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Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace
v
Arsenal crestArsenal

Premier League | Sun 27 Dec, 19:00

Crystal Palace v Arsenal Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 05:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Crystal Palace face Arsenal in Premier League on Sun 27 Dec, 19:00. Arsenal are displaying absolute control under Mikel Arteta, securing consecutive 1-0 victories in their last three Premier League games. Arsenal's defensive unit is functioning with mechanical precision, securing three straight 1-0 victories leading into this final game.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Arsenal 1-0 Correct Score Arsenal will exploit this passive approach by starving Palace of possession

  • At 23/10, Arsenal 1-0 Correct Score Arsenal will exploit this passive approach by starving Palace of possession implies roughly 30%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 23%.
  • Despite winning just four times at Selhurst Park all season, the local energy keeps them structurally stubborn on home soil.
  • Crystal Palace need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Crystal Palace on 7 and Arsenal on 12.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for Crystal Palace and 40% for Arsenal.
  • Arsenal 1-0 Correct Score Arsenal will exploit this passive approach by starving Palace of possession needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.8 for Crystal Palace and 1.
Price warning

Arsenal 1-0 Correct Score Arsenal will exploit this passive approach by starving Palace of possession is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 30% while the model sits nearer 23% (-7.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 23% for Arsenal 1-0 Correct Score Arsenal will exploit this passive approach by starving Palace of possession sits against roughly 30% implied by the current price. Crystal Palace need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Crystal Palace on 7 and Arsenal on 12. Despite winning just four times at Selhurst Park all season, the local energy keeps them structurally stubborn on home soil.

Model chance vs price23% model chance against roughly 30% implied
Negative
Crystal Palace need the result edge to pair with scoring.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Despite winning just four times at Selhurst Park all.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Arsenal Win & BTTS No is the preferred angle because despite winning just four times at Selhurst Park all season, the local energy keeps them structurally stubborn on home soil. Crystal Palace need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Crystal Palace on 7 and Arsenal on 12. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Arsenal 1-0 Correct Score Arsenal will exploit this passive approach by starving Palace of possession evidence

Despite winning just four times at Selhurst Park all season, the local energy keeps them structurally stubborn on.

Crystal Palace need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Crystal Palace on 7 and Arsenal on 12.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 80% for Crystal Palace and 40% for Arsenal.

Arsenal Win & BTTS No needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.8 for Crystal Palace and 1.4 for Arsenal are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Arsenal 1-0 Correct Score Arsenal will exploit this passive approach by starving Palace of possession notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Crystal Palace1.8
Avg goals scored
Arsenal1.4
Crystal Palace2
Avg goals conceded
Arsenal1
Crystal Palace80%
BTTS rate
Arsenal40%
Crystal Palace80%
Over 2.5 goals
Arsenal60%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Crystal Palace

WDLWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 3L
11 Oct 2026H Nottingham Forest3-1
20 Sep 2026A Leeds0-0
12 Sep 2026H Ipswich2-3
05 Sep 2026A Fulham3-2
28 Aug 2026H Manchester City1-4

Arsenal

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 1L
10 Oct 2026H Leeds2-1
19 Sep 2026A Brighton0-3
12 Sep 2026A Sunderland2-0
06 Sep 2026H Chelsea2-1
31 Aug 2026A Aston Villa1-0

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Crystal Palace Over 2.5
60%Arsenal Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Crystal Palace sit at 80% and Arsenal sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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