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Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace
v
Arsenal crestArsenal

Premier League | Sun 24 May, 16:00

Crystal Palace v Arsenal Stats

Data last updated: Tue 07 Jul 2026, 01:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Crystal Palace face Arsenal in Premier League on Sun 24 May, 16:00. Arsenal are displaying absolute control under Mikel Arteta, securing consecutive 1-0 victories in their last three Premier League games. Arsenal's defensive unit is functioning with mechanical precision, securing three straight 1-0 victories leading into this final game.

BT4Y best bet

Arsenal 1-0 Correct Score Arsenal will exploit this passive approach by starving Palace of possession

  • At 23/10, Arsenal Win & BTTS No implies roughly 30%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
  • Despite winning just four times at Selhurst Park all season, the local energy keeps them structurally stubborn on home soil.
  • Crystal Palace need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Crystal Palace on 2 and Arsenal on 12.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Crystal Palace and 20% for Arsenal.
  • Arsenal Win & BTTS No needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1 for Crystal Palace and 1.4 for Arsenal are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for Arsenal Win & BTTS No sits against roughly 30% implied by the current price. Crystal Palace need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Crystal Palace on 2 and Arsenal on 12. Despite winning just four times at Selhurst Park all season, the local energy keeps them structurally stubborn on home soil.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 30% implied
Strong positive
Crystal Palace need the result edge to pair with scoring.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Despite winning just four times at Selhurst Park all.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Arsenal Win & BTTS No is the preferred angle because despite winning just four times at Selhurst Park all season, the local energy keeps them structurally stubborn on home soil. Crystal Palace need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Crystal Palace on 2 and Arsenal on 12. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Arsenal Win & BTTS No evidence

Despite winning just four times at Selhurst Park all season, the local energy keeps them structurally stubborn on.

Crystal Palace need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Crystal Palace on 2 and Arsenal on 12.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 60% for Crystal Palace and 20% for Arsenal.

Arsenal Win & BTTS No needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1 for Crystal Palace and 1.4 for Arsenal are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Arsenal Win & BTTS No notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Crystal Palace1
Avg goals scored
Arsenal1.4
Crystal Palace2.6
Avg goals conceded
Arsenal0.4
Crystal Palace60%
BTTS rate
Arsenal20%
Crystal Palace100%
Over 2.5 goals
Arsenal40%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 88% vs implied 82% · edge +5.7 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 100% for Crystal Palace and 40% for Arsenal, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Premier League analysisfull betting preview for Crystal Palace v Arsenalcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickArsenal Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 53% · edge +22.8 pts
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
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Arsenal to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Arsenal Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Crystal Palace4.4
Avg corners for
Arsenal4.2
Crystal Palace12.4
Avg total corners
Arsenal8.4
Crystal Palace2
Avg yellow cards
Arsenal1.8
Crystal Palace12.8
Avg shots
Arsenal13.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 60% · edge +6.5 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Crystal Palace

DLDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 4D 4L
17 May 2026A Brentford2-2
13 May 2026A Manchester City0-3
10 May 2026H Everton2-2
03 May 2026A Bournemouth0-3
25 Apr 2026A Liverpool1-3

Arsenal

WWWWL
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 0D 2L
18 May 2026H Burnley1-0
10 May 2026A West Ham1-0
02 May 2026H Fulham3-0
25 Apr 2026H Newcastle1-0
19 Apr 2026A Manchester City1-2
Market aligned with main pickArsenal Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 53% · edge +22.8 pts
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
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Arsenal to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Crystal Palace wins
2Draws
7Arsenal wins
23 Dec 2025Arsenal v Crystal Palace1-1
26 Oct 2025Arsenal v Crystal Palace1-0
23 Apr 2025Arsenal v Crystal Palace2-2
21 Dec 2024Crystal Palace v Arsenal1-5
18 Dec 2024Arsenal v Crystal Palace3-2
20 Jan 2024Arsenal v Crystal Palace5-0
Market aligned with main pickArsenal to WinBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The head-to-head sample gives context for Arsenal to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premier League

Crystal Palace38
Played
Arsenal38
Crystal Palace1.1
Avg goals for
Arsenal1.9
Crystal Palace1.3
Avg goals against
Arsenal0.7
Crystal Palace12
Clean sheets
Arsenal19
Market aligned with main pickArsenal Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 53% · edge +22.8 pts
1.88
Check odds @ 1.88
Load more odds for this section
Arsenal to WinBetfred guide price · model 70%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Season data supports Arsenal Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Arsenal8538267544
15Crystal Palace4538111215-10
Crystal Palace sit in position 15, while Arsenal sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Arsenal Win & BTTS No assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
40%Arsenal Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Crystal Palace sit at 100% and Arsenal sit at 40% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Crystal Palace v Arsenal prediction

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Next step

Betting context

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