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Cuiaba crestCuiaba
v
America Mineiro crestAmerica Mineiro

Serie B | Fri 03 Jul, 00:00

Cuiaba v America Mineiro Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 15:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cuiaba face America Mineiro in Serie B on Fri 03 Jul, 00:00. Cuiabá boast an exceptional six-match unbeaten streak at the Arena Pantanal, making them formidable hosts. Cuiabá's six-match unbeaten home run provides a strong platform against an away side with notable defensive vulnerabilities.

BT4Y best bet

Line has not looked secure enough, and that matters especially away to a Cuiabá side with a strong home sequence

  • At 8/1, Line has not looked secure enough, and that matters especially away to a Cuiabá side with a strong home sequence implies roughly 11%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 26%.
  • The Both Teams to Score market is a simple binary selection requiring both sides to hit the net during the match.
  • Cuiaba show a 40% BTTS rate and America Mineiro show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Cuiaba average 1.4 goals scored and America Mineiro average 0.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 26% for Line has not looked secure enough, and that matters especially away to a Cuiabá side with a strong home sequence sits against roughly 11% implied by the current price. Cuiaba show a 40% BTTS rate and America Mineiro show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The Both Teams to Score market is a simple binary selection requiring both sides to hit the net during the match.

Model chance vs price26% model chance against roughly 11% implied
Strong positive
Cuiaba show a 40% BTTS rate and America Mineiro show.Visible data support
Positive
Cuiaba average 1.4 goals scored and America Mineiro average 0.Visible data support
Positive
The Both Teams to Score market is a simple.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the Both Teams to Score market is a simple binary selection requiring both sides to hit the net during the match. Cuiaba show a that shared-scoring rate rate and America Mineiro show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Cuiabá have reasons to feel confident, but not smug.

Main risk

Cuiabá have reasons to feel confident, but not smug.

Key Data Signals

Line has not looked secure enough, and that matters especially away to a Cuiabá side with a strong home sequence evidence

The Both Teams to Score market is a simple binary selection requiring both sides to hit the net.

Cuiaba show a 40% BTTS rate and America Mineiro show a 20% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Cuiaba average 1.4 goals scored and America Mineiro average 0.8, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Line has not looked secure enough, and that matters especially away to a Cuiabá side with a strong home sequence notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cuiaba1.4
Avg goals scored
America Mineiro0.8
Cuiaba0.8
Avg goals conceded
America Mineiro1.4
Cuiaba40%
BTTS rate
America Mineiro20%
Cuiaba40%
Over 2.5 goals
America Mineiro60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 46% · edge +7.8 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 40% for Cuiaba and 20% for America Mineiro, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 46% · edge +7.8 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Cuiaba to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Cuiaba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cuiaba7.4
Avg corners for
America Mineiro4
Cuiaba10.2
Avg total corners
America Mineiro10.2
Cuiaba2
Avg yellow cards
America Mineiro2
Cuiaba14.2
Avg shots
America Mineiro11.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cuiaba

DLWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
26 Jun 2026H Londrina2-2
21 Jun 2026A Avai0-1
14 Jun 2026H Vila Nova1-0
09 Jun 2026A Ponte Preta2-1
01 Jun 2026H CRB2-0

America Mineiro

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 8L
27 Jun 2026A Operario-PR0-1
24 Jun 2026H Criciuma0-1
17 Jun 2026A Fortaleza EC3-0
09 Jun 2026H Atletico Goianiense1-2
30 May 2026A Juventude0-3
Market aligned with main pickCuiaba to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Cuiaba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Cuiaba wins
4Draws
2America Mineiro wins
16 Nov 2025America Mineiro v Cuiaba1-1
24 Jul 2025Cuiaba v America Mineiro3-1
16 Sep 2023Cuiaba v America Mineiro2-2
07 May 2023America Mineiro v Cuiaba1-2
29 Sep 2022Cuiaba v America Mineiro2-1
04 Jun 2022America Mineiro v Cuiaba2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 46% · edge +7.8 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Cuiaba to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Cuiaba19
Played
America Mineiro19
Cuiaba0.7
Avg goals for
America Mineiro0.7
Cuiaba0.7
Avg goals against
America Mineiro1.6
Cuiaba9
Clean sheets
America Mineiro2
Market aligned with main pickCuiaba to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Cuiaba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Season data supports Cuiaba to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
15Cuiaba24195950
20America Mineiro8191513-18
Cuiaba sit in position 15, while America Mineiro sit in position 20, so table pressure belongs in the Line has not looked secure enough, and that matters especially away to a Cuiabá side with a strong home sequence assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Cuiaba Over 2.5
60%America Mineiro Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cuiaba sit at 40% and America Mineiro sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Cuiaba v America Mineiro prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

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