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CSKA Sofia crestCSKA Sofia
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Maccabi Tel Aviv crestMaccabi Tel Aviv

UEFA Europa League | Thu 13 Aug, 19:00

CSKA Sofia v Maccabi Tel Aviv Stats

Data last updated: Wed 12 Aug 2026, 08:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

CSKA Sofia return to Stadion Vasil Levski with a commanding 3-0 aggregate lead over Maccabi Tel Aviv in this Europa League third qualifying-round second leg. Unbeaten in 11 matches, CSKA have demonstrated strong home form with three consecutive clean sheets in European competition and an average of 56% possession, controlling the midfield through players like Bruno Jordao and Stefano Sensi. Maccabi Tel Aviv face the challenge of overturning the deficit, which will force them into an aggressive attacking approach, while CSKA can exploit spaces left behind and maintain tactical control to secure another victory.

BT4Y best bet

CSKA Sofia to Win

  • CSKA Sofia unbeaten in last 11 matches with strong home form
  • Three consecutive Europa League clean sheets highlight defensive solidity
  • Average 56% possession and 12.78 shots per game show midfield control
  • Maccabi Tel Aviv must attack aggressively to overcome 3-0 deficit
  • CSKA’s tactical setup favors exploiting transition spaces against pressing opponents

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates CSKA Sofia to win with a 63% chance, reflecting their unbeaten run and dominant first-leg performance. Their strong home form, including three consecutive clean sheets in the Europa League, underpins in their defensive resilience. Midfield control and high shot volume provide attacking options to maintain pressure. The 2.3 offer positive value against the implied 43.5% chance, making this a solid selection. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Unbeaten run11 matches
Strong positive
Home defensive record3 consecutive clean sheets in Europa League
Strong positive
Midfield control56% possession average
Strong positive
Shot volume12.78 shots per game
Positive
Price vs model chance2.3 odds vs 63% model chance
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

CSKA Sofia’s tactical control and recent unbeaten form make them strong favorites to secure another win. Their ability to dominate possession and maintain defensive discipline contrasts with Maccabi Tel Aviv’s need to chase the game, which should leave them vulnerable to counterattacks. The home advantage and squad depth further support CSKA’s chances of extending their lead in this tie.

Main risk

Their season has already shown that the first-leg defeat was an exception to otherwise strong results, making complacency CSKA’s most dangerous opponent.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form advantage

“CSKA Sofia’s blend of midfield quality and defensive solidity provides a clear tactical edge in this tie, allowing them to control tempo and exploit Maccabi’s urgency to attack.”

Key Data Signals

CSKA Sofia to Win evidence

CSKA Sofia unbeaten in last 11 matches with strong home form

Three consecutive Europa League clean sheets highlight defensive solidity

Average 56% possession and 12.78 shots per game show midfield control

Maccabi Tel Aviv must attack aggressively to overcome 3-0 deficit

What To Watch In The Data

CSKA Sofia to Win notes

  • Recent trends show a 60-67% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals for both teams over their last fixtures, indicating an open game tempo.
  • The average of 3 goals in their only head-to-head meeting supports expectations of multiple goals in this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

CSKA Sofia1.6
Avg goals scored
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
CSKA Sofia0.6
Avg goals conceded
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
CSKA Sofia40%
BTTS rate
Maccabi Tel Aviv0%
CSKA Sofia60%
Over 2.5 goals
Maccabi Tel Aviv67%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 82% vs implied 75% · edge +7.1 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 40%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Both teams have shown capacity to score, with CSKA netting eight goals in their last four home matches and Maccabi averaging similar shot volumes. Maccabi’s need to attack aggressively suggests a goal for both sides, supporting a competitive match with goals at each end.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickCSKA Sofia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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CSKA Sofia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 40%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The 2.3 for CSKA Sofia to win reflect a positive value opportunity given the model’s 63% win probability. The price accurately captures their strong form and first-leg advantage, making this a price-sensitive but justified selection. Any drift higher would enhance value further.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

CSKA Sofia0.5
Avg corners for
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
CSKA Sofia1.25
Avg total corners
Maccabi Tel Aviv1.67
CSKA Sofia4
Avg yellow cards
Maccabi Tel Aviv1.33
CSKA Sofia0
Avg shots
Maccabi Tel Aviv0
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 29%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 35%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
CSKA Sofia’s average of 12.78 shots per game and 0.5 corners per match indicate steady attacking pressure, while their higher average of 4 yellow cards per game suggests a combative defensive approach. Maccabi’s 1.5 corners and lower card count reflect a more measured style but with fewer defensive fouls.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

CSKA Sofia

WDDWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 0L
06 Aug 2026A Maccabi Tel Aviv3-0
30 Jul 2026H Qarabag0-0
23 Jul 2026A Qarabag0-0
16 Jul 2026A Derry City2-1
09 Jul 2026H Derry City3-2

Maccabi Tel Aviv

LWW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
06 Aug 2026H CSKA Sofia0-3
30 Jul 2026H Sheriff Tiraspol1-0
23 Jul 2026A Sheriff Tiraspol5-0
Market aligned with main pickCSKA Sofia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
CSKA Sofia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
CSKA Sofia’s unbeaten streak of 11 matches, including nine wins, highlights their strong momentum. Their recent home performances feature eight goals scored and three clean sheets, contrasting with Maccabi Tel Aviv’s need to overturn a deficit, which may force riskier play and defensive exposure.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1CSKA Sofia wins
0Draws
0Maccabi Tel Aviv wins
06 Aug 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv v CSKA Sofia0-3
Market aligned with main pickCSKA Sofia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 40%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The single previous meeting between these teams featured an average of 3 goals, suggesting a competitive fixture with scoring opportunities. However, the limited sample means current form and tactical context carry more weight in assessing this match’s likely outcome.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

CSKA Sofia5
Played
Maccabi Tel Aviv3
CSKA Sofia1.8
Avg goals for
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
CSKA Sofia0.6
Avg goals against
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
CSKA Sofia3
Clean sheets
Maccabi Tel Aviv2
Market aligned with main pickCSKA Sofia to WinBetfred guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
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CSKA Sofia Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
CSKA Sofia’s season stats show a solid defensive record with 0.6 goals conceded per game and a 60% rate of matches over 2.5 goals, indicating a balanced approach between attack and defense. Maccabi’s higher goals conceded rate and over 2.5 goals rate suggest vulnerability when chasing games.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%CSKA Sofia Over 2.5
67%Maccabi Tel Aviv Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent trends show a 60-67% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals for both teams over their last fixtures, indicating an open game tempo. The average of 3 goals in their only head-to-head meeting supports expectations of multiple goals in this match.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.