CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa League | Thu 13 Aug, 19:00
CSKA Sofia v Maccabi Tel Aviv Stats
Data last updated: Wed 12 Aug 2026, 08:41 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
CSKA Sofia return to Stadion Vasil Levski with a commanding 3-0 aggregate lead over Maccabi Tel Aviv in this Europa League third qualifying-round second leg. Unbeaten in 11 matches, CSKA have demonstrated strong home form with three consecutive clean sheets in European competition and an average of 56% possession, controlling the midfield through players like Bruno Jordao and Stefano Sensi. Maccabi Tel Aviv face the challenge of overturning the deficit, which will force them into an aggressive attacking approach, while CSKA can exploit spaces left behind and maintain tactical control to secure another victory.
CSKA Sofia to Win
- CSKA Sofia unbeaten in last 11 matches with strong home form
- Three consecutive Europa League clean sheets highlight defensive solidity
- Average 56% possession and 12.78 shots per game show midfield control
- Maccabi Tel Aviv must attack aggressively to overcome 3-0 deficit
- CSKA’s tactical setup favors exploiting transition spaces against pressing opponents
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model rates CSKA Sofia to win with a 63% chance, reflecting their unbeaten run and dominant first-leg performance. Their strong home form, including three consecutive clean sheets in the Europa League, underpins in their defensive resilience. Midfield control and high shot volume provide attacking options to maintain pressure. The 2.3 offer positive value against the implied 43.5% chance, making this a solid selection. No data limitations affect in this pick.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
CSKA Sofia’s tactical control and recent unbeaten form make them strong favorites to secure another win. Their ability to dominate possession and maintain defensive discipline contrasts with Maccabi Tel Aviv’s need to chase the game, which should leave them vulnerable to counterattacks. The home advantage and squad depth further support CSKA’s chances of extending their lead in this tie.
Their season has already shown that the first-leg defeat was an exception to otherwise strong results, making complacency CSKA’s most dangerous opponent.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form advantage
“CSKA Sofia’s blend of midfield quality and defensive solidity provides a clear tactical edge in this tie, allowing them to control tempo and exploit Maccabi’s urgency to attack.”
Key Data Signals
CSKA Sofia to Win evidence
CSKA Sofia unbeaten in last 11 matches with strong home form
Three consecutive Europa League clean sheets highlight defensive solidity
Average 56% possession and 12.78 shots per game show midfield control
Maccabi Tel Aviv must attack aggressively to overcome 3-0 deficit
What To Watch In The Data
CSKA Sofia to Win notes
- Recent trends show a 60-67% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals for both teams over their last fixtures, indicating an open game tempo.
- The average of 3 goals in their only head-to-head meeting supports expectations of multiple goals in this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
CSKA Sofia
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Season team stats
UEFA Europa League
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
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