1.8
Degerfors IF1
Clean sheets
Malmo FF3
Best odds for this sectionDegerfors IF to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 30% · edge +8.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Degerfors IF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Malmo FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
Malmo FF to WinBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Season-long statistics reveal Malmo FF's potent attack and relatively porous defense, while Degerfors IF's numbers reflect a team engaged in open play with goals scored and conceded regularly. These profiles align with the Over 2.5 Goals expectation for this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Malmo FF16115151
13Degerfors IF1011245-5
While Degerfors IF sits 12th and Malmo FF 9th, the league positions have limited bearing on this match's goal potential. Both teams' mid-table status and points totals suggest motivation to secure points, likely encouraging attacking play rather than defensive conservatism.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Degerfors IF Over 2.5
100%Malmo FF Over 2.5
3.56H2H avg goals
The last nine head-to-head meetings average 3.56 goals, a strong indicator of open games with multiple goals. This trend, combined with recent team scoring rates over the last five matches, suggests a sustained tempo and attacking intent conducive to Over 2.5 Goals.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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